Helios Domzale vs LTH Castings Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Nov 2015

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 69-68

20-18 22-19 14-9 13-22

Position#4

Record2-3

FormLWLLW

Points / game81.8

Allowed / game68.8

Helios Domzale 🏆

LTH Castings

Position#6

Record4-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game85.0

Allowed / game74.5

Liga Nova KBMRound 6

Other2015-16

Meetings · Helios Domzale v LTH Castings

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Helios Domzale winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

LTH Castings winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Helios Domzale Slovenia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

62-67

-5

A27/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Turow Zgorzelec

#39

50-58

-8

H04/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Zlatorog Lasko

74-63

+11

H07/11

Liga Nova KBM

Jance

#33

96-52

+44

H09/11

Slovenian Cup

Pieno Zvaigzdes

#23

71-80

-9

H11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Sencur

63-69

-6

H14/11

Liga Nova KBM

Jance

#33

94-60

+34

A16/11

Slovenian Cup

Ventspils

72-81

-9

H18/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Rogaska

61-84

-23

A21/11

Liga Nova KBM

Turow Zgorzelec

#39

97-86 OT

+11

A24/11

FIBA Europe Cup

18-14

14-15

20-19

10-19

12-14

10-14

22-13

6-17

17-19

21-10

17-11

19-23

32-9

21-14

17-15

26-14

15-16

24-21

17-22

15-21

12-16

17-22

20-18

14-13

26-11

26-15

23-17

19-17

13-19

21-23

17-16

15-19

5-21

28-24

13-20

15-27

20-13

26-24

22-19

144.0Avg total

74.0Scored

70.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	81.8	68.8	150.6	+13.0	40%
Season at home (3)	90.3	60.0	150.3	+30.3	67%
Season away (2)	69.0	82.0	151.0	-13.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	74.0	70.0	144.0	+4.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	76.0	153.4	+1.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	65.7	72.3	138.0	-6.7	0%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	76.3	73.6	149.9	+2.7	67%
vs Weaker (9)	83.3	56.4	139.8	+26.9	78%

This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LTH Castings Slovenia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rogaska

67-75

-8

A17/04

Liga Nova KBM

Elektra Sostanj

#10

80-85

-5

A23/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Slovan

76-81

-5

H26/04

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

70-80

-10

H05/02

Slovenian Cup

Polzela

88-75

+13

H21/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

#10

79-77

A28/10

Liga Nova KBM

Elektra Sostanj

#13

78-77

A14/11

Liga Nova KBM

Koper

#34

83-42

+41

A17/11

Slovenian Cup

Portoroz

95-69

+26

H22/11

Liga Nova KBM

Koper

#34

91-41

+50

H25/11

Slovenian Cup

15-19

21-15

14-23

17-18

24-19

23-25

16-16

17-25

20-22

14-11

19-19

23-29

20-16

17-18

10-20

23-26

18-21

21-18

33-18

16-18

20-21

15-21

23-22

21-13

25-21

17-22

20-16

16-18

23-18

20-13

21-4

19-7

26-25

24-13

24-14

21-17

25-11

16-16

30-3

20-11

150.9Avg total

80.7Scored

70.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	85.0	74.5	159.5	+10.5	100%
Season at home (2)	91.5	72.0	163.5	+19.5	100%
Season away (2)	78.5	77.0	155.5	+1.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	80.7	70.2	150.9	+10.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	61.2	146.4	+24.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	72.4	78.4	150.7	-6.0	16%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	75.3	70.0	145.3	+5.3	57%
vs Weaker (3)	84.0	53.3	137.3	+30.7	100%

This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Helios DomzaleLTH Castings

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	17.4	37.3	+2.6	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	16.4	37.6	+4.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	18.3	37.1	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	16.4	33.9	+1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.4	34.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	16.3	30.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.6	15.0	39.6	+9.6	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.0	36.8	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	18.8	37.7	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	17.3	35.8	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.2	43.0	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	17.3	18.7	36.0	-1.4	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.0	17.1	37.1	+2.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.3	16.7	41.0	+7.7	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.9	16.8	36.7	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	16.5	36.9	+3.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	17.0	36.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	16.8	34.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	20.0	37.3	-2.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.1	16.9	36.0	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.8	15.2	38.0	+7.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	18.0	35.4	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.3	17.3	33.5	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	18.7	37.3	-0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	17.2	36.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.0	35.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	17.4	18.8	36.3	-1.4	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.3	16.1	33.4	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.7	17.0	34.7	+0.7	33%	-

Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

32-29

A27/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Turow Zgorzelec

#39

22-28

-6

H04/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Zlatorog Lasko

38-29

H07/11

Liga Nova KBM

Jance

#33

53-23

+30

H09/11

Slovenian Cup

Pieno Zvaigzdes

#23

39-37

H11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Sencur

29-38

-9

H14/11

Liga Nova KBM

Jance

#33

52-26

+26

A16/11

Slovenian Cup

Ventspils

34-42

-8

H18/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Rogaska

20-40

-20

A21/11

Liga Nova KBM

Turow Zgorzelec

#39

35-40

-5

A24/11

FIBA Europe Cup

68.6Avg total

35.4Scored

33.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.9	34.1	74.0	+5.8	66%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	32.9	74.5	+8.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	35.3	73.6	+3.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	33.2	68.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	37.2	71.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	31.7	36.3	68.0	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	37.9	35.5	73.4	+2.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	47.4	30.2	77.6	+17.1	75%	-

