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Guangzhou vs Ningbo Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 106-89
31-23 20-20 24-26 31-20
Position#16
Record5-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game109.3
vs
Position#17
Record6-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game106.7
Allowed / game114.5
ChinaCBARound 16· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangzhou v Ningbo Rockets
11 Jan 2027
GUAN v NING
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
GUAN83
NING84
11 Dec 2024
GUAN106
NING89
14 Jan 2024
GUAN92
NING77
06 Dec 2023
GUAN99
NING80
11 Jan 2023
GUAN105
NING84
29 Oct 2021
GUAN93
NING70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ningbo Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#13
L
68-88
68
88
-20
no box
A13/11
CBA Club Cup
Beijing Royal Fighters
#2
L
80-93
80
93
-13
no box
H15/11
CBA Club Cup
Jiangsu Dragons
#9
L
91-102
91
102
-11
no box
A16/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#12
W
89-69
89
69
+20
no box
A17/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#15
W
108-97
108
97
+11
102avg 93
H27/11
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
140-117
140
117
+23
143avg 93
H30/11
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
82-101
82
101
-19
68avg 93
H02/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
111-96
111
96
+15
108avg 93
A04/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
104-130
104
130
-26
100avg 93
H07/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
93-122
93
122
-29
80avg 93
H09/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-33
16-23
23-17
11-15
19-23
15-17
27-23
19-30
21-24
25-20
19-31
26-27
28-15
24-26
18-15
19-13
32-20
22-38
31-21
23-18
38-22
27-28
43-33
32-34
29-17
24-32
15-34
14-18
31-21
32-17
22-25
26-33
29-29
32-31
28-34
15-36
26-32
28-31
14-34
25-25
198.1Avg total
96.6Scored
101.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)100.7109.3210.0-8.533%
Season at home (7)103.6115.6219.1-12.029%
Season away (8)98.2103.8202.0-5.538%
Last 10 (10)96.6101.5198.1-4.940%
Last 5 (5)106.0113.2219.2-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)91.9106.6198.5-14.812%
vs Similar ◀ (11)102.998.5201.4+4.573%
vs Weaker (3)105.091.3196.3+13.7100%
This opponent (Ningbo Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ningbo RocketsChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
95-114
95
114
-19
89avg 84
H02/11
CBA
Fujian
#16
L
96-118
96
118
-22
no box
A12/11
CBA Club Cup
Shenzhen
#11
L
76-92
76
92
-16
no box
H13/11
CBA Club Cup
Shanghai
#1
L
64-81
64
81
-17
no box
H15/11
CBA Club Cup
Shanxi Zhongyu
#8
L
91-107
91
107
-16
no box
A16/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#15
L
95-108
95
108
-13
87avg 84
A29/11
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
116-140
116
140
-24
106avg 84
A01/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
105-136
105
136
-31
91avg 84
A04/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
108-106
108
106
+2
102avg 84
H06/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
124-117
124
117
+7
126avg 84
H08/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-35
30-28
24-24
25-27
24-39
23-21
19-27
30-31
19-21
20-23
20-24
17-24
17-24
20-15
11-23
16-19
21-32
27-34
17-20
26-21
26-25
25-26
24-24
20-33
31-39
36-43
21-33
28-25
31-36
26-32
32-33
16-35
17-30
30-33
33-19
28-24
28-34
22-27
33-20
41-36
208.9Avg total
97.0Scored
111.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)106.7114.5221.2-7.740%
Season at home (9)106.1110.6216.7-4.456%
Season away (6)107.7120.3228.0-12.717%
Last 10 (10)97.0111.9208.9-14.920%
Last 5 (5)109.6121.4231.0-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)99.3112.8212.1-13.512%
vs Similar ◀ (5)106.0110.2216.2-4.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -8.5-8.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -2.8-2.8
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -8.5-8.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -2.8-2.8
GuangzhouNingbo Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#13
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A13/11
CBA Club Cup
Beijing Royal Fighters
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H15/11
CBA Club Cup
Jiangsu Dragons
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A16/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#12
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A17/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#15
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H27/11
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
65-50
65
50
+15
H30/11
CBA
Beijing
#3
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H02/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
63-38
63
38
+25
A04/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H07/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H09/12
CBA
101.5Avg total
