Helios Domzale vs Tajfun Sentjur Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 18:00

Projected 81-75

Projected total 155.3

Final 99-77

32-19 21-18 29-24 17-16

Position#9

Record0-6

FormLLLLL

Points / game67.0

Allowed / game81.2

Helios Domzale 🏆

70%

30%

■ HDO 70%■ TSE 30%

Pythia win probability

Tajfun Sentjur

Position#10

Record0-6

FormLLLLL

Points / game67.0

Allowed / game84.8

Liga Nova KBMRound 7· Sportna dvorana Domzale

Other2026-27

Meetings · Helios Domzale v Tajfun Sentjur

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Helios Domzale face Tajfun Sentjur in the Liga Nova KBM on 7 November 2026, with the model favouring Helios Domzale and projecting a 70% chance of a home win and a 30% chance for the visitors; the projected score is 80-75 and the total is 155.0 points, with a home line of -2.5 and a 63% probability that Helios covers, and a total line of 152.0 with a 57% chance of the over, while the overtime probability sits at 5%. Helios Domzale enter the game with a 0-6 record, 67.0 points per game and 81.2 points allowed per game, and a 0-2 record at home with 66.0 points scored and 74.5 points allowed; their last five games were all losses, including defeats to Perspektiva Ilirija 73-79, Zlatorog Lasko 73-75 and KK Krka Novo mesto 68-92. Tajfun Sentjur also sit at 0-6, 67.0 points per game and 84.8 points allowed per game, with a 0-3 road record of 63.3 points scored and 83.7 points allowed; their last five games were all losses, including defeats to Gorica 71-75, Perspektiva Ilirija 62-78 and Polzela 67-84. In the 10 meetings between the sides, Helios Domzale have won nine and Tajfun Sentjur one, the most recent encounter ending 85-80 in favour of Tajfun on 23 April 2026.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Helios Domzale winWon

69.8%fair 1.43

Best odds1.68

Implied55.6%

Edge+14.2pp

Tajfun Sentjur winLost

30.2%fair 3.31

Best odds2.20

Implied44.4%

Edge-14.2pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Helios Domzale Slovenia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormDomzale

Date

Competition

Rogaska

79-97

-18

64avg 72

A30/04

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

70-76

-6

52avg 72

H04/05

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

65-75

-10

56avg 72

A09/05

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

75-82

-7

70avg 72

H12/05

Liga Nova KBM

Polzela

59-74

-15

41avg 72

H26/09

Liga Nova KBM

Gorica

69-88

-19

56avg 72

A03/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

60-79

-19

47avg 72

A09/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

68-92

-24

55avg 72

A14/10

Liga Nova KBM

Zlatorog Lasko

73-75

-2

64avg 72

H24/10

Liga Nova KBM

Perspektiva Ilirija

73-79

-6

61avg 72

A28/10

Liga Nova KBM

19-27

26-21

20-27

14-22

24-28

14-18

18-14

14-16

19-19

16-12

16-26

14-18

21-18

19-21

19-24

16-19

20-20

21-24

12-17

6-13

18-19

20-22

15-24

16-23

15-16

21-25

7-22

17-16

14-15

16-23

15-30

23-24

25-26

17-13

7-22

24-14

25-19

20-23

13-26

15-11

150.8Avg total

69.1Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	67.0	81.2	148.2	-14.2	0%
Season at home (2)	66.0	74.5	140.5	-8.5	0%
Season away (4)	67.5	84.5	152.0	-17.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	69.1	81.7	150.8	-12.6	0%
Last 5 (5)	68.6	82.6	151.2	-14.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	74.5	86.9	161.5	-12.4	7%
vs Similar (7)	78.7	79.4	158.1	-0.7	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	84.2	82.8	167.0	+1.5	62%

This opponent (Tajfun Sentjur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tajfun Sentjur Slovenia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormSentjur

