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Hamburg vs Bonn Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record3-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game90.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
6.7/10
Above normal
Position#4
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game81.2
GermanyBBLRound 24· Inselpark Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Hamburg v Bonn
07 Mar 2027
HAM v BON
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
HAM68
BON86
10 Jan 2025
HAM91
BON84
03 Feb 2024
HAM80
BON87
19 Nov 2022
HAM72
BON101
20 May 2022
HAM88
BON95
12 Mar 2022
HAM73
BON85
12 Feb 2021
HAM71
BON78
02 May 2020
HAM v BON
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bonn win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
71-103
71
103
-32
33avg 72
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 72
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
76avg 72
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 72
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
71avg 72
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#5
L
78-89
78
89
-11
63avg 72
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-96
77
96
-19
60avg 72
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
89-109
89
109
-20
78avg 72
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
20-28
17-31
21-17
15-25
19-20
20-29
18-22
22-22
20-21
15-17
26-23
19-8
27-15
12-28
16-24
13-21
19-25
19-21
33-24
24-27
19-15
19-26
16-21
23-27
18-15
12-29
24-25
24-25
25-29
14-27
26-28
32-18
21-28
22-22
16-19
24-17
33-23
24-16
10-28
174.1Avg total
82.1Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.390.8174.1-7.433%
Season at home (4)89.593.5183.0-4.050%
Season away (5)78.488.6167.0-10.220%
Last 10 (10)82.192.0174.1-9.930%
Last 5 (5)85.293.0178.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)82.792.0174.7-9.328%
vs Similar (8)88.182.4170.5+5.850%
vs Weaker (4)88.590.0178.5-1.550%
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#3
W
77-72
77
72
+5
70avg 73
H27/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
L
76-83
76
83
-7
74avg 73
A02/10
BBL
FC Porto
#34
W
78-74
78
74
+4
75avg 73
H07/10
Champions League
Jena
#18
W
115-68
115
68
+47
116avg 73
H09/10
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
63avg 73
A21/10
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
68-84
68
84
-16
57avg 73
A24/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
W
95-88
95
88
+7
95avg 73
H01/11
BBL
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
101-89
101
89
+12
no box
H04/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
97-87
97
87
+10
no box
H07/11
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
19-21
16-16
21-19
17-21
19-15
19-21
21-26
25-16
18-16
19-16
16-26
28-11
26-22
32-16
29-19
22-19
18-17
14-19
20-21
14-17
15-26
25-19
14-22
21-26
21-19
24-20
29-23
27-25
21-23
27-23
26-18
22-35
26-17
27-24
22-11
21-25
21-12
19-22
24-12
165.8Avg total
86.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.781.2168.9+6.467%
Season at home (5)96.077.4173.4+18.6100%
Season away (4)77.286.0163.2-8.825%
Last 10 (10)86.679.2165.8+7.470%
Last 5 (5)89.283.8173.0+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.789.4163.1-15.70%
vs Similar (10)75.476.4151.8-1.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)92.879.4172.2+13.585%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -7.2-7.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +2.5+2.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -7.2-7.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +2.5+2.5
HamburgBonn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H14/11
BBL
86.6Avg total
43.0Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.945.488.3-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.846.590.3-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)42.044.386.3-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.686.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)48.644.893.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.645.686.1-5.028%-
vs Similar (8)46.043.189.1+2.950%-
vs Weaker (4)47.249.096.2-1.850%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/10
BBL
FC Porto
#34
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/10
Champions League
Jena
#18
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H09/10
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#2
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A21/10
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A24/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H01/11
BBL
Bnei Herzliya
#47
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H04/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H07/11
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A14/11
BBL
82.1Avg total
42.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.778.9-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.738.380.1+3.447%-
Last 30 away (15)36.641.177.7-4.540%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.982.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.845.086.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.143.077.1-8.929%-
vs Similar (10)35.037.672.6-2.630%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.139.684.7+5.562%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.1
50.3%
55.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.28.8
28.2%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.814.3
72.2%
73.4%14.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.5
51.0%
55.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.1
37.5%
33.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.014.3
71.5%
73.4%14.3
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
WWLLLLLWLL
Bonn
WWWWLLWWLW
#15
League position
#4
-16.1
Net rating
+2.5
86.6
Offensive rating
96.4
102.7
Defensive rating
93.9
46.5%
Effective FG%
53.2%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
14.6%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.2%
3-point %
37.5%
55.6%
Assist %
59.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence86.6 · 96.4Defence102.7 · 93.9Shooting46.5% · 53.2%3-point %28.2% · 37.5%Ball care14.6% · 15.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Hamburg   ■ Bonn
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hamburg wins
8
Bonn wins
DateGameScore
19/09/26Bonn v Hamburg96-72
14/02/26Bonn v Hamburg92-85
12/10/25Hamburg v Bonn68-86
29/03/25Bonn v Hamburg93-96
10/01/25Hamburg v Bonn91-84
03/02/24Hamburg v Bonn80-87
23/12/23Bonn v Hamburg108-94
01/04/23Bonn v Hamburg76-66
19/11/22Hamburg v Bonn72-101
20/05/22Hamburg v Bonn88-95
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HWurzburg91-84
09/11/26AJena91-87
01/11/26HSyntainics MBC89-109
25/10/26ABayern77-96
11/10/26AFrankfurt78-89
03/10/26HRostock84-91
27/09/26AOldenburg74-75
25/09/26HChemnitz94-90 OT
19/09/26ABonn72-96
10/05/26ARostock71-103
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABamberg85-71
07/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig97-87
04/11/26HBnei Herzliya101-89
01/11/26HAlba Berlin95-88
24/10/26ALudwigsburg68-84
21/10/26AJoventut Badalona74-76
09/10/26HJena115-68
07/10/26HFC Porto78-74
02/10/26AWurzburg76-83
27/09/26HSyntainics MBC77-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game83.389.578.4
Allowed / game90.893.588.6
Point differential-7.4-4.0-10.2
Avg total174.1183.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Bonn
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game87.796.077.2
Allowed / game81.277.486.0
Point differential+6.4+18.6-8.8
Avg total168.9173.4163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
6 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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