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Halcones de Obregon vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 102-98
27-19 18-24 26-16 31-39
Position#3
Record13-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#1
Record19-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game98.5
Allowed / game86.5
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena ITSON
Other2025
Meetings · Halcones de Obregon v Astros
13 Jun 2025
HALC70
ASTR73
11 Jun 2025
HALC76
ASTR93
10 Jun 2025
HALC92
ASTR91
23 Apr 2025
HALC102
ASTR98
22 Apr 2025
HALC87
ASTR84
13 Mar 2024
HALC99
ASTR91
12 Mar 2024
HALC93
ASTR91
03 May 2023
HALC92
ASTR89
02 May 2023
HALC122
ASTR121
13 Apr 2022
HALC87
ASTR95
12 Apr 2022
HALC93
ASTR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Halcones de Obregon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
94-75
94
75
+19
83avg 83
A03/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
88-81
88
81
+7
87avg 83
H05/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
99-73
99
73
+26
98avg 83
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 83
A09/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
99-85
99
85
+14
91avg 83
A10/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
103-84
103
84
+19
100avg 83
H12/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
L
73-76
73
76
-3
57avg 83
H13/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
89-64
89
64
+25
87avg 83
A15/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
87avg 83
A16/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
W
87-84
87
84
+3
87avg 83
H23/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-14
17-24
18-23
29-14
18-16
20-29
24-13
26-23
27-16
32-12
18-17
22-28
22-18
10-17
25-26
29-19
25-22
20-27
27-14
27-22
38-25
16-23
22-18
27-18
15-18
15-20
21-16
22-22
31-15
22-17
24-17
12-15
21-28
18-23
23-19
24-16
19-19
23-22
22-23
23-20
171.1Avg total
91.6Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.985.1173.0+2.757%
Season at home (11)87.882.0169.8+5.864%
Season away (12)87.988.0175.9-0.150%
Last 10 (10)91.679.5171.1+12.190%
Last 5 (5)90.080.2170.2+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)84.094.7178.7-10.733%
vs Similar (9)88.892.8181.6-4.033%
vs Weaker (18)87.380.3167.7+7.067%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
106-94
106
94
+12
101avg 91
H30/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
108-117
108
117
-9
99avg 91
H02/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
90-70
90
70
+20
85avg 91
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
W
112-90
112
90
+22
105avg 91
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
96-118
96
118
-22
84avg 91
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
99-82
99
82
+17
93avg 91
A12/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 91
A13/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
109-90
109
90
+19
106avg 91
H16/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
102-79
102
79
+23
96avg 91
H17/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
84-87
84
87
-3
74avg 91
A23/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
28-27
30-23
17-17
27-30
29-26
17-29
35-32
21-14
17-14
25-16
27-26
26-19
28-26
33-17
25-28
23-23
29-42
26-25
18-28
32-21
23-19
28-29
16-13
17-22
27-22
21-18
24-18
19-19
38-16
26-30
26-25
19-30
35-18
23-17
25-14
19-19
22-23
23-22
20-23
190.2Avg total
99.5Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)98.586.5185.0+12.083%
Season at home (10)103.984.9188.8+19.090%
Season away (13)94.487.7182.1+6.777%
Last 10 (10)99.590.7190.2+8.870%
Last 5 (5)96.683.6180.2+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)88.997.4186.3-8.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)98.586.1184.6+12.383%
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
Halcones de ObregonAstros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A03/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H05/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
59-28
59
28
+31
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A09/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A10/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H12/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H13/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A15/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A16/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H23/04
CIBACOPA
84.4Avg total
43.9Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.742.783.4-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.641.482.9+0.257%-
Last 30 away (16)39.943.983.8-3.925%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.584.4+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.085.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.047.088.0-6.033%-
vs Similar (9)41.347.688.9-6.222%-
vs Weaker (18)40.339.679.9+0.850%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H30/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H02/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A12/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A13/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H16/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H17/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A23/04
CIBACOPA
96.7Avg total
51.0Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.044.692.6+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (12)50.142.692.7+7.575%-
Last 30 away (18)46.646.092.6+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)51.045.796.7+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)50.241.892.0+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)46.452.799.1-6.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)48.542.290.7+6.370%-
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.1
51.6%
53.3%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.0
38.0%
35.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.714.8
75.1%
73.3%14.8
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 98.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.123.6
54.8%
53.3%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.411.0
37.4%
35.5%33.0
🏀 Free throws24.518.3
74.7%
73.3%18.3
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Halcones de Obregon
WWWLWWWWWW
Astros
LWWWWLWWLW
#3
League position
#1
+15.7
Net rating
+11.0
118.8
Offensive rating
122.7
103.1
Defensive rating
111.8
53.6%
Effective FG%
55.3%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.9%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.0%
3-point %
37.4%
57.1%
Assist %
52.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.8 · 122.7Defence103.1 · 111.8Shooting53.6% · 55.3%3-point %38.0% · 37.4%Ball care13.6% · 13.9%Off. rebounds33.8% · 36.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Halcones de Obregon   ■ Astros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Halcones de Obregon wins
5
Astros wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/25HAstros87-84
16/04/25APioneros de Los Mochis98-93 OT
15/04/25APioneros de Los Mochis89-64
13/04/25HRayos de Hermosillo73-76
12/04/25HRayos de Hermosillo103-84
10/04/25AOstioneros de Guaymas99-85
09/04/25AOstioneros de Guaymas86-80
06/04/25HCaballeros de Culiacan99-73
05/04/25HCaballeros de Culiacan88-81
03/04/25ARayos de Hermosillo94-75
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/25AHalcones de Obregon84-87
17/04/25HVenados de Mazatlan102-79
16/04/25HVenados de Mazatlan109-90
13/04/25AZonkeys de Tijuana89-80
12/04/25AZonkeys de Tijuana99-82
06/04/25AAngeles CDMX96-118
06/04/25AAngeles CDMX112-90
03/04/25HZonkeys de Tijuana90-70
02/04/25HZonkeys de Tijuana108-117
30/03/25HPioneros de Los Mochis106-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW57%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayWWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game87.987.887.9
Allowed / game85.182.088.0
Point differential+2.7+5.8-0.1
Avg total173.0169.8175.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Astros
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWLWWL77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %83%90%77%
Points / game98.5103.994.4
Allowed / game86.584.987.7
Point differential+12.0+19.0+6.7
Avg total185.0188.8182.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%80%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros2319483%98.586.5+12.0
2 Angeles CDMX2418675%109.2100.4+8.8
3 Halcones de Obregon23131057%87.985.1+2.7
4 Caballeros de Culiacan24131154%87.887.0+0.8
5 Venados de Mazatlan23101343%85.988.3-2.4
6 Ostioneros de Guaymas24101442%93.693.4+0.2
7 Zonkeys de Tijuana24101442%87.188.7-1.5
8 Pioneros de Los Mochis24101442%92.096.0-4.0
9 Rayos de Hermosillo24101442%83.188.2-5.1
10 Frayles de Guasave2351822%86.097.6-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Halcones de Obregon27182631102
Astros1924163998
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