This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LTH CastingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rogaska

36-34

A17/04

Liga Nova KBM

Elektra Sostanj

#10

47-44

A23/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Slovan

34-33

H26/04

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

37-34

H05/02

Slovenian Cup

Polzela

39-39

H21/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

#10

35-42

-7

A28/10

Liga Nova KBM

Elektra Sostanj

#13

42-43

-1

A14/11

Liga Nova KBM

Koper

#34

43-31

+12

A17/11

Slovenian Cup

Portoroz

50-38

+12

H22/11

Liga Nova KBM

Koper

#34

41-27

+14

H25/11

Slovenian Cup

76.9Avg total

40.4Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	36.0	72.2	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.2	36.1	71.3	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	36.0	73.1	+1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	36.5	76.9	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	36.2	78.4	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	34.7	37.5	72.3	-2.8	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	37.3	33.3	70.6	+4.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	42.0	33.7	75.7	+8.3	67%	-

This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	18.7	38.4	+1.1	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	16.9	36.2	+2.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.6	39.7	+2.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.2	44.8	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.9	19.4	38.4	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.5	16.4	37.9	+5.1	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.3	36.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.1	38.3	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	18.5	35.6	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	15.5	36.5	+5.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	11.8	35.4	+11.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-1.9	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.4	18.4	37.9	+1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	7.7	31.3	+16.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	17.6	36.3	+1.1	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.3	38.1	+1.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	17.0	34.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	17.9	34.0	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	13.7	16.0	29.7	-2.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.9	18.2	36.1	-0.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.4	16.9	39.2	+5.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.9	39.4	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.2	37.5	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	13.2	32.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-1.8	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.6	18.3	36.9	+0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.3	12.0	30.3	+6.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.5	36.3	74.8	+2.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.2	35.1	74.4	+4.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.8	37.3	75.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	36.5	73.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	38.2	78.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.0	36.0	70.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	36.8	37.7	74.5	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	43.9	33.2	77.1	+10.6	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	37.6	75.0	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.6	38.1	77.7	+1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.1	37.2	72.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	33.7	74.0	+6.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	25.0	68.0	+18.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	36.6	40.4	76.9	-3.8	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	38.0	36.7	74.7	+1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	42.0	19.7	61.7	+22.3	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Helios Domzale wins

LTH Castings wins

Date	Game	Score
05/02/14	LTH Castings v Helios Domzale	70-80
22/12/12	Helios Domzale v LTH Castings	80-65
20/10/12	LTH Castings v Helios Domzale	83-79
31/01/12	Helios Domzale v LTH Castings	92-52
16/11/11	LTH Castings v Helios Domzale	53-68
08/01/11	LTH Castings v Helios Domzale	73-78
23/10/10	Helios Domzale v LTH Castings	93-80
28/12/09	Helios Domzale v LTH Castings	79-73
28/10/09	LTH Castings v Helios Domzale	63-53
25/02/09	Helios Domzale v LTH Castings	83-66

Helios Domzalelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/11/15	A	Turow Zgorzelec	97-86 OT
21/11/15	A	Rogaska	61-84
18/11/15	H	Ventspils	72-81
16/11/15	A	Jance	94-60
14/11/15	H	Sencur	63-69
11/11/15	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	71-80
09/11/15	H	Jance	96-52
07/11/15	H	Zlatorog Lasko	74-63
04/11/15	H	Turow Zgorzelec	50-58
27/10/15	A	Ventspils	62-67

LTH Castingslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/15	H	Koper	91-41
22/11/15	H	Portoroz	95-69
17/11/15	A	Koper	83-42
14/11/15	A	Elektra Sostanj	78-77
28/10/15	A	KK Primorska	79-77
21/10/15	H	Polzela	88-75
05/02/14	H	Helios Domzale	70-80
26/04/13	H	KK Slovan	76-81
23/04/13	A	Elektra Sostanj	80-85
17/04/13	A	Rogaska	67-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Helios Domzale

Liga Nova KBM 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	40%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	40%	67%	0%
Points / game	81.8	90.3	69.0
Allowed / game	68.8	60.0	82.0
Point differential	+13.0	+30.3	-13.0
Avg total	150.6	150.3	151.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

LTH Castings

Liga Nova KBM 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	85.0	91.5	78.5
Allowed / game	74.5	72.0	77.0
Point differential	+10.5	+19.5	+1.5
Avg total	159.5	163.5	155.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sencur	5	5	0	100%	80.0	66.4	+13.6
2	LTH Castings	4	4	0	100%	85.0	74.5	+10.5
3	Rogaska	5	4	1	80%	88.4	67.6	+20.8
4	Zlatorog Lasko	5	3	2	60%	77.6	74.4	+3.2
5	Helios Domzale	5	2	3	40%	81.8	68.8	+13.0
6	Portoroz	6	2	4	33%	78.5	81.0	-2.5
7	Polzela	5	1	4	20%	81.8	91.2	-9.4
8	Elektra Sostanj	5	1	4	20%	66.8	102.0	-35.2
9	KK Primorska	4	0	4	0%	68.0	82.2	-14.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Helios Domzale	20	22	14	13	69
LTH Castings	18	19	9	22	68

← all games of the day

Helios Domzale vs LTH Castings Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature