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Guangzhou vs Ningbo Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 83-84
22-20 20-18 22-13 19-33
Position#13
Record11-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#11
Record12-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game85.6
ChinaCBA· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Guangzhou v Ningbo Rockets
11 Jan 2027
GUAN v NING
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
GUAN83
NING84
11 Dec 2024
GUAN106
NING89
14 Jan 2024
GUAN92
NING77
06 Dec 2023
GUAN99
NING80
11 Jan 2023
GUAN105
NING84
29 Oct 2021
GUAN93
NING70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ningbo Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
74-89
74
89
-15
70avg 81
A14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
82-109
82
109
-27
70avg 81
A17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
104-75
104
75
+29
96avg 81
H19/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
112-102 OT
112
102
+10
no box
H23/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
80-78
80
78
+2
76avg 81
A25/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
61avg 81
A27/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
85-92
85
92
-7
81avg 81
H29/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
80-83
80
83
-3
77avg 81
A31/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
81-88
81
88
-7
81avg 81
A03/02
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
89avg 81
H05/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
21-21
26-26
12-19
19-22
21-35
24-30
18-22
30-28
26-15
29-19
19-13
21-16
31-24
24-26
18-28
19-16
20-23
22-24
19-15
27-13
18-34
24-25
9-23
12-30
29-22
22-21
22-19
14-21
28-14
21-21
17-27
24-21
20-21
15-24
22-22
21-14
25-25
20-20
27-26
176.5Avg total
86.9Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.588.0174.5-1.548%
Season at home (10)90.486.6177.0+3.860%
Season away (13)83.589.1172.5-5.638%
Last 10 (10)86.989.6176.5-2.740%
Last 5 (5)83.488.6172.0-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.799.4181.1-17.69%
vs Similar ◀ (14)91.689.6181.2+2.157%
vs Weaker (5)95.880.8176.6+15.0100%
This opponent (Ningbo Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ningbo RocketsChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
97-84
97
84
+13
94avg 83
H13/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
82-109
82
109
-27
70avg 83
A15/01
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
80avg 83
A18/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
93-103
93
103
-10
79avg 83
A20/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
82-68
82
68
+14
80avg 83
H23/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
84-86
84
86
-2
76avg 83
H25/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
75-99
75
99
-24
71avg 83
A27/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
75-62
75
62
+13
70avg 83
H29/01
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
94-81
94
81
+13
93avg 83
H01/02
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
79-75
79
75
+4
72avg 83
H03/02
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
22-23
25-20
30-27
23-31
20-25
27-29
12-24
22-29
25-18
16-22
23-25
20-18
20-25
23-28
30-32
21-15
20-21
20-18
21-14
14-26
23-27
26-15
21-18
26-14
15-33
16-20
18-32
23-17
15-12
21-21
16-12
21-13
20-24
30-26
23-18
15-24
20-17
23-16
21-18
170.8Avg total
84.7Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.485.6173.0+1.852%
Season at home (13)87.878.5166.4+9.377%
Season away (10)86.894.7181.5-7.920%
Last 10 (10)84.786.1170.8-1.450%
Last 5 (5)81.480.6162.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)93.2105.5198.7-12.317%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.587.1173.6-0.650%
vs Weaker (8)89.883.4173.1+6.462%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
GuangzhouNingbo Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H19/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H23/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A27/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H29/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A31/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A03/02
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H05/03
CBA
87.9Avg total
44.1Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.147.092.1-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.946.994.8+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)42.747.189.8-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)44.143.887.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.086.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.552.094.5-9.59%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.245.391.5+0.964%-
vs Weaker (5)47.640.888.4+6.860%-
This opponent (Ningbo Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ningbo RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H13/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A15/01
CBA
Beijing
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A18/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A20/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H23/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H25/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A27/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H29/01
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H01/02
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H03/02
CBA
83.1Avg total
40.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.948.492.3-4.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.444.188.5+0.462%-
Last 30 away (14)43.453.396.6-9.914%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.683.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.479.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)46.755.8102.4-9.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.043.085.0-1.060%-
vs Weaker (8)42.244.086.2-1.838%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.121.9
50.8%
54.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.4
37.7%
35.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.916.0
73.1%
73.6%16.0
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ningbo Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ningbo Rockets: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.8
53.7%
54.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.87.1
35.9%
35.0%21.3
🏀 Free throws27.519.8
72.0%
73.6%19.8
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
WLLLLWWWLL
Ningbo Rockets
WWWLLWLLLW
#13
League position
#11
-4.7
Net rating
-1.6
94.6
Offensive rating
97.1
99.2
Defensive rating
98.7
52.8%
Effective FG%
53.7%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
15.7%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.46
37.7%
3-point %
35.9%
62.4%
Assist %
55.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 97.1Defence99.2 · 98.7Shooting52.8% · 53.7%3-point %37.7% · 35.9%Ball care15.7% · 15.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.46Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Ningbo Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Guangzhou wins
1
Ningbo Rockets wins
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26HShandong93-85
03/02/26AQingdao81-88
31/01/26AShandong80-83
29/01/26HFujian85-92
27/01/26AShanghai78-95
25/01/26AQingdao80-78
23/01/26HNanjing Tongxi112-102 OT
19/01/26HBeijing Royal Fighters104-75
17/01/26AZhejiang Guangsha82-109
14/01/26AZhejiang Chouzhou74-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26HBeijing Royal Fighters79-75
01/02/26HGuangdong94-81
29/01/26HLiaoning75-62
27/01/26AShandong75-99
25/01/26HJiangsu Dragons84-86
23/01/26HQingdao82-68
20/01/26ATianjin93-103
18/01/26ABeijing86-94
15/01/26AShandong82-109
13/01/26HShanxi Zhongyu97-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW48%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %48%60%38%
Points / game86.590.483.5
Allowed / game88.086.689.1
Point differential-1.5+3.8-5.6
Avg total174.5177.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %9%10%8%
Ningbo Rockets
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW52%
HomeWLWWW77%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %52%77%20%
Points / game87.487.886.8
Allowed / game85.678.594.7
Point differential+1.8+9.3-7.9
Avg total173.0166.4181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shanghai2420483%95.580.7+14.8
2 Zhejiang Guangsha2420483%90.178.0+12.1
3 Guangdong2417771%94.490.4+4.0
4 Shandong2416867%93.888.2+5.6
5 Beijing2415962%89.281.9+7.3
6 Qingdao2314961%84.581.2+3.3
7 Shenzhen24141058%95.694.3+1.3
8 Zhejiang Chouzhou24131154%85.681.4+4.2
9 Shanxi Zhongyu24131154%89.786.5+3.2
10 Ningbo Rockets23121152%87.485.6+1.8
11 Liaoning24121250%83.282.8+0.5
12 Guangzhou23111248%86.588.0-1.5
13 Beijing Royal Fighters24111346%86.892.3-5.5
14 Xinjiang24101442%85.282.3+2.9
15 Tianjin2491538%92.594.2-1.7
16 Jilin2491538%82.187.7-5.5
17 Fujian2381535%90.193.4-3.3
18 Nanjing Tongxi2481633%90.296.0-5.8
19 Jiangsu Dragons2461825%81.090.5-9.5
20 Sichuan240240%69.597.8-28.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou2220221983
Ningbo Rockets2018133384
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