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Helios Domzale vs LTH Castings Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 77-72
19-21 15-14 24-23 19-14
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game77.7
Helios Domzale 🏆
Slovenia
vs
LTH Castings
Slovenia
Position#7
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game95.3
Allowed / game87.7
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 4· Sportna dvorana Domzale
Other2023-24
Meetings · Helios Domzale v LTH Castings
16 Nov 2024
HDO94
LTH 56
20 Oct 2023
HDO77
LTH 72
03 Mar 2023
HDO90
LTH 84
14 Oct 2022
HDO104
LTH 61
12 Nov 2016
HDO85
LTH 70
28 Nov 2015
HDO69
LTH 68
22 Dec 2012
HDO80
LTH 65
31 Jan 2012
HDO92
LTH 52
23 Oct 2010
HDO93
LTH 80
28 Dec 2009
HDO79
LTH 73
25 Feb 2009
HDO83
LTH 66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Helios Domzale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LTH Castings winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Helios DomzaleSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
H01/06
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A03/06
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
no box
H08/06
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
71-99
71
99
-28
no box
A10/06
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
59-76
59
76
-17
47avg 72
A25/09
Supercup
Polzela
#11
W
100-81
100
81
+19
96avg 72
A29/09
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
76-62
76
62
+14
64avg 72
H06/10
Liga Nova KBM
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
56avg 72
A10/10
ABA League 2
Sencur
#12
L
71-76
71
76
-5
59avg 72
H13/10
ABA League 2
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
95-90
95
90
+5
84avg 72
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
20-19
21-17
19-24
18-19
20-23
20-23
24-16
13-20
24-21
20-16
21-25
22-27
18-24
10-27
21-21
24-22
10-19
15-18
10-17
26-22
23-20
28-23
23-16
19-22
18-9
17-14
22-17
28-22
14-20
8-16
23-22
19-22
12-19
21-18
19-17
26-25
21-23
20-24
28-18
160.4Avg total
78.9Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.377.7168.0+12.7100%
Season at home (1)76.062.0138.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)97.585.5183.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.981.5160.4-2.640%
Last 5 (5)83.077.8160.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.293.5174.8-12.225%
vs Similar (8)80.683.6164.2-3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.774.1162.8+14.676%
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LTH CastingsSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastings
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#6
L
93-94
93
94
-1
no box
A19/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
93-80
93
80
+13
no box
H27/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
75-91
75
91
-16
no box
A01/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
80-95
80
95
-15
no box
H15/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#10
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
A21/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
L
80-85
80
85
-5
no box
A29/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H06/05
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
99-95
99
95
+4
85avg 87
H02/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
79-96
79
96
-17
64avg 87
A07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
108-72
108
72
+36
113avg 87
H16/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
28-26
24-19
20-21
17-22
22-18
25-15
29-25
21-22
21-17
21-28
12-24
12-25
21-20
29-27
18-23
26-20
18-18
16-16
18-22
23-24
24-14
12-21
21-26
12-22
15-20
19-22
20-16
33-25
20-21
21-19
25-30
23-22
18-27
20-18
18-29
28-17
27-18
25-18
28-19
171.5Avg total
85.1Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)95.387.7183.0+7.767%
Season at home (2)103.583.5187.0+20.0100%
Season away (1)79.096.0175.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)85.186.4171.5-1.340%
Last 5 (5)86.485.6172.0+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)73.187.2160.2-14.131%
vs Similar (12)85.883.3169.1+2.450%
vs Weaker (2)94.565.0159.5+29.5100%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.6-2.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.6-2.6
Helios DomzaleLTH Castings
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H01/06
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/06
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H08/06
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A10/06
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A25/09
Supercup
Polzela
#11
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A29/09
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H06/10
Liga Nova KBM
Spartak Subotica
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A10/10
ABA League 2
Sencur
#12
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H13/10
ABA League 2
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
82.5Avg total
39.9Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.383.3+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.538.180.5+4.460%-
