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LTH Castings vs Sencur Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 108-72
28-17 27-18 25-18 28-19
Position#7
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game95.5
vs
Position#5
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game72.0
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 3· Sportna dvorana Poden
Other2023-24
Meetings · LTH Castings v Sencur
04 Jan 2025
LTH 75
SENC94
30 Oct 2024
LTH 88
SENC96
16 Oct 2023
LTH 108
SENC72
13 Mar 2023
LTH 81
SENC74
16 Dec 2022
LTH 85
SENC86
25 Mar 2017
LTH 62
SENC92
25 Feb 2017
LTH 75
SENC73
02 Apr 2016
LTH 86
SENC78
06 Dec 2015
LTH 78
SENC70
30 Nov 2015
LTH 67
SENC78
31 Mar 2010
LTH 61
SENC59
17 Oct 2009
LTH 68
SENC55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LTH Castings winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sencur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LTH CastingsSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastings
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H13/03
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
L
93-94
93
94
-1
no box
A19/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
93-80
93
80
+13
no box
H27/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
75-91
75
91
-16
no box
A01/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
80-95
80
95
-15
no box
H15/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#10
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
A21/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
L
80-85
80
85
-5
no box
A29/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H06/05
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
99-95
99
95
+4
85avg 74
H02/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
79-96
79
96
-17
64avg 74
A07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
20-11
24-18
21-25
21-28
28-26
24-19
20-21
17-22
22-18
25-15
29-25
21-22
21-17
21-28
12-24
12-25
21-20
29-27
18-23
26-20
18-18
16-16
18-22
23-24
24-14
12-21
21-26
12-22
15-20
19-22
20-16
33-25
20-21
21-19
25-30
23-22
18-27
20-18
18-29
169.0Avg total
82.4Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.095.5184.5-6.550%
Season at home (1)99.095.0194.0+4.0100%
Season away (1)79.096.0175.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)82.486.6169.0-4.240%
Last 5 (5)80.486.4166.8-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.187.2160.2-14.131%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.784.4168.1-0.645%
vs Weaker (3)97.763.0160.7+34.7100%
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
80-82 OT
80
82
-2
no box
A08/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
H11/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
76-97
76
97
-21
no box
A14/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
H16/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
64-72
64
72
-8
no box
H19/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
no box
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
64-76
64
76
-12
54avg 71
A30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
95-68
95
68
+27
88avg 71
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Pelister
#11
L
78-82 OT
78
82
-4
70avg 71
H11/10
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#9
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 71
A13/10
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
20-22
17-15
11-24
18-19
20-25
25-20
23-19
23-26
12-29
28-21
13-21
23-14
12-20
21-17
31-21
16-16
17-26
17-19
14-11
25-27
19-22
11-18
15-24
23-20
8-24
16-14
17-18
19-20
27-16
29-22
20-10
16-20
17-20
21-17
15-12
22-19
19-12
18-21
17-19
157.0Avg total
77.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.572.0151.5+7.550%
Season at home (1)95.068.0163.0+27.0100%
Season away (1)64.076.0140.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)77.679.4157.0-1.840%
Last 5 (5)76.677.6154.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.576.9145.4-8.425%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.378.0157.3+1.356%
vs Weaker (13)82.273.1155.3+9.285%
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
LTH CastingsSencur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LTH CastingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H13/03
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A19/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H27/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H15/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A21/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A29/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H06/05
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H02/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A07/10
Liga Nova KBM
83.3Avg total
41.1Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.979.5-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.339.678.9-0.338%-
Last 30 away (14)37.942.380.1-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.283.3-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.685.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.943.178.9-7.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.340.580.8-0.336%-
vs Weaker (3)47.330.377.7+17.0100%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A08/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H11/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A14/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H16/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H19/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Pelister
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/10
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A13/10
ABA League 2
79.4Avg total
38.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.177.7-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.437.476.8+1.959%-
Last 30 away (13)37.741.278.9-3.538%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.179.4-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.079.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.040.975.9-5.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.640.077.6-2.444%-
vs Weaker (13)41.637.378.9+4.369%-
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LTH Castingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LTH Castings: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.5
53.4%
52.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.0
34.5%
33.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws29.019.0
65.5%
74.0%19.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.5 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.820.8
47.4%
52.9%41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.8
29.5%
33.0%23.2
🏀 Free throws17.812.5
70.4%
74.0%12.5
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/4 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LTH Castings
LWLLWLLWLW
Sencur
WLWLLLWLWL
#7
League position
#5
-7.9
Net rating
+5.5
106.4
Offensive rating
106.1
114.3
Defensive rating
100.6
52.7%
Effective FG%
46.2%
60.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.8%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
42.8%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.5%
3-point %
29.5%
50.8%
Assist %
61.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 106.1Defence114.3 · 100.6Shooting52.7% · 46.2%3-point %34.5% · 29.5%Ball care16.5% · 16.8%Off. rebounds25.6% · 42.8%Free throws0.44 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ LTH Castings   ■ Sencur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
LTH Castings wins
6
Sencur wins
DateGameScore
13/03/23LTH Castings v Sencur81-74
16/12/22LTH Castings v Sencur85-86
10/10/22Sencur v LTH Castings72-65
19/04/17Sencur v LTH Castings77-80
25/03/17LTH Castings v Sencur62-92
25/02/17LTH Castings v Sencur75-73 OT
26/11/16Sencur v LTH Castings92-72
26/04/16Sencur v LTH Castings78-65
02/04/16LTH Castings v Sencur86-78
27/02/16Sencur v LTH Castings79-47
LTH Castingslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23ARogaska79-96
02/10/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek99-95
06/05/23HKK Krka Novo mesto66-80
29/04/23AZlatorog Lasko80-85
21/04/23APolzela78-76
15/04/23HPerspektiva Ilirija80-95
01/04/23ATajfun Sentjur75-91
27/03/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek93-80
19/03/23ARogaska93-94
13/03/23HSencur81-74
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23AHelios Domzale76-71
11/10/23HPelister78-82 OT
07/10/23HPerspektiva Ilirija95-68
30/09/23AKK Triglav Kranj64-76
21/05/23ACedevita Olimpija70-91
19/05/23HCedevita Olimpija64-72
16/05/23HPerspektiva Ilirija87-72
14/05/23APerspektiva Ilirija76-97
11/05/23HPerspektiva Ilirija86-83
08/05/23APerspektiva Ilirija80-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LTH Castings
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game89.099.079.0
Allowed / game95.595.096.0
Point differential-6.5+4.0-17.0
Avg total184.5194.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game79.595.064.0
Allowed / game72.068.076.0
Point differential+7.5+27.0-12.0
Avg total151.5163.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto330100%99.766.7+33.0
2 Helios Domzale220100%88.071.5+16.5
3 Tajfun Sentjur32167%75.783.7-8.0
4 Sencur21150%79.572.0+7.5
5 Perspektiva Ilirija21150%44.047.5-3.5
6 LTH Castings21150%89.095.5-6.5
7 Rogaska31233%60.063.3-3.3
8 KK Triglav Kranj31233%66.773.0-6.3
9 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek31233%84.392.3-8.0
10 Polzela3030%79.095.7-16.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LTH Castings28272528108
Sencur1718181972
← all games of the day
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