Date

Competition

KK Krka Novo mesto

60-103

103

-43

41avg 66

H15/04

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

85-80

72avg 66

A23/04

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

68-74

-6

60avg 66

H28/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

58-82

-24

48avg 66

A03/05

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

55-87

-32

40avg 66

A22/09

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

74-99

-25

65avg 66

H03/10

Liga Nova KBM

Zlatorog Lasko

73-86

-13

70avg 66

A11/10

Liga Nova KBM

Polzela

67-84

-17

52avg 66

H17/10

Liga Nova KBM

Perspektiva Ilirija

62-78

-16

60avg 66

A21/10

Liga Nova KBM

Gorica

71-75

-4

64avg 66

H31/10

Liga Nova KBM

17-26

9-31

17-21

17-25

23-18

16-23

23-11

23-28

27-23

11-15

19-18

11-18

17-20

13-22

13-20

15-20

9-22

25-21

14-23

7-21

15-25

19-21

24-30

16-23

13-13

14-26

22-21

24-26

21-21

16-13

16-24

14-26

27-21

7-21

13-25

15-11

22-24

20-17

8-15

21-19

152.1Avg total

67.3Scored

84.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	67.0	84.8	151.8	-17.8	0%
Season at home (3)	70.7	86.0	156.7	-15.3	0%
Season away (3)	63.3	83.7	147.0	-20.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	67.3	84.8	152.1	-17.5	10%
Last 5 (5)	69.4	84.4	153.8	-15.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	71.3	86.5	157.8	-15.3	17%
vs Similar (5)	81.6	79.0	160.6	+2.6	40%
vs Weaker (2)	88.5	66.5	155.0	+22.0	100%

This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 150.5Actual: Over 150.5

Over 150.5

60.8%

@ 1.70+6.8pp

Under 150.5

39.2%

@ 2.25-6.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.70

Bet365

1.68

1xBet

1.62

Marathon Be

1.57

Betano

1.55

Under

Betano

2.25

Bet365

2.05

Pinnacle

1.99

1xBet

1.90

Over/Under 155.75 · main lineActual: Over 155.75

Over 155.75

no forecast

@ 1.78

Under 155.75

no forecast

@ 1.78

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.78

Under

1xBet

1.78

Over/Under 160.5Actual: Over 160.5

Over 160.5

36.9%

@ 2.55+0.8pp

Under 160.5

63.1%

@ 1.44-0.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.55

Under

Betano

1.44

📊 3. Team Totals

Helios Domzale total 73.5Actual: Helios Domzale over 73.5

Over 73.5

75.7%

@ 1.40+11.2pp

Under 73.5

24.3%

@ 2.65-11.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.38

Under

Betano

2.65

1xBet

2.41

Helios Domzale total 77.5 · main lineActual: Helios Domzale over 77.5

Over 77.5

61.9%

@ 1.83+11.7pp

Under 77.5

38.1%

@ 1.91-11.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.72

Under

Betano

1.91

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.73

Helios Domzale total 81.5Actual: Helios Domzale over 81.5

Over 81.5

46.3%

@ 2.45+9.1pp

Under 81.5

53.7%

@ 1.47-9.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.45

1xBet

2.37

Under

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.38

Tajfun Sentjur total 72Actual: Tajfun Sentjur over 72

Over 72

60.3%

Under 72

39.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Tajfun Sentjur total 76 · main lineActual: Tajfun Sentjur over 76

Over 76

44.3%

@ 1.83-4.9pp

Under 76

55.7%

@ 1.83+4.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.78

Under

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.67

Tajfun Sentjur total 80Actual: Tajfun Sentjur under 80

Over 80

29.4%

Under 80

70.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Helios Domzale -5.5Actual: Helios Domzale -5.5

HDO -5.5

52.1%

@ 2.35+13.2pp

TSE +5.5

47.9%

@ 1.57-13.2pp

Best 5 market prices

HDO

Betano

2.35

1xBet

2.28

Bet365

2.25

TSE

Bet365

1.57

Marathon Be

1.52

Betano

1.50

1xBet

1.44

Spread Helios Domzale -2.5 · main lineActual: Helios Domzale -2.5

HDO -2.5

63.0%

@ 1.90+13.4pp

TSE +2.5

37.0%

@ 1.85-13.4pp

Best 5 market prices

HDO

Betano

1.90

Pinnacle

1.88

SBO

1.85

1xBet

1.85

Marathon Be

1.85

TSE

Pinnacle

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Betfair

1.83

1xBet

1.82

Marathon Be

1.82

Spread Helios Domzale +0.5Actual: Helios Domzale +0.5

HDO +0.5

69.8%

TSE -0.5

30.2%

Best 5 market prices

HDO

No market prices yet.

