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Halcones de Obregon vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 87-84
19-19 23-22 22-23 23-20
Position#3
Record12-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game85.2
Halcones de Obregon 🏆
Mexico
vs
Astros
Mexico
Position#1
Record19-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game99.2
Allowed / game86.5
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena ITSON
Other2025
Meetings · Halcones de Obregon v Astros
13 Jun 2025
HALC70
ASTR73
11 Jun 2025
HALC76
ASTR93
10 Jun 2025
HALC92
ASTR91
23 Apr 2025
HALC102
ASTR98
22 Apr 2025
HALC87
ASTR84
13 Mar 2024
HALC99
ASTR91
12 Mar 2024
HALC93
ASTR91
03 May 2023
HALC92
ASTR89
02 May 2023
HALC122
ASTR121
13 Apr 2022
HALC87
ASTR95
12 Apr 2022
HALC93
ASTR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Halcones de Obregon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
L
73-74
73
74
-1
60avg 83
A02/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
94-75
94
75
+19
83avg 83
A03/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
88-81
88
81
+7
87avg 83
H05/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
99-73
99
73
+26
98avg 83
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 83
A09/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
99-85
99
85
+14
91avg 83
A10/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
103-84
103
84
+19
100avg 83
H12/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
L
73-76
73
76
-3
57avg 83
H13/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
89-64
89
64
+25
87avg 83
A15/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
87avg 83
A16/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
18-22
22-16
16-25
30-14
17-24
18-23
29-14
18-16
20-29
24-13
26-23
27-16
32-12
18-17
22-28
22-18
10-17
25-26
29-19
25-22
20-27
27-14
27-22
38-25
16-23
22-18
27-18
15-18
15-20
21-16
22-22
31-15
22-17
24-17
12-15
21-28
18-23
23-19
24-16
168.7Avg total
90.2Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)87.985.2173.1+2.755%
Season at home (10)87.981.8169.7+6.160%
Season away (12)87.988.0175.9-0.150%
Last 10 (10)90.278.5168.7+11.780%
Last 5 (5)92.480.4172.8+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)88.3101.3189.7-13.00%
vs Similar (9)88.892.8181.6-4.033%
vs Weaker (18)87.380.3167.7+7.067%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
117-78
117
78
+39
116avg 91
H29/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
106-94
106
94
+12
101avg 91
H30/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
108-117
108
117
-9
99avg 91
H02/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
90-70
90
70
+20
85avg 91
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
W
112-90
112
90
+22
105avg 91
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
96-118
96
118
-22
84avg 91
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
99-82
99
82
+17
93avg 91
A12/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 91
A13/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
109-90
109
90
+19
106avg 91
H16/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
102-79
102
79
+23
96avg 91
H17/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
28-15
35-25
25-25
31-27
28-27
30-23
17-17
27-30
29-26
17-29
35-32
21-14
17-14
25-16
27-26
26-19
28-26
33-17
25-28
23-23
29-42
26-25
18-28
32-21
23-19
28-29
16-13
17-22
27-22
21-18
24-18
19-19
38-16
26-30
26-25
19-30
35-18
23-17
25-14
192.6Avg total
102.8Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)99.286.5185.6+12.786%
Season at home (10)103.984.9188.8+19.090%
Season away (12)95.287.8183.0+7.583%
Last 10 (10)102.889.8192.6+13.080%
Last 5 (5)99.089.8188.8+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)88.997.4186.3-8.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)98.085.1183.2+12.987%
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
Halcones de ObregonAstros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A02/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A03/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H05/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
59-28
59
28
+31
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A09/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A10/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H12/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H13/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A15/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A16/04
CIBACOPA
82.9Avg total
43.2Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.783.8-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.541.482.9+0.254%-
