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Helios Domzale vs LTH Castings Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 94-56
15-19 25-16 31-8 23-13
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game66.1
vs
Position#10
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game78.6
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 8· Sportna dvorana Domzale
Other2024-25
Meetings · Helios Domzale v LTH Castings
16 Nov 2024
HDO94
LTH 56
20 Oct 2023
HDO77
LTH 72
03 Mar 2023
HDO90
LTH 84
14 Oct 2022
HDO104
LTH 61
12 Nov 2016
HDO85
LTH 70
28 Nov 2015
HDO69
LTH 68
22 Dec 2012
HDO80
LTH 65
31 Jan 2012
HDO92
LTH 52
23 Oct 2010
HDO93
LTH 80
28 Dec 2009
HDO79
LTH 73
25 Feb 2009
HDO83
LTH 66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Helios Domzale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LTH Castings winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Helios DomzaleSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
Sencur
#5
W
79-57
79
57
+22
81avg 74
H30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
67-72
67
72
-5
61avg 74
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tivat
#13
W
69-62
69
62
+7
63avg 74
H09/10
ABA League 2
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
73-48
73
48
+25
70avg 74
H12/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
66-86
66
86
-20
53avg 74
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#5
W
72-70
72
70
+2
71avg 74
A23/10
ABA League 2
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
79-65
79
65
+14
76avg 74
H28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
W
90-68
90
68
+22
85avg 74
H02/11
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#5
W
68-67
68
67
+1
63avg 74
H05/11
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
70-67
70
67
+3
65avg 74
A09/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
12-11
27-16
19-14
14-25
21-11
9-21
23-15
16-14
12-20
21-12
20-16
24-14
24-9
14-15
11-10
24-18
19-23
11-15
12-30
17-17
17-13
15-25
23-15
15-18
23-15
22-17
19-15
23-23
18-19
30-10
19-16
16-15
23-11
11-22
18-19
23-15
19-19
18-12
10-21
139.5Avg total
73.3Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.966.1141.0+8.771%
Season at home (4)80.259.5139.8+20.8100%
Season away (3)67.775.0142.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)73.366.2139.5+7.180%
Last 5 (5)75.867.4143.2+8.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.882.3158.1-6.520%
vs Similar (7)66.661.9128.4+4.786%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)82.870.5153.3+12.485%
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LTH CastingsSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastings
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
74-84
74
84
-10
62avg 66
A28/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
69avg 66
A05/10
Liga Nova KBM
Grosuplje
#22
W
79-70
79
70
+9
no box
A09/10
Slovenian Cup
Rogaska
#7
W
79-60
79
60
+19
72avg 66
H14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
64-77
64
77
-13
50avg 66
A18/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
57avg 66
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#11
L
88-96
88
96
-8
no box
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
72-86
72
86
-14
60avg 66
A02/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
69-88
69
88
-19
65avg 66
H06/11
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#11
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
A12/11
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
13-20
19-31
20-11
17-17
14-20
16-17
26-21
17-16
19-13
24-21
19-20
23-19
9-9
25-21
22-11
22-27
11-17
12-18
19-15
15-16
14-18
15-26
25-20
21-25
23-30
25-19
19-22
16-18
14-19
14-23
28-26
13-27
13-19
20-23
23-19
26-21
19-15
18-19
18-20
153.9Avg total
74.8Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.478.6150.0-7.114%
Season at home (3)72.376.0148.3-3.733%
Season away (4)70.880.5151.2-9.80%
Last 10 (10)74.879.1153.9-4.330%
Last 5 (5)75.885.0160.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)71.482.0153.4-10.613%
vs Similar (14)77.081.1158.1-4.143%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +3.4+3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +3.4+3.4
Helios DomzaleLTH Castings
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#5
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tivat
#13
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H09/10
ABA League 2
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H12/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#5
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A23/10
ABA League 2
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H02/11
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#5
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H05/11
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A09/11
Liga Nova KBM
70.7Avg total
38.1Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.638.978.4+0.755%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.639.278.8+0.450%-
Last 30 away (13)39.638.578.1+1.262%-
Last 10 (10)38.132.670.7+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.833.071.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.443.782.1-5.330%-
vs Similar (6)36.336.873.2-0.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.036.178.1+5.985%-
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LTH CastingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A28/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A05/10
Liga Nova KBM
Grosuplje
#22
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A09/10
Slovenian Cup
Rogaska
#7
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A18/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#11
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A02/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H06/11
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A12/11
Slovenian Cup
72.9Avg total
34.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.340.676.9-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.138.375.4-1.236%-
Last 30 away (16)35.642.778.2-7.119%-
Last 10 (10)34.138.872.9-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)34.841.676.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.140.174.1-6.013%-
vs Similar (14)38.642.180.7-3.436%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.9
53.7%
53.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.6
31.1%
32.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.812.1
72.0%
72.0%12.1
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LTH Castingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LTH Castings: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.2
52.3%
53.3%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.2
28.2%
32.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws13.09.3
71.5%
72.0%9.3
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Helios Domzale
WWWWWLWWLW
LTH Castings
WLLLLLWWLL
#3
League position
#10
+10.4
Net rating
-13.5
100.5
Offensive rating
95.2
90.1
Defensive rating
108.7
50.8%
Effective FG%
48.4%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
20.4%
Turnover %
20.1%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.20
31.1%
3-point %
28.2%
69.1%
Assist %
54.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 95.2Defence90.1 · 108.7Shooting50.8% · 48.4%3-point %31.1% · 28.2%Ball care20.4% · 20.1%Off. rebounds29.9% · 26.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Helios Domzale   ■ LTH Castings
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Helios Domzale wins
1
LTH Castings wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24AZlatorog Lasko70-67
05/11/24HMZT Skopje68-67
02/11/24HPerspektiva Ilirija90-68
28/10/24HTajfun Sentjur79-65
23/10/24AMZT Skopje72-70
16/10/24AKK Krka Novo mesto66-86
12/10/24HKK Triglav Kranj73-48
09/10/24HTivat69-62
03/10/24ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek67-72
30/09/24HSencur79-57
LTH Castingslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/24ASencur81-75
06/11/24HKK Krka Novo mesto69-88
02/11/24AKK Triglav Kranj72-86
30/10/24HSencur88-96
25/10/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek69-80
18/10/24ASencur64-77
14/10/24HRogaska79-60
09/10/24AGrosuplje79-70
05/10/24ATajfun Sentjur73-75
28/09/24AZlatorog Lasko74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Helios Domzale
Liga Nova KBM 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game74.980.267.7
Allowed / game66.159.575.0
Point differential+8.7+20.8-7.3
Avg total141.0139.8142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
LTH Castings
Liga Nova KBM 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game71.472.370.8
Allowed / game78.676.080.5
Point differential-7.1-3.7-9.8
Avg total150.0148.3151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek770100%78.472.9+5.6
2 KK Krka Novo mesto76186%88.370.7+17.6
3 Helios Domzale75271%74.966.1+8.7
4 Perspektiva Ilirija74357%81.477.9+3.6
5 Rogaska84450%75.578.1-2.6
6 KK Triglav Kranj73443%74.974.4+0.4
7 Tajfun Sentjur73443%70.979.1-8.3
8 Sencur82625%72.879.2-6.5
9 LTH Castings71614%71.478.6-7.1
10 Zlatorog Lasko71614%73.383.3-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Helios Domzale1525312394
LTH Castings191681356
← all games of the day
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