TSE

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Helios DomzaleTajfun Sentjur

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	37%	60%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	20.6	41.1	+0.0	43%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	19.9	39.4	-0.3	31%	50%
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.7	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.6	21.7	40.3	-3.1	13%	60%
vs Similar (7)	23.6	19.4	43.0	+4.1	57%	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.6	18.1	37.8	+1.5	62%	50%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	43%	77%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	23.7	44.6	-2.8	29%	93%
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.9	56%	62%
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.2	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	20.0	21.8	41.8	-1.9	35%	74%
vs Similar (5)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	60%	80%
vs Weaker (2)	28.0	18.5	46.5	+9.5	100%	100%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.3	43.1	-1.5	33%	83%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	50%	79%
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	23.6	44.6	-2.7	19%	88%
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.8	23.1	42.9	-3.3	20%	73%
vs Similar (7)	21.7	20.7	42.4	+1.0	57%	86%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	38%	100%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37
Last 30 (30)	17.1	21.5	38.7	-4.4	30%	60%
Last 30 at home (14)	16.5	20.5	37.0	-4.0	29%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	22.4	40.1	-4.8	31%	69%
Last 10 (10)	15.0	21.0	36.0	-6.0	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	15.2	19.6	34.8	-4.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	16.2	22.4	38.7	-6.2	22%	61%
vs Similar (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	40%	60%
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	17.5	40.5	+5.5	100%	50%

Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rogaska

45-48

-3

A30/04

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

38-46

-8

H04/05

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

35-31

A09/05

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

40-39

H12/05

Liga Nova KBM

Polzela

41-44

-3

H26/09

Liga Nova KBM

Gorica

38-41

-3

A03/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

36-41

-5

A09/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

30-38

-8

A14/10

Liga Nova KBM

Zlatorog Lasko

42-39

H24/10

Liga Nova KBM

Perspektiva Ilirija

45-42

A28/10

Liga Nova KBM

79.9Avg total

39.0Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 75.5
Last 30 (30)	40.9	42.5	83.4	-1.6	43%	87%
Last 30 at home (14)	41.3	41.4	82.6	-0.1	50%	93%
Last 30 away (16)	40.5	43.5	84.0	-3.0	38%	81%
Last 10 (10)	39.0	40.9	79.9	-1.9	40%	80%
Last 5 (5)	38.2	40.2	78.4	-2.0	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	38.4	44.7	83.1	-6.3	20%	80%
vs Similar (7)	45.3	40.1	85.4	+5.1	71%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	41.6	40.4	82.0	+1.2	62%	88%

This opponent (Tajfun Sentjur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tajfun SentjurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KK Krka Novo mesto

26-57

-31

H15/04

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

39-41

-2

A23/04

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

38-38

H28/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

30-42

-12

A03/05

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

34-43

-9

A22/09

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

34-46

-12

H03/10

Liga Nova KBM

Zlatorog Lasko

27-39

-12

A11/10

Liga Nova KBM

Polzela

37-34

H17/10

Liga Nova KBM

Perspektiva Ilirija

34-42

-8

A21/10

Liga Nova KBM

Gorica

42-41

H31/10

Liga Nova KBM

76.4Avg total

34.1Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 75.5
Last 30 (30)	37.9	43.2	81.1	-5.2	30%	77%
Last 30 at home (14)	37.4	44.2	81.6	-6.8	29%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	38.4	42.2	80.6	-3.9	31%	81%
Last 10 (10)	34.1	42.3	76.4	-8.2	20%	70%
Last 5 (5)	34.8	40.4	75.2	-5.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	36.2	44.3	80.4	-8.1	22%	74%
vs Similar (5)	40.8	41.0	81.8	-0.2	40%	80%
vs Weaker (2)	51.0	36.0	87.0	+15.0	100%	100%

This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Helios Domzale win

HDO win

no forecast

@ 1.72

TSE win

no forecast

@ 2.05

1st half Spread Helios Domzale -1 · main lineActual: Helios Domzale -1

HDO -1

no forecast

@ 1.82

TSE +1

no forecast

@ 1.84

1st half Over/Under 75.5 · main lineActual: Over 75.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 2.20

