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Helios Domzale vs Sencur Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 70-76
24-28 14-18 18-14 14-16
Position#5
Record13-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
Position#4
Record17-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game80.6
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 27· Sportna dvorana Domzale
Other2025-26
Meetings · Helios Domzale v Sencur
13 Feb 2027
HDO v SENC
upcoming
12 May 2026
HDO75
SENC82
04 May 2026
HDO70
SENC76
17 Jan 2026
HDO101
SENC88
30 Sep 2024
HDO79
SENC57
30 Mar 2024
HDO94
SENC69
19 Jan 2024
HDO76
SENC50
16 Jan 2024
HDO68
SENC75
13 Oct 2023
HDO71
SENC76
25 Mar 2023
HDO73
SENC75
12 Feb 2023
HDO76
SENC57
30 Apr 2022
HDO73
SENC75
04 Jan 2022
HDO75
SENC65
08 May 2021
HDO68
SENC66
04 May 2021
HDO70
SENC62
31 Mar 2021
HDO74
SENC69
16 Dec 2020
HDO74
SENC77
05 Oct 2019
HDO66
SENC57
17 Nov 2018
HDO59
SENC64
07 Apr 2018
HDO87
SENC84
10 Feb 2018
HDO82
SENC85
14 Jan 2017
HDO79
SENC71
14 Nov 2015
HDO63
SENC69
01 Apr 2015
HDO88
SENC92
18 Oct 2014
HDO76
SENC74
02 Dec 2009
HDO82
SENC67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Helios Domzale winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Helios DomzaleSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#6
W
87-76
87
76
+11
80avg 76
A18/03
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#6
W
80-71
80
71
+9
74avg 76
H25/03
ABA League 2
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
89avg 76
H29/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
81-102
81
102
-21
79avg 76
A01/04
Liga Nova KBM
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
82-92
82
92
-10
75avg 76
A08/04
ABA League 2
Polzela
#8
L
71-75
71
75
-4
67avg 76
H11/04
Liga Nova KBM
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
80-84
80
84
-4
71avg 76
H14/04
ABA League 2
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
64-87
64
87
-23
49avg 76
A16/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
80-85
80
85
-5
76avg 76
H23/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
79-97
79
97
-18
64avg 76
A30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-14
20-26
11-23
22-13
22-18
19-22
21-15
18-16
29-22
25-16
19-23
18-15
20-31
23-24
21-26
17-21
12-14
24-31
25-21
21-26
15-14
18-24
20-13
18-24
15-29
19-16
29-13
17-26
18-19
15-21
20-28
11-19
18-23
23-16
11-23
28-23
19-27
26-21
20-27
14-22
164.0Avg total
79.5Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.684.0167.6-0.550%
Season at home (13)84.580.2164.7+4.462%
Season away (13)82.687.9170.5-5.338%
Last 10 (10)79.584.5164.0-5.030%
Last 5 (5)74.885.6160.4-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)82.389.2171.5-6.927%
vs Similar (6)82.877.7160.5+5.267%
vs Weaker (13)85.681.9167.5+3.762%
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#7
W
82-61
82
61
+21
no box
H14/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
67-89
67
89
-22
52avg 83
H19/02
Slovenian Cup
Rogaska
#7
W
79-78
79
78
+1
74avg 83
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
96-51
96
51
+45
102avg 83
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
97-78
97
78
+19
100avg 83
H28/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
72-62
72
62
+10
61avg 83
A04/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
66-86
66
86
-20
69avg 83
H08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
W
103-98
103
98
+5
99avg 83
H18/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
74-68
74
68
+6
72avg 83
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
99-102 OT
99
102
-3
94avg 83
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-9
28-16
23-12
13-24
19-26
16-23
17-25
15-15
22-15
26-19
16-25
15-19
28-10
19-19
27-7
22-15
22-15
25-21
28-19
22-23
15-18
13-20
21-13
23-11
19-22
18-17
15-22
14-25
25-23
24-24
27-26
27-25
23-27
15-11
18-19
18-11
20-19
15-19
26-27
28-24
160.8Avg total
83.5Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)87.380.6167.9+6.765%
Season at home (14)89.581.6171.1+7.964%
Season away (12)84.879.3164.1+5.467%
Last 10 (10)83.577.3160.8+6.270%
Last 5 (5)82.883.2166.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.888.6163.4-13.820%
vs Similar (6)91.796.3188.0-4.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.274.9165.1+15.389%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
Helios DomzaleSencur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#6
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A18/03
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H25/03
ABA League 2
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H29/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A01/04
