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Hamburg vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 84-91
13-21 19-25 19-21 33-24
Position#17
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Rostock 🏆
Germany
Position#5
Record1-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game85.3
GermanyBBLRound 4· Edel-optics.de Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Hamburg v Rostock
03 Oct 2026
HAM84
ROS91
22 Apr 2026
HAM91
ROS86
08 Mar 2025
HAM78
ROS77
10 Feb 2024
HAM105
ROS89
03 Feb 2023
HAM81
ROS91
12 Apr 2019
HAM84
ROS74
06 Apr 2019
HAM79
ROS64
14 Dec 2018
HAM83
ROS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
94-99
94
99
-5
84avg 73
A10/04
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
83-92
83
92
-9
76avg 73
H19/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
86avg 73
H22/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
60avg 73
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
60avg 73
A03/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
73-90
73
90
-17
59avg 73
H07/05
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
71-103
71
103
-32
33avg 73
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#6
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 73
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#15
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
76avg 73
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 73
A27/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
21-19
32-16
21-33
10-33
18-20
24-16
31-23
19-18
24-18
13-20
24-24
20-29
12-13
19-19
21-20
15-29
27-18
17-22
12-16
14-22
21-26
21-20
17-22
13-27
20-28
17-31
21-17
15-25
19-20
20-29
18-22
22-22
20-21
15-17
26-23
19-8
27-15
12-28
16-24
169.2Avg total
79.5Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.087.0167.0-7.033%
Season at home (1)94.090.0184.0+4.0100%
Season away (2)73.085.5158.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)79.589.7169.2-10.220%
Last 5 (5)76.890.8167.6-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)84.691.5176.1-6.841%
vs Similar (10)87.380.6167.9+6.760%
vs Weaker (3)87.791.0178.7-3.333%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
64-86
64
86
-22
53avg 76
A27/04
BBL
Jena
#16
W
89-79
89
79
+10
86avg 76
H02/05
BBL
Vechta
#7
W
90-78
90
78
+12
82avg 76
A08/05
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
103-71
103
71
+32
78avg 76
H10/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
91-71
91
71
+20
90avg 76
H12/05
BBL
Trier
#12
L
69-76
69
76
-7
56avg 76
A14/05
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#16
W
102-92
102
92
+10
98avg 76
H19/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
68avg 76
A24/09
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
L
82-83
82
83
-1
71avg 76
A27/09
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
58avg 76
A29/09
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
11-19
28-17
9-25
23-13
23-20
27-28
16-18
25-24
32-18
19-18
14-18
27-13
28-20
31-17
17-21
21-17
21-21
25-9
24-24
24-24
19-23
17-15
9-14
39-11
22-22
17-26
24-33
20-10
24-31
20-16
14-24
13-30
21-16
27-24
21-13
18-25
19-24
17-24
19-21
165.2Avg total
84.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.385.3172.7+2.033%
Season at home (1)102.092.0194.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)80.082.0162.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)84.181.1165.2+3.050%
Last 5 (5)80.885.2166.0-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.888.5166.3-10.70%
vs Similar (8)79.177.4156.5+1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.482.3169.7+5.150%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.7-7.7Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -4.4-4.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.7-7.7Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -4.4-4.4
HamburgRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A10/04
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
28-53
28
53
-25
H19/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H22/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A03/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H07/05
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#15
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A27/09
BBL
81.8Avg total
37.6Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.644.386.9-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.444.889.2-0.456%-
Last 30 away (14)40.543.784.2-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)37.644.281.8-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.880.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)41.145.286.3-4.235%-
vs Similar (10)44.341.085.3+3.360%-
vs Weaker (3)45.350.095.3-4.733%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A27/04
BBL
Jena
#16
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H02/05
BBL
Vechta
#7
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A08/05
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H10/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H12/05
BBL
Trier
#12
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/05
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#16
W
61-33
61
33
+28
H19/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A24/09
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A27/09
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A29/09
Eurocup
85.2Avg total
44.6Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.782.9+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.037.382.3+7.779%-
Last 30 away (16)41.741.883.4-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)44.640.685.2+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.287.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.242.882.0-3.750%-
vs Similar (8)43.641.284.9+2.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.637.782.2+6.969%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.5
52.1%
55.7%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.97.8
28.0%
33.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.313.7
71.0%
73.2%13.7
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.4
52.1%
55.7%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.8
36.6%
33.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws14.410.7
74.3%
73.2%10.7
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LWLLLLLWLL
Rostock
LLLWLWWWWL
#17
League position
#5
-11.3
Net rating
+3.3
85.8
Offensive rating
96.0
97.1
Defensive rating
92.7
47.8%
Effective FG%
53.5%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.22
28.0%
3-point %
36.6%
56.0%
Assist %
60.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence85.8 · 96.0Defence97.1 · 92.7Shooting47.8% · 53.5%3-point %28.0% · 36.6%Ball care16.2% · 15.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Hamburg   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Hamburg wins
4
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
10/05/26Rostock v Hamburg103-71
22/04/26Hamburg v Rostock91-86 OT
08/03/25Hamburg v Rostock78-77
26/12/24Rostock v Hamburg92-78
10/02/24Hamburg v Rostock105-89
13/01/24Rostock v Hamburg94-111
03/02/23Hamburg v Rostock81-91
18/12/22Rostock v Hamburg82-76
15/04/19Rostock v Hamburg85-91
12/04/19Hamburg v Rostock84-74
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26AOldenburg74-75
25/09/26HChemnitz94-90 OT
19/09/26ABonn72-96
10/05/26ARostock71-103
07/05/26HWurzburg73-90
03/05/26ABamberg71-85
25/04/26AUlm72-81
22/04/26HRostock91-86 OT
19/04/26HVechta83-92
10/04/26ASyntainics MBC94-99
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/26AHapoel Jerusalem73-94
27/09/26ABasketball Braunschweig82-83
24/09/26ALudwigsburg78-81
19/09/26HPhoenix Hagen102-92
14/05/26ATrier69-76
12/05/26HLudwigsburg91-71
10/05/26HHamburg103-71
08/05/26AVechta90-78
02/05/26HJena89-79
27/04/26ABayern64-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game80.094.073.0
Allowed / game87.090.085.5
Point differential-7.0+4.0-12.5
Avg total167.0184.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %33%100%0%
Rostock
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game87.3102.080.0
Allowed / game85.392.082.0
Point differential+2.0+10.0-2.0
Avg total172.7194.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern220100%101.566.5+35.0
2 Oldenburg330100%82.774.3+8.3
3 Basketball Braunschweig220100%99.594.5+5.0
4 Trier32167%103.793.7+10.0
5 Wurzburg32167%80.373.3+7.0
6 Ludwigsburg32167%87.086.7+0.3
7 Ulm32167%82.081.7+0.3
8 Alba Berlin32167%81.386.7-5.3
9 Frankfurt21150%88.087.5+0.5
10 Bonn42250%82.283.2-1.0
11 Rostock31233%87.385.3+2.0
12 Bamberg31233%92.092.7-0.7
13 Syntainics MBC31233%76.778.3-1.7
14 Chemnitz31233%88.792.0-3.3
15 Jena31233%75.382.0-6.7
16 Hamburg31233%80.087.0-7.0
17 Phoenix Hagen3030%87.796.3-8.7
18 Vechta3030%73.093.3-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg1319193384
Rostock2125212491
← all games of the day
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