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Sencur vs Helios Domzale Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 May 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-65
19-19 12-16 26-16 18-14
Position#4
Record18-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game80.2
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#5
Record13-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game83.7
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMLiga OTP banka - Quarter-finals· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sencur v Helios Domzale
21 Nov 2026
SENC v HDO
upcoming
09 May 2026
SENC75
HDO65
25 Oct 2025
SENC87
HDO80
09 Dec 2024
SENC94
HDO77
09 Jan 2024
SENC68
HDO77
10 Nov 2023
SENC82
HDO70
04 Dec 2022
SENC76
HDO85
17 Oct 2022
SENC79
HDO89
02 Apr 2022
SENC67
HDO69
08 Oct 2021
SENC93
HDO72
06 May 2021
SENC70
HDO56
26 Apr 2021
SENC58
HDO92
27 Jan 2021
SENC70
HDO64
07 Dec 2019
SENC67
HDO71
26 Jan 2019
SENC90
HDO101
30 Apr 2018
SENC75
HDO86
02 Dec 2017
SENC62
HDO66
23 Oct 2016
SENC58
HDO84
30 Jan 2016
SENC79
HDO84
22 Apr 2015
SENC67
HDO74
10 Jan 2015
SENC77
HDO66
03 Mar 2010
SENC53
HDO63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Helios Domzale winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
67-89
67
89
-22
52avg 83
H19/02
Slovenian Cup
Rogaska
#7
W
79-78
79
78
+1
74avg 83
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
96-51
96
51
+45
102avg 83
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
97-78
97
78
+19
100avg 83
H28/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
72-62
72
62
+10
61avg 83
A04/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
66-86
66
86
-20
69avg 83
H08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
W
103-98
103
98
+5
99avg 83
H18/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
74-68
74
68
+6
72avg 83
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
99-102 OT
99
102
-3
94avg 83
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
72avg 83
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
16-23
17-25
15-15
22-15
26-19
16-25
15-19
28-10
19-19
27-7
22-15
22-15
25-21
28-19
22-23
15-18
13-20
21-13
23-11
19-22
18-17
15-22
14-25
25-23
24-24
27-26
27-25
23-27
15-11
18-19
18-11
20-19
15-19
26-27
28-24
28-24
18-14
14-18
16-14
161.1Avg total
82.9Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.980.2167.1+6.767%
Season at home (14)89.581.6171.1+7.964%
Season away (13)84.178.6162.7+5.569%
Last 10 (10)82.978.2161.1+4.770%
Last 5 (5)83.684.8168.4-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.585.0155.5-14.525%
vs Similar (6)91.796.3188.0-4.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.574.7164.1+14.890%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#6
W
80-71
80
71
+9
74avg 75
H25/03
ABA League 2
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
89avg 75
H29/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
81-102
81
102
-21
79avg 75
A01/04
Liga Nova KBM
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
82-92
82
92
-10
75avg 75
A08/04
ABA League 2
Polzela
#8
L
71-75
71
75
-4
67avg 75
H11/04
Liga Nova KBM
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
80-84
80
84
-4
71avg 75
H14/04
ABA League 2
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
64-87
64
87
-23
49avg 75
A16/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
80-85
80
85
-5
76avg 75
H23/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
79-97
79
97
-18
64avg 75
A30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
52avg 75
H04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
19-22
21-15
18-16
29-22
25-16
19-23
18-15
20-31
23-24
21-26
17-21
12-14
24-31
25-21
21-26
15-14
18-24
20-13
18-24
15-29
19-16
29-13
17-26
18-19
15-21
20-28
11-19
18-23
23-16
11-23
28-23
19-27
26-21
20-27
14-22
24-28
14-18
18-14
14-16
162.3Avg total
77.8Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.183.7166.8-0.748%
Season at home (14)83.579.9163.4+3.657%
Season away (13)82.687.9170.5-5.338%
Last 10 (10)77.884.5162.3-6.720%
Last 5 (5)74.685.8160.4-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)81.288.1169.3-6.825%
vs Similar (6)82.877.7160.5+5.267%
vs Weaker (12)85.684.1169.7+1.558%
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -3.2-3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -3.2-3.2
SencurHelios Domzale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H19/02
Slovenian Cup
Rogaska
#7
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H28/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A04/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H18/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