Liga Nova KBM
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A08/04
ABA League 2
Polzela
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H11/04
Liga Nova KBM
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H14/04
ABA League 2
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A16/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H23/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A30/04
Liga Nova KBM
84.2Avg total
41.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.885.2-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.838.579.3+2.454%-
Last 30 away (17)43.646.289.8-2.635%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.884.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.079.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.846.886.6-7.09%-
vs Similar (6)47.039.386.3+7.783%-
vs Weaker (13)42.541.183.5+1.454%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#7
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H14/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H19/02
Slovenian Cup
Rogaska
#7
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H28/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A04/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H18/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
78.3Avg total
41.0Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.140.085.1+5.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.337.785.0+9.675%-
Last 30 away (14)42.642.685.1+0.043%-
Last 10 (10)41.037.378.3+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.077.4-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.044.084.0-4.040%-
vs Similar (6)43.546.289.7-2.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.936.983.9+10.074%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.6
54.3%
54.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.9
30.9%
33.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.616.4
79.6%
72.9%16.4
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.826.2
56.0%
54.3%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.16.6
32.8%
33.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.812.7
67.6%
72.9%12.7
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Helios Domzale
LLLLLLLWWW
Sencur
LWWLWWWWLW
#5
League position
#4
-5.8
Net rating
+5.2
91.8
Offensive rating
95.5
97.6
Defensive rating
90.4
51.0%
Effective FG%
54.0%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.9%
3-point %
32.8%
62.2%
Assist %
71.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 95.5Defence97.6 · 90.4Shooting51.0% · 54.0%3-point %30.9% · 32.8%Ball care17.0% · 16.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Helios Domzale   ■ Sencur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Helios Domzale wins
5
Sencur wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26ARogaska79-97
23/04/26HTajfun Sentjur80-85
16/04/26APerspektiva Ilirija64-87
14/04/26HSiroki Brijeg80-84
11/04/26HPolzela71-75
08/04/26ASiroki Brijeg82-92
01/04/26AKK Krka Novo mesto81-102
29/03/26HKK Triglav Kranj91-76
25/03/26HVojvodina Novi Sad80-71
18/03/26AVojvodina Novi Sad87-76
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26HPerspektiva Ilirija99-102 OT
28/04/26ATajfun Sentjur74-68
18/04/26HPolzela103-98
08/04/26HKK Krka Novo mesto66-86
04/04/26AKK Triglav Kranj72-62
28/03/26HZlatorog Lasko97-78
16/03/26ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek96-51
09/03/26HRogaska79-78
19/02/26HKK Krka Novo mesto67-89
14/02/26HRogaska82-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Helios Domzale
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game83.684.582.6
Allowed / game84.080.287.9
Point differential-0.5+4.4-5.3
Avg total167.6164.7170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL65%
HomeWWLWL64%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %65%64%67%
Points / game87.389.584.8
Allowed / game80.681.679.3
Point differential+6.7+7.9+5.4
Avg total167.9171.1164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%43%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto2726196%94.370.1+24.3
2 Perspektiva Ilirija2721678%90.381.1+9.1
3 Sencur2617965%87.380.6+6.7
4 Helios Domzale26131350%83.684.0-0.5
5 KK Triglav Kranj27121544%79.778.4+1.3
6 Rogaska27101737%83.086.0-3.1
7 Polzela27101737%83.888.0-4.2
8 Zlatorog Lasko27101737%82.391.8-9.5
9 Tajfun Sentjur2791833%75.883.4-7.7
10 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek2762122%74.690.9-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Helios Domzale2414181470
Sencur2818141676
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