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Hamburg vs Oldenburg Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 17 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record3-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game90.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
3.5/10
Below normal
Position#12
Record4-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game83.4
GermanyBBLRound 22· Inselpark Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Hamburg v Oldenburg
17 Feb 2027
HAM v OLD
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
HAM69
OLD94
06 Oct 2024
HAM87
OLD78
20 Jan 2024
HAM80
OLD91
27 Dec 2022
HAM95
OLD96
05 Mar 2022
HAM101
OLD85
14 Apr 2021
HAM80
OLD74
05 Apr 2020
HAM v OLD
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oldenburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
71-103
71
103
-32
33avg 73
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 73
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
76avg 73
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 73
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
71avg 73
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#5
L
78-89
78
89
-11
63avg 73
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-96
77
96
-19
60avg 73
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
89-109
89
109
-20
78avg 73
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
20-28
17-31
21-17
15-25
19-20
20-29
18-22
22-22
20-21
15-17
26-23
19-8
27-15
12-28
16-24
13-21
19-25
19-21
33-24
24-27
19-15
19-26
16-21
23-27
18-15
12-29
24-25
24-25
25-29
14-27
26-28
32-18
21-28
22-22
16-19
24-17
33-23
24-16
10-28
174.1Avg total
82.1Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.390.8174.1-7.433%
Season at home (4)89.593.5183.0-4.050%
Season away (5)78.488.6167.0-10.220%
Last 10 (10)82.192.0174.1-9.930%
Last 5 (5)85.293.0178.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)82.792.0174.7-9.328%
vs Similar ◀ (8)88.182.4170.5+5.850%
vs Weaker (4)88.590.0178.5-1.550%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOldenburg
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
54avg 69
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
W
96-81
96
81
+15
95avg 69
H20/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
77-68
77
68
+9
68avg 69
A25/09
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
75-74
75
74
+1
71avg 69
H27/09
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
60-113
60
113
-53
44avg 69
A04/10
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
L
78-87
78
87
-9
70avg 69
H10/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
L
70-80
70
80
-10
62avg 69
H23/10
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
65-81
65
81
-16
55avg 69
A31/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#7
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
A08/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
L
77-95
77
95
-18
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
16-20
15-19
16-19
27-25
27-16
14-22
28-18
21-12
19-21
13-21
24-14
8-19
15-27
28-12
24-16
18-17
13-40
18-32
11-24
20-29
19-24
18-13
21-21
24-25
15-12
25-23
6-20
20-18
12-26
20-16
13-21
22-19
22-20
15-20
15-13
18-23
11-28
17-31
31-13
156.7Avg total
73.9Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.783.4158.1-8.844%
Season at home (5)79.283.4162.6-4.240%
Season away (4)69.083.5152.5-14.550%
Last 10 (10)73.982.8156.7-8.940%
Last 5 (5)72.883.0155.8-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.285.7158.8-12.533%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.685.8170.3-1.258%
vs Weaker (6)86.283.8170.0+2.367%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: -7.2-7.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: -7.2-7.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
HamburgOldenburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H14/11
BBL
86.6Avg total
43.0Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.945.488.3-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.846.590.3-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)42.044.386.3-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.686.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)48.644.893.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)40.645.686.1-5.028%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)46.043.189.1+2.950%-
vs Weaker (4)47.249.096.2-1.850%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H20/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A25/09
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
23-46
23
46
-23
H27/09
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A04/10
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H10/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H23/10
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A31/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A08/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H14/11
BBL
80.7Avg total
36.7Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.344.583.8-5.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.944.686.5-2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)36.644.481.0-7.813%-
Last 10 (10)36.744.080.7-7.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.644.881.4-8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.943.480.3-6.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.746.686.2-6.933%-
vs Weaker (6)43.242.585.7+0.733%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.1
50.3%
55.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.28.8
28.2%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.814.3
72.2%
73.4%14.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.8
52.4%
55.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.6
35.1%
33.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.712.3
65.8%
73.4%12.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
WWLLLLLWLL
Oldenburg
LWLLLLWWWL
#15
League position
#12
-16.1
Net rating
-7.3
86.6
Offensive rating
91.7
102.7
Defensive rating
99.0
46.5%
Effective FG%
52.5%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
14.6%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.2%
3-point %
35.1%
55.6%
Assist %
57.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence86.6 · 91.7Defence102.7 · 99.0Shooting46.5% · 52.5%3-point %28.2% · 35.1%Ball care14.6% · 17.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Hamburg   ■ Oldenburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Hamburg wins
7
Oldenburg wins
DateGameScore
27/09/26Oldenburg v Hamburg75-74
01/04/26Oldenburg v Hamburg77-96
27/12/25Hamburg v Oldenburg69-94
15/03/25Oldenburg v Hamburg99-81
06/10/24Hamburg v Oldenburg87-78
14/05/24Oldenburg v Hamburg81-93
28/04/24Oldenburg v Hamburg107-92
20/01/24Hamburg v Oldenburg80-91
19/03/23Oldenburg v Hamburg94-58
27/12/22Hamburg v Oldenburg95-96
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HWurzburg91-84
09/11/26AJena91-87
01/11/26HSyntainics MBC89-109
25/10/26ABayern77-96
11/10/26AFrankfurt78-89
03/10/26HRostock84-91
27/09/26AOldenburg74-75
25/09/26HChemnitz94-90 OT
19/09/26ABonn72-96
10/05/26ARostock71-103
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HAlba Berlin77-95
08/11/26ALudwigsburg74-72
31/10/26AUlm65-81
23/10/26HBamberg70-80
10/10/26HPhoenix Hagen78-87
04/10/26ABayern60-113
27/09/26HHamburg75-74
25/09/26AWurzburg77-68
20/09/26HSyntainics MBC96-81
10/05/26ABayern67-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game83.389.578.4
Allowed / game90.893.588.6
Point differential-7.4-4.0-10.2
Avg total174.1183.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Oldenburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game74.779.269.0
Allowed / game83.483.483.5
Point differential-8.8-4.2-14.5
Avg total158.1162.6152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
6 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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