Helios Domzale 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Helios Domzale over 38.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 2.02

Tajfun Sentjur 1st half total 37 · main linePush

Over

no forecast

@ 1.79

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

1st half: HDO + total 75.5

HDO & over

no forecast

@ 3.40

HDO & under

no forecast

@ 3.40

1st half: Draw + total 75.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: TSE + total 75.5

TSE & over

no forecast

@ 4.10

TSE & under

no forecast

@ 4.10

1st half Spread Helios Domzale 0Actual: Helios Domzale 0

HDO 0

no forecast

@ 1.68

TSE 0

no forecast

@ 2.01

1st half Over/Under 77.5Actual: Over 77.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half Spread Helios Domzale -2.5Actual: Helios Domzale -2.5

HDO -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

TSE +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.68

1st half Over/Under 79.5Actual: Over 79.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.12

Under

no forecast

@ 1.67

1st half Spread Helios Domzale -3.5Actual: Helios Domzale -3.5

HDO -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.35

TSE +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.55

1st half Spread Helios Domzale +1.5Actual: Helios Domzale +1.5

HDO +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

TSE -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.32

1st half Spread Helios Domzale -4.5Actual: Helios Domzale -4.5

HDO -4.5

no forecast

@ 2.57

TSE +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.50

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Helios Domzale (regulation)

HDO

no forecast

@ 1.80

Draw

no forecast

@ 16.50

TSE

no forecast

@ 2.10

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	18.3	22.4	40.7	-4.1	30%	70%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	43%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	24.0	41.4	-6.6	19%	81%
Last 10 (10)	14.2	23.2	37.4	-9.0	10%	60%
Last 5 (5)	11.4	24.8	36.2	-13.4	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.9	22.5	41.5	-3.6	33%	80%
vs Similar (7)	15.7	23.1	38.9	-7.4	14%	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	38%	75%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.1	37%	37%
Last 30 at home (14)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	43%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	16.1	21.1	37.2	-5.1	31%	31%
Last 10 (10)	16.9	20.8	37.7	-3.9	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	16.6	23.0	39.6	-6.4	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	16.8	20.7	37.4	-3.9	35%	39%
vs Similar (5)	17.2	16.8	34.0	+0.4	40%	20%
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.5	50%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.25
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	50%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	50%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	19.1	37.4	-0.9	50%	44%
Last 10 (10)	15.9	17.6	33.5	-1.7	30%	20%
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.2	19.7	36.9	-2.5	27%	53%
vs Similar (7)	17.7	16.1	33.9	+1.6	71%	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.6	20.1	41.8	+1.5	75%	75%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.25
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.3	38.9	-1.8	40%	57%
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	22.1	40.6	-3.6	29%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	18.8	37.3	-0.2	50%	44%
Last 10 (10)	16.3	21.7	38.0	-5.4	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	17.4	21.1	38.5	-3.7	30%	57%
vs Similar (5)	23.6	21.2	44.8	+2.4	60%	80%
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	9.5	28.5	+9.5	100%	0%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 77.5
Last 30 (30)	36.8	41.3	78.1	-4.5	33%	63%
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	39.3	77.4	-1.1	43%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	35.6	43.1	78.8	-7.5	25%	69%
Last 10 (10)	30.1	40.8	70.9	-10.7	10%	40%
Last 5 (5)	30.4	42.4	72.8	-12.0	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	36.1	42.2	78.3	-6.1	27%	67%
vs Similar (7)	33.4	39.3	72.7	-5.9	14%	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	41.0	41.5	82.5	-0.5	62%	88%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 77.5
Last 30 (30)	35.5	40.4	75.9	-4.9	23%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	36.5	40.9	77.4	-4.4	21%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	34.6	39.9	74.5	-5.2	25%	44%
Last 10 (10)	33.2	42.5	75.7	-9.3	10%	50%
Last 5 (5)	34.6	44.0	78.6	-9.4	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	34.2	41.7	75.9	-7.6	13%	52%
vs Similar (5)	40.8	38.0	78.8	+2.8	60%	80%
vs Weaker (2)	37.5	30.5	68.0	+7.0	50%	0%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