79.6Avg total
41.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.939.684.5+5.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.136.983.9+10.273%-
Last 30 away (15)42.842.385.1+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.679.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.081.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.242.579.8-5.225%-
vs Similar (6)43.546.289.7-2.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.937.083.9+9.975%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H25/03
ABA League 2
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H29/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A01/04
Liga Nova KBM
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A08/04
ABA League 2
Polzela
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H11/04
Liga Nova KBM
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H14/04
ABA League 2
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A16/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H23/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H04/05
Liga Nova KBM
83.2Avg total
39.8Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.485.7-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.539.880.3+0.646%-
Last 30 away (17)43.646.289.8-2.635%-
Last 10 (10)39.843.483.2-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.681.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.746.886.4-7.18%-
vs Similar (6)47.039.386.3+7.783%-
vs Weaker (12)42.442.284.6+0.250%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.325.5
55.1%
54.3%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.0
30.5%
33.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.313.9
68.5%
72.9%13.9
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.3
52.3%
54.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.8
29.8%
33.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.115.8
78.6%
72.9%15.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
WLWWLWWWWL
Helios Domzale
LLLLLLLLWW
#4
League position
#5
+5.3
Net rating
-7.4
93.0
Offensive rating
88.9
87.7
Defensive rating
96.3
52.3%
Effective FG%
49.1%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.5%
3-point %
29.8%
71.1%
Assist %
62.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 88.9Defence87.7 · 96.3Shooting52.3% · 49.1%3-point %30.5% · 29.8%Ball care16.5% · 16.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Sencur   ■ Helios Domzale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sencur wins
5
Helios Domzale wins
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/26AHelios Domzale76-70
30/04/26HPerspektiva Ilirija99-102 OT
28/04/26ATajfun Sentjur74-68
18/04/26HPolzela103-98
08/04/26HKK Krka Novo mesto66-86
04/04/26AKK Triglav Kranj72-62
28/03/26HZlatorog Lasko97-78
16/03/26ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek96-51
09/03/26HRogaska79-78
19/02/26HKK Krka Novo mesto67-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/26HSencur70-76
30/04/26ARogaska79-97
23/04/26HTajfun Sentjur80-85
16/04/26APerspektiva Ilirija64-87
14/04/26HSiroki Brijeg80-84
11/04/26HPolzela71-75
08/04/26ASiroki Brijeg82-92
01/04/26AKK Krka Novo mesto81-102
29/03/26HKK Triglav Kranj91-76
25/03/26HVojvodina Novi Sad80-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWLWL64%
AwayWWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %67%64%69%
Points / game86.989.584.1
Allowed / game80.281.678.6
Point differential+6.7+7.9+5.5
Avg total167.1171.1162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%43%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%7%8%
Helios Domzale
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL48%
HomeWWLLL57%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %48%57%38%
Points / game83.183.582.6
Allowed / game83.779.987.9
Point differential-0.7+3.6-5.3
Avg total166.8163.4170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cedevita Olimpija110100%89.076.0+13.0
2 KK Krka Novo mesto2827196%94.369.6+24.7
3 Perspektiva Ilirija2821775%90.181.3+8.8
4 Sencur2718967%86.980.2+6.7
5 Helios Domzale27131448%83.183.7-0.7
6 KK Triglav Kranj28131546%79.978.6+1.2
7 Rogaska27101737%83.086.0-3.1
8 Polzela28101836%82.988.2-5.3
9 Zlatorog Lasko28101836%82.191.7-9.6
10 Tajfun Sentjur2791833%75.883.4-7.7
11 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek2762122%74.690.9-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sencur1912261875
Helios Domzale1916161465
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