Last 30 away (17)40.843.884.5-3.029%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.782.9+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.687.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)45.047.392.3-2.333%-
vs Similar (9)41.347.688.9-6.222%-
vs Weaker (18)40.339.679.9+0.850%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
57-28
57
28
+29
H29/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H30/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H02/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A12/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A13/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H16/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H17/04
CIBACOPA
96.9Avg total
52.6Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.944.592.5+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.242.391.5+6.969%-
Last 30 away (17)46.946.293.2+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)52.644.396.9+8.370%-
Last 5 (5)52.446.498.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)46.452.799.1-6.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)48.442.090.4+6.370%-
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.623.2
50.9%
53.3%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.9
37.1%
35.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.213.5
74.2%
73.3%13.5
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 102.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.424.4
56.2%
53.3%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.8
39.2%
35.5%35.4
🏀 Free throws24.317.8
73.3%
73.3%17.8
They take 73.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Halcones de Obregon
WWLWWWWWWL
Astros
WWWWLWWLWW
#3
League position
#1
+14.8
Net rating
+16.6
116.3
Offensive rating
126.7
101.5
Defensive rating
110.0
52.6%
Effective FG%
57.3%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
13.6%
Turnover %
14.3%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
38.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.1%
3-point %
39.2%
54.7%
Assist %
52.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 126.7Defence101.5 · 110.0Shooting52.6% · 57.3%3-point %37.1% · 39.2%Ball care13.6% · 14.3%Off. rebounds33.6% · 38.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Halcones de Obregon   ■ Astros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Halcones de Obregon wins
5
Astros wins
DateGameScore
16/03/25Astros v Halcones de Obregon92-84
16/03/25Astros v Halcones de Obregon108-81
19/05/24Astros v Halcones de Obregon104-100
18/05/24Astros v Halcones de Obregon103-85
14/03/24Halcones de Obregon v Astros99-91
13/03/24Halcones de Obregon v Astros93-91
04/05/23Halcones de Obregon v Astros92-89
03/05/23Halcones de Obregon v Astros122-121 OT
19/03/23Astros v Halcones de Obregon100-74
18/03/23Astros v Halcones de Obregon90-96
Halcones de Obregonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/25APioneros de Los Mochis98-93 OT
15/04/25APioneros de Los Mochis89-64
13/04/25HRayos de Hermosillo73-76
12/04/25HRayos de Hermosillo103-84
10/04/25AOstioneros de Guaymas99-85
09/04/25AOstioneros de Guaymas86-80
06/04/25HCaballeros de Culiacan99-73
05/04/25HCaballeros de Culiacan88-81
03/04/25ARayos de Hermosillo94-75
02/04/25ARayos de Hermosillo73-74
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/25HVenados de Mazatlan102-79
16/04/25HVenados de Mazatlan109-90
13/04/25AZonkeys de Tijuana89-80
12/04/25AZonkeys de Tijuana99-82
06/04/25AAngeles CDMX96-118
06/04/25AAngeles CDMX112-90
03/04/25HZonkeys de Tijuana90-70
02/04/25HZonkeys de Tijuana108-117
30/03/25HPioneros de Los Mochis106-94
29/03/25HPioneros de Los Mochis117-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW55%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game87.987.987.9
Allowed / game85.281.888.0
Point differential+2.7+6.1-0.1
Avg total173.1169.7175.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %9%10%8%
Astros
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %86%90%83%
Points / game99.2103.995.2
Allowed / game86.584.987.8
Point differential+12.7+19.0+7.5
Avg total185.6188.8183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros2219386%99.286.5+12.7
2 Angeles CDMX2317674%109.5100.8+8.7
3 Caballeros de Culiacan23131057%87.586.5+1.0
4 Halcones de Obregon22121055%87.985.2+2.7
5 Zonkeys de Tijuana23101343%87.088.4-1.4
6 Pioneros de Los Mochis23101343%92.095.7-3.7
7 Venados de Mazatlan2291341%85.088.3-3.3
8 Ostioneros de Guaymas2391439%93.693.6-0.0
9 Rayos de Hermosillo2391439%82.487.9-5.5
10 Frayles de Guasave2251723%86.097.3-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Halcones de Obregon1923222387
Astros1922232084
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