HDO win + total 154.5

🔒 Pro

TSE win + total 154.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: HDO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: TSE leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (HDO:TSE): HDO wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Helios Domzale +2	74.7%	1.51	Pinnacle 1.55	Marathon Bet 1.47	-	-	-	+15.1pp	Won
Helios Domzale +1	71.5%	1.58	Pinnacle 1.62	Bet365 1.58	Marathon Bet 1.55	-	-	+14.3pp	Won
Helios Domzale +1.5	72.1%	1.54	Pinnacle 1.59	Betano 1.57	Bet365 1.55	Marathon Bet 1.52	1xBet 1.47	+13.9pp	Won
Helios Domzale +4.5	80.6%	1.36	Betano 1.36	-	-	-	-	+13.1pp	Won
Helios Domzale +5.5	83.0%	1.31	Betano 1.31	-	-	-	-	+13.1pp	Won
Helios Domzale +6.5	85.2%	1.26	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	-	+12.5pp	Won
Helios Domzale +3.5	78.0%	1.37	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
Helios Domzale +2.5	75.6%	1.45	Betano 1.50	Bet365 1.47	1xBet 1.39	-	-	+12.1pp	Won
Helios Domzale over 74.5	72.5%	1.48	Bet365 1.54	Betano 1.45	1xBet 1.44	-	-	+12.1pp	Won
Helios Domzale over 72.5	78.6%	1.37	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.32	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
Helios Domzale over 71.5	81.4%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+11.4pp	Won
Helios Domzale over 73.5	75.7%	1.39	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.38	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Won
Helios Domzale over 70.5	83.9%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Helios Domzale +7.5	87.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+10.9pp	Won
Helios Domzale over 67.5	90.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
Helios Domzale over 68.5	88.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
Helios Domzale over 66.5	91.6%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Helios Domzale +12.5	93.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Won
Helios Domzale +17.5	97.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Over 144.5	73.9%	1.38	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Helios Domzale +22.5	98.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Over 145.5	71.9%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur under 81.5	74.7%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur under 80.5	71.5%	1.37	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.36	1xBet 1.33	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Over 137.5	85.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Over 142.5	77.8%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.3%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	-
Tajfun Sentjur under 90.5	93.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Over 132.5	91.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur under 84.5	82.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur under 85.5	85.0%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur under 88.5	90.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur under 86.5	87.1%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur under 82.5	77.6%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur +22.5	92.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur over 62.5	88.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur over 65.5	81.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur over 64.5	83.8%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Helios Domzale under 94.5	91.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Lost
Tajfun Sentjur over 66.5	78.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Under 177.5	90.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Tajfun Sentjur over 68.5	72.4%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Won
Helios Domzale under 92.5	88.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Lost
Tajfun Sentjur +17.5	84.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-0.9pp	Lost
Under 172.5	85.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Lost
Helios Domzale under 90.5	83.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-2.4pp	Lost
Under 167.5	77.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-3.1pp	Lost
Helios Domzale under 88.5	78.4%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-3.9pp	Lost
Helios Domzale under 87.5	75.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-5.1pp	Lost
Tajfun Sentjur +12.5	72.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-5.5pp	Lost
Helios Domzale under 86.5	72.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-5.6pp	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 68.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game

52%

29%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.3	16.7	48.7%	53.4%	33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	7.6	28.5%	30.3%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	18.4	12.7	69.0%	70.0%	12.7

They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Tajfun Sentjurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tajfun Sentjur: 66.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game

52%

29%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	17.8	49.7%	53.4%	35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	6.4	27.2%	30.3%	19.2
🏀 Free throws	17.6	12.0	68.2%	70.0%	12.0

They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	20.2	52.9%	53.4%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.1	6.7	29.0%	30.3%	20.1
🏀 Free throws	26.6	18.9	71.1%	70.0%	18.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	23.5	59.5%	53.4%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.7	7.1	34.3%	30.3%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	23.0	16.3	70.9%	70.0%	16.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	19.1	53.6%	53.4%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	7.6	29.9%	30.3%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	21.7	17.0	78.2%	70.0%	17.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	17.1	48.7%	53.4%	34.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.5	32.9%	30.3%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	17.7	12.7	71.4%	70.0%	12.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.1	22.6	56.3%	53.4%	45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.8	7.2	30.3%	30.3%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	23.1	16.6	72.0%	70.0%	16.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	21.2	56.2%	53.4%	42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.7	7.5	32.9%	30.3%	22.4
🏀 Free throws	24.8	17.4	70.2%	70.0%	17.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Helios Domzale

