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Hamburg vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-72
26-15 27-20 18-13 18-24
Position#7
Record7-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game78.0
Hamburg 🏆
Germany
vs
Crailsheim Merlins
Germany
Position#5
Record10-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game79.5
GermanyBBLRound 12
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Hamburg v Crailsheim Merlins
30 Apr 2024
HAM94
CME88
25 Apr 2023
HAM77
CME66
01 Apr 2022
HAM113
CME63
10 Jan 2021
HAM89
CME72
29 Feb 2020
HAM91
CME92
24 Feb 2018
HAM73
CME79
06 Nov 2016
HAM84
CME90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#8
W
78-75
78
75
+3
70avg 75
H08/11
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
90-61
90
61
+29
81avg 75
A22/11
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
93-63
93
63
+30
91avg 75
A03/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
85-80
85
80
+5
79avg 75
A06/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
100-79
100
79
+21
no box
H10/12
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
69-73
69
73
-4
62avg 75
H13/12
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
98-94
98
94
+4
90avg 75
A20/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 75
H27/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
65-86
65
86
-21
55avg 75
A29/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
92-74
92
74
+18
86avg 75
H02/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
15-24
15-14
23-11
14-13
32-18
24-15
20-15
23-28
12-11
30-15
28-9
22-12
23-15
17-32
23-21
26-18
28-14
26-28
20-19
25-20
15-18
14-15
15-20
30-29
19-18
22-22
27-25
16-17
17-28
19-22
23-28
21-31
14-16
15-18
15-21
24-16
25-11
24-29
19-18
162.5Avg total
84.5Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.578.0162.5+6.570%
Season at home (5)82.879.2162.0+3.660%
Season away (5)86.276.8163.0+9.480%
Last 10 (10)84.578.0162.5+6.570%
Last 5 (5)79.884.4164.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)79.891.3171.2-11.515%
vs Similar ◀ (3)79.787.3167.0-7.733%
vs Weaker (7)90.478.0168.4+12.486%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#8
W
101-95
101
95
+6
98avg 85
H22/11
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
89-77
89
77
+12
80avg 85
H04/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
88-97
88
97
-9
82avg 85
A06/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
88-76
88
76
+12
no box
H09/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
94-80
94
80
+14
97avg 85
H12/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
108-75
108
75
+33
109avg 85
A20/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
76-64
76
64
+12
61avg 85
H22/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
98-81
98
81
+17
87avg 85
A27/12
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 85
H29/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
86-80
86
80
+6
75avg 85
A03/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
30-27
23-18
20-23
29-14
19-15
18-28
23-20
18-24
25-25
22-25
23-23
19-14
20-18
22-23
27-21
23-19
16-13
29-30
26-18
30-10
30-23
19-20
29-22
11-15
23-19
19-17
23-13
31-22
17-30
27-7
23-22
19-16
22-17
26-36
19-15
22-18
21-21
24-21
19-20
172.3Avg total
91.4Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.779.5170.3+11.291%
Season at home (6)89.079.3168.3+9.7100%
Season away (5)92.879.8172.6+13.080%
Last 10 (10)91.480.9172.3+10.590%
Last 5 (5)90.876.8167.6+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.889.1172.9-5.344%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.888.7177.4+0.156%
vs Weaker (12)89.078.7167.7+10.392%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +3.5+3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +3.5+3.5
HamburgCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#8
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H08/11
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A22/11
BBL
Bonn
#13
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A03/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A06/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H10/12
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H13/12
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A20/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H27/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A29/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H02/01
BBL
80.9Avg total
42.6Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.545.986.4-5.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.944.686.6-2.736%-
Last 30 away (16)39.247.086.2-7.825%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.380.9+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.882.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)39.449.989.2-10.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.344.082.3-5.70%-
vs Weaker (7)44.435.479.9+9.071%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#8
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H22/11
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H04/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A06/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H09/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H12/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
60-33
60
33
+27
A20/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H22/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/12
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H29/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A03/01
BBL
84.0Avg total
45.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.842.286.0+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.039.881.8+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)45.944.990.8+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)45.338.784.0+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)45.238.283.4+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.844.084.8-3.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.344.689.9+0.867%-
vs Weaker (12)44.939.184.0+5.858%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.5
54.2%
54.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.6
35.3%
37.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.814.7
70.7%
78.0%14.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.5
55.9%
54.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.111.2
41.3%
37.1%33.6
🏀 Free throws25.920.2
78.0%
78.0%20.2
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
WLLWLWWWWW
Crailsheim Merlins
WWWWWWWLWW
#7
League position
#5
+9.1
Net rating
+14.6
111.0
Offensive rating
121.9
102.0
Defensive rating
107.3
53.7%
Effective FG%
58.6%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.1%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.43
35.3%
3-point %
41.3%
58.1%
Assist %
58.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 121.9Defence102.0 · 107.3Shooting53.7% · 58.6%3-point %35.3% · 41.3%Ball care17.9% · 18.1%Off. rebounds32.4% · 33.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Hamburg   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hamburg wins
6
Crailsheim Merlins wins
DateGameScore
29/02/20Hamburg v Crailsheim Merlins91-92 OT
19/01/20Crailsheim Merlins v Hamburg101-98
24/02/18Hamburg v Crailsheim Merlins73-79
25/11/17Crailsheim Merlins v Hamburg82-72
25/03/17Crailsheim Merlins v Hamburg82-81
06/11/16Hamburg v Crailsheim Merlins84-90
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/21HVechta92-74
29/12/20ALudwigsburg65-86
27/12/20HChemnitz75-95
20/12/20AGottingen98-94
13/12/20HUlm69-73
10/12/20HGiessen100-79
06/12/20ASyntainics MBC85-80
03/12/20ABonn93-63
22/11/20As.Oliver Wurzburg90-61
08/11/20HBamberg78-75
Crailsheim Merlinslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/21As.Oliver Wurzburg86-80
29/12/20HUlm86-84
27/12/20AVechta98-81
22/12/20HFrankfurt76-64
20/12/20ABasketball Braunschweig108-75
12/12/20HOldenburg94-80
09/12/20HChemnitz88-76
06/12/20ALudwigsburg88-97
04/12/20HGottingen89-77
22/11/20HBamberg101-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW70%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game84.582.886.2
Allowed / game78.079.276.8
Point differential+6.5+3.6+9.4
Avg total162.5162.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %91%100%80%
Points / game90.789.092.8
Allowed / game79.579.379.8
Point differential+11.2+9.7+13.0
Avg total170.3168.3172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%67%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg1211192%89.678.8+10.8
2 Crailsheim Merlins1110191%90.779.5+11.2
3 Alba Berlin98189%84.375.6+8.8
4 Oldenburg1210283%92.082.1+9.9
5 Bayern108280%86.575.8+10.7
6 Hamburg107370%84.578.0+6.5
7 Ulm116555%84.379.9+4.4
8 Basketball Braunschweig84450%88.091.5-3.5
9 Frankfurt115645%79.181.0-1.9
10 Bamberg125742%80.981.4-0.5
11 Syntainics MBC104640%83.987.2-3.3
12 s.Oliver Wurzburg114736%78.183.5-5.4
13 Bayreuth124833%82.287.9-5.8
14 Bonn113827%78.783.8-5.1
15 Chemnitz113827%84.090.0-6.0
16 Gottingen113827%81.691.5-9.9
17 Giessen1221017%84.794.7-10.0
18 Vechta121118%78.186.8-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg2627181889
Crailsheim Merlins1520132472
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