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Helios Domzale vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 72-69
11-15 12-21 20-10 29-23
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#14
Record2-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game85.2
EuropeABA League 2Round 6· Sportna dvorana Domzale
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Helios Domzale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Helios DomzaleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#7
W
84-81
84
81
+3
80avg 75
A08/11
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
W
99-73
99
73
+26
107avg 75
H14/11
Liga Nova KBM
Primorje
#11
W
86-56
86
56
+30
82avg 75
H19/11
ABA League 2
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
L
90-91
90
91
-1
76avg 75
A22/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
79-64
79
64
+15
66avg 75
A06/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 75
A13/12
Liga Nova KBM
Radnicki
#16
W
95-77
95
77
+18
92avg 75
A16/12
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
96-110
96
110
-14
87avg 75
A20/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#6
W
98-69
98
69
+29
99avg 75
H04/01
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
83-94
83
94
-11
74avg 75
A07/01
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
17-22
22-16
21-23
36-13
23-22
24-19
16-19
27-16
16-12
19-17
24-11
28-24
19-27
21-19
22-21
18-20
25-15
18-13
18-16
17-29
19-24
25-22
24-5
27-12
25-29
20-16
23-20
33-25
21-30
17-30
25-25
27-16
21-9
21-25
29-19
27-20
18-27
16-30
22-17
169.0Avg total
89.5Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.475.0158.4+8.480%
Season at home (2)84.068.0152.0+16.0100%
Season away (3)83.079.7162.7+3.367%
Last 10 (10)89.579.5169.0+10.070%
Last 5 (5)91.486.0177.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.879.9158.7-1.140%
vs Similar (10)78.978.3157.2+0.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.478.0166.4+10.470%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Decic
#10
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
H21/11
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
100-89
100
89
+11
84avg 67
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
59avg 67
A10/12
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#13
W
80-75
80
75
+5
76avg 67
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
63-102
63
102
-39
50avg 67
H17/12
ABA League 2
Kotor
#8
L
66-76
66
76
-10
52avg 67
A24/12
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
W
90-88
90
88
+2
83avg 67
H27/12
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
65avg 67
H03/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
72avg 67
A05/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
87-82
87
82
+5
77avg 67
A10/01
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
19-20
25-22
13-29
32-30
31-26
18-17
19-16
18-21
15-12
20-30
20-25
21-17
21-22
17-12
21-24
18-23
22-25
8-26
15-28
15-21
20-20
21-13
10-22
26-19
22-26
17-21
25-22
21-19
24-26
16-24
16-10
17-17
26-18
13-13
25-19
21-13
26-24
21-21
19-24
162.9Avg total
79.9Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.285.2160.4-10.040%
Season at home (3)75.382.3157.7-7.067%
Season away (2)75.089.5164.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)79.983.0162.9-3.150%
Last 5 (5)80.278.4158.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.188.7162.8-14.612%
vs Similar (6)86.374.5160.8+11.883%
vs Weaker (8)79.177.2156.4+1.962%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -3.6-3.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -3.6-3.6
Helios DomzaleMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A08/11
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H14/11
Liga Nova KBM
Primorje
#11
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H19/11
ABA League 2
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A22/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A06/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A13/12
Liga Nova KBM
Radnicki
#16
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A16/12
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A20/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#6
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H04/01
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A07/01
Liga Nova KBM
88.0Avg total
46.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.182.0+1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.636.177.7+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)42.344.186.4-1.920%-
Last 10 (10)46.841.288.0+5.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.044.291.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.341.580.8-2.230%-
vs Similar (10)37.640.077.6-2.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)48.938.887.7+10.170%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Decic
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H21/11
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A10/12
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H17/12
ABA League 2
Kotor
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A24/12
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H27/12
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H03/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A05/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A10/01
Prva A Liga
85.2Avg total
44.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.379.9-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.541.382.8+0.262%-
Last 30 away (14)37.539.176.6-1.629%-
Last 10 (10)44.041.285.2+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.684.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.241.677.8-5.331%-
vs Similar (6)45.740.386.0+5.367%-
vs Weaker (8)41.937.679.5+4.262%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.4
56.4%
55.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.8
38.0%
33.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.519.0
80.9%
72.6%19.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.2
52.2%
55.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.8
27.9%
33.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws17.211.1
64.5%
72.6%11.1
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Helios Domzale
LWLWWWLWWW
Mornar Bar
WWLWLLWLWL
#3
League position
#14
+12.6
Net rating
-15.3
116.0
Offensive rating
100.3
103.4
Defensive rating
115.6
56.6%
Effective FG%
48.4%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
19.0%
Turnover %
11.4%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.0%
3-point %
27.9%
59.9%
Assist %
45.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 100.3Defence103.4 · 115.6Shooting56.6% · 48.4%3-point %38.0% · 27.9%Ball care19.0% · 11.4%Off. rebounds31.5% · 25.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Helios Domzale   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Helios Domzale wins
0
Mornar Bar wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26APerspektiva Ilirija83-94
04/01/26HZlatorog Lasko98-69
20/12/25AZlatorog Lasko96-110
16/12/25ARadnicki95-77
13/12/25AKK Krka Novo mesto85-80
06/12/25AKK Triglav Kranj79-64
22/11/25ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek90-91
19/11/25HPrimorje86-56
14/11/25HPolzela99-73
08/11/25ARogaska84-81
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AUlcinj87-82
05/01/26APodgorica81-67
03/01/26HLovcen Cetinje77-79
27/12/25HSutjeska90-88
24/12/25AKotor66-76
17/12/25HSiroki Brijeg63-102
13/12/25HDanilovgrad80-75
10/12/25ASloboda73-88
06/12/25AJedinstvo100-89
21/11/25HDecic82-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Helios Domzale
ABA League 2 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game83.484.083.0
Allowed / game75.068.079.7
Point differential+8.4+16.0+3.3
Avg total158.4152.0162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game75.275.375.0
Allowed / game85.282.389.5
Point differential-10.0-7.0-14.5
Avg total160.4157.7164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siroki Brijeg65183%91.076.7+14.3
2 Helios Domzale54180%83.475.0+8.4
3 Sutjeska54180%89.482.8+6.6
4 Zlatibor64267%89.382.3+7.0
5 Sloboda53260%85.472.4+13.0
6 TFT Skopje53260%78.876.0+2.8
7 Vojvodina Novi Sad53260%81.879.6+2.2
8 Borac Banja Luka53260%76.676.6+0.0
9 MZT Skopje53260%81.481.4+0.0
10 Student Igokea52340%80.881.8-1.0
11 Vrsac52340%84.686.8-2.2
12 Jahorina52340%86.693.4-6.8
13 Mornar Bar52340%75.285.2-10.0
14 Primorje51420%74.686.2-11.6
15 Podgorica5050%68.681.4-12.8
16 Radnicki5050%78.492.6-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Helios Domzale1112202972
Mornar Bar1521102369
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