LLLLLLLLLL

Tajfun Sentjur

LLLLLLLLWL

League position

#10

-12.2

Net rating

-21.6

80.0

Offensive rating

81.1

92.2

Defensive rating

102.8

46.1%

Effective FG%

46.2%

49.3%

Opp. effective FG%

56.7%

18.0%

Turnover %

19.0%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.30

28.5%

3-point %

27.2%

55.1%

Assist %

61.6%

Form (last 10/10)

10%

Profile

■ Helios Domzale ■ Tajfun Sentjur

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Helios Domzale wins

Tajfun Sentjur wins

Date	Game	Score
23/04/26	Helios Domzale v Tajfun Sentjur	80-85
23/01/26	Tajfun Sentjur v Helios Domzale	87-91
01/11/25	Helios Domzale v Tajfun Sentjur	91-69
11/01/25	Tajfun Sentjur v Helios Domzale	82-88
28/10/24	Helios Domzale v Tajfun Sentjur	79-65
02/03/24	Helios Domzale v Tajfun Sentjur	104-89
26/01/24	Tajfun Sentjur v Helios Domzale	75-85
29/11/23	Helios Domzale v Tajfun Sentjur	104-70
22/04/23	Tajfun Sentjur v Helios Domzale	69-82
14/01/23	Helios Domzale v Tajfun Sentjur	92-78

Helios Domzalelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/10/26	A	Perspektiva Ilirija	73-79
24/10/26	H	Zlatorog Lasko	73-75
14/10/26	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	68-92
09/10/26	A	KK Triglav Kranj	60-79
03/10/26	A	Gorica	69-88
26/09/26	H	Polzela	59-74
12/05/26	H	Sencur	75-82
09/05/26	A	Sencur	65-75
04/05/26	H	Sencur	70-76
30/04/26	A	Rogaska	79-97

Tajfun Sentjurlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/10/26	H	Gorica	71-75
21/10/26	A	Perspektiva Ilirija	62-78
17/10/26	H	Polzela	67-84
11/10/26	A	Zlatorog Lasko	73-86
03/10/26	H	Sencur	74-99
22/09/26	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	55-87
03/05/26	A	KK Triglav Kranj	58-82
28/04/26	H	Sencur	68-74
23/04/26	A	Helios Domzale	85-80
15/04/26	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	60-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Helios Domzale

Liga Nova KBM 2026-27

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LL	0%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	67.0	66.0	67.5
Allowed / game	81.2	74.5	84.5
Point differential	-14.2	-8.5	-17.0
Avg total	148.2	140.5	152.0
Over 155.75	33%	0%	50%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Tajfun Sentjur

Liga Nova KBM 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	67.0	70.7	63.3
Allowed / game	84.8	86.0	83.7
Point differential	-17.8	-15.3	-20.3
Avg total	151.8	156.7	147.0
Over 155.75	33%	33%	33%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KK Krka Novo mesto	7	7	0	100%	89.6	69.3	+20.3
2	Sencur	5	4	1	80%	88.2	79.6	+8.6
3	Perspektiva Ilirija	7	5	2	71%	81.9	71.7	+10.1
4	Polzela	7	5	2	71%	82.4	73.3	+9.1
5	Gorica	7	4	3	57%	77.3	74.7	+2.6
6	Zlatorog Lasko	6	3	3	50%	70.5	75.7	-5.2
7	Rogaska	7	3	4	43%	67.6	79.1	-11.6
8	KK Triglav Kranj	6	1	5	17%	76.8	82.5	-5.7
9	Helios Domzale	6	0	6	0%	67.0	81.2	-14.2
10	Tajfun Sentjur	6	0	6	0%	67.0	84.8	-17.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Helios Domzale	32	21	29	17	99
Tajfun Sentjur	19	18	24	16	77

← all games of the day

Helios Domzale vs Tajfun Sentjur Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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