51.6Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.550.9101.4-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.251.1103.3+1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)48.950.899.8-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)51.649.9101.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)59.252.0111.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)50.351.5101.8-1.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)51.050.5101.5+0.545%-
vs Weaker (3)49.349.799.0-0.333%-
This opponent (Ningbo Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ningbo RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
46-63
46
63
-17
H02/11
CBA
Fujian
#16
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A12/11
CBA Club Cup
Shenzhen
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H13/11
CBA Club Cup
Shanghai
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H15/11
CBA Club Cup
Shanxi Zhongyu
#8
L
48-66
48
66
-18
A16/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#15
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A29/11
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A01/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
57-68
57
68
-11
A04/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
47-63
47
63
-16
H06/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H08/12
CBA
108.6Avg total
48.9Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.458.5109.9-7.117%-
Last 30 at home (18)50.256.5106.7-6.317%-
Last 30 away (12)53.261.6114.8-8.417%-
Last 10 (10)48.959.7108.6-10.80%-
Last 5 (5)54.465.0119.4-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)51.258.8110.0-7.616%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)52.457.0109.4-4.620%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 103.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.228.4
55.5%
52.6%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.1
36.9%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.716.4
72.2%
76.3%16.4
They take 78.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ningbo Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ningbo Rockets: 107.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.724.4
52.2%
52.6%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.9
38.7%
35.1%38.7
🏀 Free throws25.320.0
79.1%
76.3%20.0
They take 80.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LLWLWWWLLL
Ningbo Rockets
WWLLLLLLLL
#16
League position
#17
-3.3
Net rating
-7.1
109.9
Offensive rating
118.1
113.2
Defensive rating
125.2
55.4%
Effective FG%
54.7%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
21.1%
Turnover %
14.1%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.9%
3-point %
38.7%
61.3%
Assist %
71.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 118.1Defence113.2 · 125.2Shooting55.4% · 54.7%3-point %36.9% · 38.7%Ball care21.1% · 14.1%Off. rebounds33.5% · 28.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Ningbo Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Guangzhou wins
0
Ningbo Rockets wins
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/24HZhejiang Chouzhou93-122
07/12/24HShanxi Zhongyu104-130
04/12/24AFujian111-96
02/12/24HBeijing82-101
30/11/24HJilin140-117
27/11/24HTianjin108-97
17/11/24ATianjin89-69
16/11/24AJiangsu Dragons91-102
15/11/24HBeijing Royal Fighters80-93
13/11/24AGuangdong68-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HShenzhen124-117
06/12/24HJilin108-106
04/12/24AXinjiang105-136
01/12/24AShanxi Zhongyu116-140
29/11/24ATianjin95-108
16/11/24AShanxi Zhongyu91-107
15/11/24HShanghai64-81
13/11/24HShenzhen76-92
12/11/24AFujian96-118
02/11/24HZhejiang Chouzhou95-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeWWLLL29%
AwayWWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%29%38%
Points / game100.7103.698.2
Allowed / game109.3115.6103.8
Point differential-8.5-12.0-5.5
Avg total210.0219.1202.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ningbo Rockets
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeWWLWW56%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %40%56%17%
Points / game106.7106.1107.7
Allowed / game114.5110.6120.3
Point differential-7.7-4.4-12.7
Avg total221.2216.7228.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%22%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha1614288%104.693.4+11.1
2 Beijing1412286%100.691.6+9.0
3 Liaoning1512380%109.996.8+13.1
4 Xinjiang1411379%111.9101.5+10.4
5 Shanxi Zhongyu1511473%116.7108.5+8.2
6 Shandong1510567%104.3101.7+2.7
7 Zhejiang Chouzhou159660%115.1107.5+7.6
8 Qingdao159660%100.198.4+1.7
9 Nanjing Tongxi159660%107.7107.5+0.3
10 Beijing Royal Fighters148657%103.699.9+3.8
11 Guangdong158753%107.1103.3+3.8
12 Jilin156940%107.4110.7-3.3
13 Ningbo Rockets156940%106.7114.5-7.7
14 Tianjin1661038%100.5108.6-8.1
15 Guangzhou1551033%100.7109.3-8.5
16 Shanghai1441029%103.9105.9-2.0
17 Sichuan1541127%100.1108.0-7.9
18 Shenzhen1631319%101.4110.0-8.6
19 Fujian141137%103.4117.1-13.7
20 Jiangsu Dragons151147%93.1103.9-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou31202431106
Ningbo Rockets2320262089
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