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Qingdao vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 78-80
16-19 23-20 24-22 15-19
Position#7
Record12-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game80.9
Qingdao
China
vs
Guangzhou 🏆
China
Position#13
Record9-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game88.4
ChinaCBA· Conson Stadium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Qingdao v Guangzhou
05 Dec 2026
QING v GUAN
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
QING88
GUAN81
25 Jan 2026
QING78
GUAN80
05 Mar 2025
QING126
GUAN80
14 Oct 2024
QING109
GUAN80
11 Apr 2024
QING96
GUAN101
21 Mar 2024
QING99
GUAN102
29 Dec 2023
QING92
GUAN85
07 Jan 2023
QING88
GUAN86
26 Dec 2021
QING117
GUAN100
12 Jan 2021
QING94
GUAN114
06 Nov 2020
QING97
GUAN94
12 Nov 2019
QING115
GUAN100
11 Dec 2018
QING97
GUAN107
25 Oct 2018
QING88
GUAN105
30 Nov 2017
QING125
GUAN94
18 Nov 2016
QING89
GUAN88
31 Jan 2016
QING151
GUAN148
30 Nov 2014
QING127
GUAN110
09 Feb 2014
QING120
GUAN122
28 Nov 2012
QING80
GUAN92
28 Dec 2011
QING100
GUAN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qingdao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QingdaoChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQingdao
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
73-78 OT
73
78
-5
no box
A01/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
109-97
109
97
+12
no box
A03/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
83-92
83
92
-9
71avg 90
H05/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
73-90
73
90
-17
56avg 90
H07/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 90
A11/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
86-70
86
70
+16
81avg 90
A13/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
80-67
80
67
+13
73avg 90
H15/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
84avg 90
H17/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
62avg 90
A19/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
68-82
68
82
-14
49avg 90
A23/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
17-24
12-15
17-15
28-23
25-22
31-25
25-27
20-22
24-31
23-12
16-27
8-33
29-24
17-19
19-14
32-23
24-17
15-7
11-27
18-20
19-18
29-18
20-14
20-18
26-12
18-25
16-12
26-22
17-12
25-18
19-24
21-24
17-26
15-24
22-16
15-21
21-20
18-20
14-21
163.2Avg total
81.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.680.9166.6+4.767%
Season at home (8)87.480.6168.0+6.875%
Season away (10)84.281.2165.4+3.060%
Last 10 (10)81.681.6163.2+0.050%
Last 5 (5)79.277.0156.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)95.298.3193.5-3.233%
vs Similar (15)89.586.8176.3+2.760%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)96.181.6177.7+14.6100%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 82
A02/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
108-106 OT
108
106
+2
no box
A04/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
W
79-76
79
76
+3
75avg 82
H06/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
60-95
60
95
-35
51avg 82
H08/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
106-76
106
76
+30
109avg 82
H10/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
93-98
93
98
-5
94avg 82
H12/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
74-89
74
89
-15
70avg 82
A14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
82-109
82
109
-27
70avg 82
A17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
104-75
104
75
+29
96avg 82
H19/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
112-102 OT
112
102
+10
no box
H23/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-11
14-20
18-14
18-25
23-16
28-25
21-21
17-27
31-13
16-24
19-20
13-19
13-28
19-18
18-27
10-22
25-13
37-24
22-18
22-21
20-22
25-22
22-26
26-28
15-23
21-21
26-26
12-19
19-22
21-35
24-30
18-22
30-28
26-15
29-19
19-13
21-16
31-24
24-26
18-28
178.8Avg total
89.2Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.888.4176.2-0.653%
Season at home (8)90.886.1176.9+4.662%
Season away (9)85.190.4175.6-5.344%
Last 10 (10)89.289.6178.8-0.460%
Last 5 (5)93.094.6187.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)85.1107.4192.5-22.30%
vs Similar (13)94.690.9185.5+3.769%
vs Weaker (5)95.880.8176.6+15.0100%
This opponent (Qingdao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -5.1-5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -5.1-5.1
QingdaoGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QingdaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A01/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A03/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H05/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H07/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A11/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A13/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H15/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H17/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A19/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A23/01
CBA
85.1Avg total
42.7Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.345.592.8+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.145.493.6+2.750%-
