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Hamburg vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 77-66
17-18 21-12 15-16 24-20
Position#15
Record11-20
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game86.5
Hamburg 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#14
Record10-20
FormWWLLL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game89.1
GermanyBBLRound 31
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Hamburg v Crailsheim Merlins
30 Apr 2024
HAM94
CME88
25 Apr 2023
HAM77
CME66
01 Apr 2022
HAM113
CME63
10 Jan 2021
HAM89
CME72
29 Feb 2020
HAM91
CME92
24 Feb 2018
HAM73
CME79
06 Nov 2016
HAM84
CME90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Trento
#18
W
89-87
89
87
+2
84avg 75
H21/03
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
W
84-70
84
70
+14
88avg 75
H25/03
BBL
Gran Canaria
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
66avg 75
A29/03
Eurocup
Bonn
#1
L
66-76
66
76
-10
54avg 75
A01/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
98-71
98
71
+27
101avg 75
A04/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
78-112
78
112
-34
66avg 75
A09/04
BBL
Prometey
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
70avg 75
A11/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
56avg 75
H16/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
90-86
90
86
+4
81avg 75
H19/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
80-123
80
123
-43
75avg 75
A22/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
22-19
28-19
17-23
25-13
16-27
19-16
24-14
13-22
20-19
20-28
20-17
16-20
21-25
14-13
15-18
26-22
29-13
20-19
23-17
23-26
14-32
24-26
17-28
20-28
20-20
16-21
23-18
11-20
21-20
15-28
16-15
24-23
26-27
17-13
23-23
18-37
19-31
22-33
21-22
168.1Avg total
80.0Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.286.5167.7-5.435%
Season at home (16)81.985.2167.1-3.438%
Season away (15)80.487.9168.3-7.533%
Last 10 (10)80.088.1168.1-8.140%
Last 5 (5)78.098.2176.2-20.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.087.3160.3-14.38%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.186.9171.9-1.847%
vs Weaker (2)94.575.5170.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
83-101
83
101
-18
80avg 78
A02/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 78
A05/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
79-86
79
86
-7
70avg 78
A12/03
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
76-68
76
68
+8
70avg 78
H18/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
72avg 78
A26/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
93-88
93
88
+5
91avg 78
H01/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
78-73
78
73
+5
75avg 78
H05/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
77-82
77
82
-5
74avg 78
A08/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
85-86
85
86
-1
79avg 78
H15/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
53avg 78
H23/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
22-30
13-17
26-22
22-27
21-20
16-24
27-23
15-21
17-19
22-20
25-26
22-14
10-23
15-22
29-9
30-22
16-23
21-24
15-24
30-21
21-23
23-27
19-17
14-20
22-24
14-17
28-12
18-12
19-29
20-21
20-20
24-20
25-16
18-31
18-19
12-13
19-15
24-22
14-28
165.7Avg total
80.8Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)85.389.1174.4-3.833%
Season at home (15)87.887.3175.1+0.547%
Season away (15)82.890.9173.7-8.120%
Last 10 (10)80.884.9165.7-4.130%
Last 5 (5)80.481.4161.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.591.4173.9-8.815%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.888.2175.0-1.440%
vs Weaker (2)85.576.0161.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
HamburgCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#18
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H21/03
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H25/03
BBL
Gran Canaria
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A29/03
Eurocup
Bonn
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A04/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A09/04
BBL
Prometey
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A11/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H16/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H19/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
37-68
37
68
-31
A22/04
BBL
87.6Avg total
40.6Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.144.286.3-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.542.284.7+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)41.746.187.8-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)40.647.087.6-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.252.892.0-13.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.345.584.8-6.231%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.943.687.5+0.353%-
vs Weaker (2)47.039.586.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A02/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A05/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A12/03
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H18/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A26/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H01/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H15/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H23/04
BBL
82.5Avg total
40.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.885.4-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.843.083.8-2.247%-
Last 30 away (15)42.444.687.0-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)40.142.482.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.679.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.745.183.8-6.423%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.943.287.1+0.760%-
vs Weaker (2)43.040.083.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.3
50.1%
54.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.5
34.7%
35.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.613.2
71.0%
75.8%13.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.516.1
52.8%
54.4%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.0
36.9%
35.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.014.6
81.1%
75.8%14.6
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LWLLLWLLWW
Crailsheim Merlins
LLLWWLWLLL
#15
League position
#14
-10.7
Net rating
-5.4
105.7
Offensive rating
109.8
116.4
Defensive rating
115.1
50.8%
Effective FG%
54.1%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
19.7%
Turnover %
18.8%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.7%
3-point %
36.9%
63.5%
Assist %
59.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 109.8Defence116.4 · 115.1Shooting50.8% · 54.1%3-point %34.7% · 36.9%Ball care19.7% · 18.8%Off. rebounds34.3% · 27.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Hamburg   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hamburg wins
8
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/23ASyntainics MBC80-123
19/04/23HHeidelberg90-86
16/04/23HAlba Berlin63-83
11/04/23APrometey79-87
09/04/23AUlm78-112
04/04/23AGottingen98-71
01/04/23ABonn66-76
29/03/23AGran Canaria73-86
25/03/23HFrankfurt84-70
21/03/23HTrento89-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23HBayern69-78
15/04/23HWurzburg85-86
08/04/23ALudwigsburg77-82
05/04/23HBayreuth78-73
01/04/23HBasketball Braunschweig93-88
26/03/23AHeidelberg82-93
18/03/23HUlm76-68
12/03/23ARostock79-86
05/03/23AOldenburg86-94
02/03/23ABonn83-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL35%
HomeLLWLW38%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %35%38%33%
Points / game81.281.980.4
Allowed / game86.585.287.9
Point differential-5.4-3.4-7.5
Avg total167.7167.1168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeWWWLL47%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %33%47%20%
Points / game85.387.882.8
Allowed / game89.187.390.9
Point differential-3.8+0.5-8.1
Avg total174.4175.1173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%13%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn3028293%89.072.7+16.3
2 Alba Berlin3229391%88.477.0+11.4
3 Bayern3024680%81.574.2+7.3
4 Oldenburg31191261%85.783.7+2.0
5 Ludwigsburg30171357%86.785.0+1.6
6 Gottingen30171357%86.286.7-0.5
7 Ulm30161453%87.484.8+2.6
8 Wurzburg31151648%81.583.4-1.8
9 Rostock30141647%83.588.0-4.5
10 Chemnitz31141745%83.783.0+0.7
11 Bamberg31141745%87.487.5-0.1
12 Heidelberg30121840%86.790.0-3.3
13 Hamburg31112035%81.286.5-5.4
14 Syntainics MBC29101934%83.387.2-3.9
15 Crailsheim Merlins30102033%85.389.1-3.8
16 Basketball Braunschweig3092130%79.983.9-4.1
17 Frankfurt3082227%79.987.0-7.1
18 Bayreuth3062420%82.090.2-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg1721152477
Crailsheim Merlins1812162066
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