Last 30 away (15)43.742.586.1+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.682.5-2.720%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.882.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.046.587.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (8)40.944.585.4-3.625%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.136.881.9+8.488%-
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LTH CastingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#6
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A19/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H27/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H15/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A21/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A29/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H06/05
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H02/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H16/10
Liga Nova KBM
85.6Avg total
43.0Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.979.7-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.839.679.4+0.138%-
Last 30 away (14)37.942.380.1-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.685.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.086.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.943.178.9-7.225%-
vs Similar (12)41.540.181.6+1.442%-
vs Weaker (2)47.028.075.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 69.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.9 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.716.4
51.9%
52.9%32.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.2
33.6%
33.0%24.7
🏀 Free throws16.012.0
75.0%
74.0%12.0
They take 56.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LTH Castingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LTH Castings: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.020.3
59.8%
52.9%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.712.0
40.4%
33.0%36.0
🏀 Free throws27.718.0
65.1%
74.0%18.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/3 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Helios Domzale
WLLWWLLLWL
LTH Castings
WLWLLWLLWL
#3
League position
#7
-9.7
Net rating
+10.4
105.1
Offensive rating
118.6
114.8
Defensive rating
108.2
51.3%
Effective FG%
60.2%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.1%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.43
33.6%
3-point %
40.4%
54.5%
Assist %
57.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 118.6Defence114.8 · 108.2Shooting51.3% · 60.2%3-point %33.6% · 40.4%Ball care18.6% · 18.1%Off. rebounds29.7% · 32.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Helios Domzale   ■ LTH Castings
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Helios Domzale wins
1
LTH Castings wins
DateGameScore
03/03/23Helios Domzale v LTH Castings90-84
27/12/22LTH Castings v Helios Domzale43-90
14/10/22Helios Domzale v LTH Castings104-61
31/01/17LTH Castings v Helios Domzale54-85
12/11/16Helios Domzale v LTH Castings85-70
10/02/16LTH Castings v Helios Domzale67-81
28/11/15Helios Domzale v LTH Castings69-68
05/02/14LTH Castings v Helios Domzale70-80
22/12/12Helios Domzale v LTH Castings80-65
20/10/12LTH Castings v Helios Domzale83-79
Helios Domzalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/23APerspektiva Ilirija95-90
13/10/23HSencur71-76
10/10/23ASpartak Subotica73-80
06/10/23HKK Triglav Kranj76-62
29/09/23APolzela100-81
25/09/23ACedevita Olimpija59-76
10/06/23ACedevita Olimpija71-99
08/06/23HCedevita Olimpija78-82
03/06/23ACedevita Olimpija82-81
01/06/23HCedevita Olimpija84-88
LTH Castingslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/23HSencur108-72
07/10/23ARogaska79-96
02/10/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek99-95
06/05/23HKK Krka Novo mesto66-80
29/04/23AZlatorog Lasko80-85
21/04/23APolzela78-76
15/04/23HPerspektiva Ilirija80-95
01/04/23ATajfun Sentjur75-91
27/03/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek93-80
19/03/23ARogaska93-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Helios Domzale
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.376.097.5
Allowed / game77.762.085.5
Point differential+12.7+14.0+12.0
Avg total168.0138.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
LTH Castings
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game95.3103.579.0
Allowed / game87.783.596.0
Point differential+7.7+20.0-17.0
Avg total183.0187.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto440100%94.566.5+28.0
2 Helios Domzale330100%90.377.7+12.7
3 LTH Castings32167%95.387.7+7.7
4 Tajfun Sentjur32167%75.783.7-8.0
5 Rogaska31233%60.063.3-3.3
6 KK Triglav Kranj31233%66.773.0-6.3
7 Sencur31233%77.084.0-7.0
8 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek31233%84.392.3-8.0
9 Perspektiva Ilirija41325%61.067.2-6.2
10 Polzela3030%79.095.7-16.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Helios Domzale1915241977
LTH Castings2114231472
← all games of the day
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