Last 30 away (16)46.645.592.1+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.485.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.678.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)46.248.794.8-2.533%-
vs Similar (15)44.946.791.6-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)52.141.393.4+10.8100%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A02/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A04/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H06/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H08/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
62-37
62
37
+25
H10/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H12/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H19/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H23/01
CBA
87.9Avg total
45.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.948.894.7-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.049.198.1-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)42.848.691.4-5.827%-
Last 10 (10)45.942.087.9+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.845.691.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)44.155.899.8-11.70%-
vs Similar (13)46.945.592.5+1.469%-
vs Weaker (5)47.640.888.4+6.860%-
This opponent (Qingdao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Qingdaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qingdao: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.6
52.2%
54.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.6
32.5%
35.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.415.0
70.1%
73.6%15.0
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.021.7
50.5%
54.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.4
35.3%
35.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.714.9
75.6%
73.6%14.9
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Qingdao
LLWWWWLLWL
Guangzhou
WWLLLWLWWW
#7
League position
#13
+0.7
Net rating
-2.4
94.4
Offensive rating
95.6
93.7
Defensive rating
98.0
50.7%
Effective FG%
51.3%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
11.9%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.5%
3-point %
35.3%
56.4%
Assist %
57.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.4 · 95.6Defence93.7 · 98.0Shooting50.7% · 51.3%3-point %32.5% · 35.3%Ball care11.9% · 13.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Qingdao   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Qingdao wins
4
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
05/03/25Qingdao v Guangzhou126-80
05/01/25Guangzhou v Qingdao90-103
14/12/24Guangzhou v Qingdao103-113
14/10/24Qingdao v Guangzhou109-80
14/04/24Guangzhou v Qingdao92-78
11/04/24Qingdao v Guangzhou96-101
21/03/24Qingdao v Guangzhou99-102
25/01/24Guangzhou v Qingdao108-98
29/12/23Qingdao v Guangzhou92-85
13/11/23Guangzhou v Qingdao96-101
Qingdaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26ANingbo Rockets68-82
19/01/26AZhejiang Guangsha75-90
17/01/26HZhejiang Chouzhou87-76
15/01/26HJilin80-67
13/01/26ALiaoning86-70
11/01/26AJilin82-74
07/01/26HShanghai73-90
05/01/26HShenzhen83-92
03/01/26ASichuan109-97
01/01/26AZhejiang Chouzhou73-78 OT
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26HNanjing Tongxi112-102 OT
19/01/26HBeijing Royal Fighters104-75
17/01/26AZhejiang Guangsha82-109
14/01/26AZhejiang Chouzhou74-89
12/01/26HTianjin93-98
10/01/26HSichuan106-76
08/01/26HZhejiang Chouzhou60-95
06/01/26HXinjiang79-76
04/01/26ATianjin108-106 OT
02/01/26AShanxi Zhongyu74-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Qingdao
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWLLWW75%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game85.687.484.2
Allowed / game80.980.681.2
Point differential+4.7+6.8+3.0
Avg total166.6168.0165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Guangzhou
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW53%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayLWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game87.890.885.1
Allowed / game88.486.190.4
Point differential-0.6+4.6-5.3
Avg total176.2176.9175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %12%12%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha1816289%91.377.9+13.4
2 Shanghai1815383%94.479.2+15.2
3 Guangdong1915479%96.591.0+5.5
4 Shandong1712571%94.587.7+6.8
5 Qingdao1812667%85.680.9+4.7
6 Beijing1912763%90.482.4+7.9
7 Shenzhen1811761%93.694.7-1.1
8 Guangzhou179853%87.888.4-0.6
9 Shanxi Zhongyu1910953%90.789.1+1.6
10 Zhejiang Chouzhou189950%87.783.6+4.2
11 Ningbo Rockets189950%89.186.9+2.1
12 Liaoning1881044%81.784.2-2.4
13 Jilin1981142%83.287.7-4.5
14 Beijing Royal Fighters1981142%87.694.2-6.6
15 Xinjiang1871139%86.585.7+0.8
16 Fujian1861233%89.894.1-4.3
17 Tianjin1961332%91.894.2-2.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi1851328%88.293.0-4.8
19 Jiangsu Dragons1841422%80.390.7-10.4
20 Sichuan180180%71.996.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Qingdao1623241578
Guangzhou1920221980
← all games of the day
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