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Helios Domzale vs Cedevita Junior Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-80
21-19 24-23 19-12 14-26
Position#10
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game69.5
vs
Position#9
Record3-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game73.2
EuropeABA League 2Round 5· Sportna dvorana Domzale
Other2024
Meetings · Helios Domzale v Cedevita Junior
04 Dec 2024
HDO78
CEDE80
30 Jan 2024
HDO88
CEDE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Helios Domzale winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita Junior winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Helios DomzaleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
Tivat
#13
W
69-62
69
62
+7
63avg 75
H09/10
ABA League 2
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
73-48
73
48
+25
70avg 75
H12/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
66-86
66
86
-20
53avg 75
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#5
W
72-70
72
70
+2
71avg 75
A23/10
ABA League 2
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
79-65
79
65
+14
76avg 75
H28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
W
90-68
90
68
+22
85avg 75
H02/11
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#5
W
68-67
68
67
+1
63avg 75
H05/11
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
70-67
70
67
+3
65avg 75
A09/11
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#10
W
94-56
94
56
+38
103avg 75
H16/11
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
90-81
90
81
+9
90avg 75
A30/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
12-20
21-12
20-16
24-14
24-9
14-15
11-10
24-18
19-23
11-15
12-30
17-17
17-13
15-25
23-15
15-18
23-15
22-17
19-15
23-23
18-19
30-10
19-16
16-15
23-11
11-22
18-19
23-15
19-19
18-12
10-21
15-19
25-16
31-8
23-13
27-25
15-18
22-14
26-24
144.1Avg total
77.1Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.069.5143.5+4.5100%
Season at home (2)68.564.5133.0+4.0100%
Season away (2)79.574.5154.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.167.0144.1+10.190%
Last 5 (5)82.467.8150.2+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.882.3158.1-6.520%
vs Similar ◀ (5)78.671.8150.4+6.8100%
vs Weaker (15)84.170.2154.3+13.987%
This opponent (Cedevita Junior) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita JuniorLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJunior
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
83-95
83
95
-12
76avg 80
H14/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
84-63
84
63
+21
79avg 80
A19/10
Premijer liga
Tivat
#13
W
97-76
97
76
+21
100avg 80
A22/10
ABA League 2
Kvarner
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
69avg 80
H26/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
92-69
92
69
+23
88avg 80
A03/11
Premijer liga
Tivat
#13
W
80-55
80
55
+25
76avg 80
H06/11
ABA League 2
Zadar
#1
L
65-68
65
68
-3
54avg 80
H11/11
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
65-63
65
63
+2
56avg 80
A16/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
93-72
93
72
+21
91avg 80
H26/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
91avg 80
A30/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
24-31
10-23
24-19
14-22
23-12
27-7
20-22
20-19
20-19
33-16
24-22
18-23
8-20
23-23
25-17
14-22
30-9
25-15
23-23
26-17
22-18
20-10
12-10
16-19
17-23
11-10
21-16
24-11
11-26
14-14
16-12
22-20
16-15
33-18
22-19
20-17
13-23
25-21
18-15
155.4Avg total
82.1Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.273.2156.5+10.075%
Season at home (3)78.772.3151.0+6.367%
Season away (1)97.076.0173.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.173.3155.4+8.860%
Last 5 (5)78.269.4147.6+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.582.5163.0-2.017%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.285.1167.3-2.944%
vs Weaker (15)86.773.0159.7+13.773%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
Helios DomzaleCedevita Junior
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tivat
#13
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H09/10
ABA League 2
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H12/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#5
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A23/10
ABA League 2
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H02/11
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#5
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H05/11
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A09/11
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H16/11
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A30/11
Liga Nova KBM
73.6Avg total
39.5Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.238.979.1+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.539.179.6+1.456%-
Last 30 away (14)39.838.878.6+1.057%-
Last 10 (10)39.534.173.6+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.076.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.443.782.1-5.330%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.636.875.4+1.840%-
vs Weaker (15)41.936.578.3+5.480%-
This opponent (Cedevita Junior) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita JuniorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H14/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A19/10
Premijer liga
Tivat
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/10
ABA League 2
Kvarner
#4
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H26/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A03/11
Premijer liga
Tivat
#13
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H06/11
ABA League 2
Zadar
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H11/11
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A16/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H26/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A30/11
Premijer liga
77.1Avg total
38.3Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.582.5+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.241.386.5+3.950%-
Last 30 away (12)37.039.476.4-2.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.338.877.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.875.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.543.886.3-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.644.487.0-1.944%-
vs Weaker (15)41.336.978.2+4.560%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.4
55.6%
52.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.4
34.7%
31.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.412.5
71.8%
72.5%12.5
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevita Juniortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Junior: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.8
54.0%
52.1%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.8
34.4%
31.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.312.1
66.1%
72.5%12.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Helios Domzale
WWWWWWWLWW
Cedevita Junior
LWWLWWLWWL
#10
League position
#9
+14.2
Net rating
+11.6
105.2
Offensive rating
109.4
91.0
Defensive rating
97.8
54.1%
Effective FG%
53.2%
45.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
20.7%
Turnover %
19.0%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.7%
3-point %
34.4%
71.2%
Assist %
60.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 109.4Defence91.0 · 97.8Shooting54.1% · 53.2%3-point %34.7% · 34.4%Ball care20.7% · 19.0%Off. rebounds29.8% · 36.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Helios Domzale   ■ Cedevita Junior
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Helios Domzale wins
0
Cedevita Junior wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24ARogaska90-81
16/11/24HLTH Castings94-56
09/11/24AZlatorog Lasko70-67
05/11/24HMZT Skopje68-67
02/11/24HPerspektiva Ilirija90-68
28/10/24HTajfun Sentjur79-65
23/10/24AMZT Skopje72-70
16/10/24AKK Krka Novo mesto66-86
12/10/24HKK Triglav Kranj73-48
09/10/24HTivat69-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24AZabok88-89 OT
26/11/24HGKK Sibenka93-72
16/11/24AAlkar65-63
11/11/24HZadar65-68
06/11/24HTivat80-55
03/11/24ADinamo Zagreb92-69
26/10/24HKvarner74-83
22/10/24ATivat97-76
19/10/24ADubrovnik84-63
14/10/24HSplit83-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Helios Domzale
ABA League 2 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game74.068.579.5
Allowed / game69.564.574.5
Point differential+4.5+4.0+5.0
Avg total143.5133.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cedevita Junior
ABA League 2 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLWW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game83.278.797.0
Allowed / game73.272.376.0
Point differential+10.0+6.3+21.0
Avg total156.5151.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helios Domzale440100%74.069.5+4.5
2 Podgorica54180%55.246.6+8.6
3 KK Bosna43175%82.270.8+11.5
4 Vojvodina Novi Sad43175%88.577.5+11.0
5 Cedevita Junior43175%83.273.2+10.0
6 Pelister43175%48.240.5+7.8
7 Perspektiva Ilirija53260%81.273.6+7.6
8 Sutjeska53260%83.879.0+4.8
9 Zlatibor53260%80.678.6+2.0
10 Borac Banja Luka53260%77.276.4+0.8
11 Siroki Brijeg42250%61.555.0+6.5
12 MZT Skopje41325%70.066.8+3.2
13 GKK Sibenka51420%68.478.8-10.4
14 Tivat4040%60.878.5-17.8
15 Joker5050%0.020.0-20.0
16 Rabotnicki5050%65.488.2-22.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Helios Domzale2124191478
Cedevita Junior1923122680
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