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Helsingborg vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-76
20-16 20-24 26-16 21-20
Position#6
Record17-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#1
Record24-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.6
Allowed / game80.3
SwedenSuperettanSuperettan - Quarter-finals· Gustav Adolfs hallen
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Helsingborg v Hogsbo
12 Apr 2024
HELS87
HOGS76
04 Nov 2023
HELS99
HOGS82
06 Nov 2022
HELS82
HOGS90
23 Oct 2021
HELS88
HOGS99
15 Feb 2020
HELS83
HOGS104
12 Oct 2019
HELS80
HOGS88
27 Jan 2019
HELS108
HOGS90
02 Dec 2018
HELS106
HOGS57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Helsingborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HelsingborgSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelsingborg
Date
Competition
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
81-70
81
70
+11
73avg 75
H28/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
87-106 OT
87
106
-19
no box
H03/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
96-91
96
91
+5
100avg 75
H18/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
57avg 75
A24/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
74-96
74
96
-22
61avg 75
A01/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
92-82
92
82
+10
88avg 75
H09/03
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
88-67
88
67
+21
85avg 75
A23/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
75-83
75
83
-8
66avg 75
A24/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
72-88
72
88
-16
58avg 75
H03/04
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
87-58
87
58
+29
82avg 75
A06/04
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
22-14
27-23
15-22
28-35
14-16
16-23
27-11
22-20
24-15
27-25
23-31
16-23
17-25
20-14
22-24
14-12
24-32
21-23
15-29
22-20
29-24
20-18
21-20
18-12
25-27
29-8
16-20
20-26
12-16
24-25
19-16
18-19
22-11
8-37
24-21
22-8
13-16
30-12
22-22
165.4Avg total
82.7Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)86.180.4166.4+5.757%
Season at home (15)89.779.9169.7+9.873%
Season away (15)82.480.8163.2+1.640%
Last 10 (10)82.782.7165.4+0.050%
Last 5 (5)82.875.6158.4+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)92.093.0185.0-1.050%
vs Similar (10)84.789.8174.5-5.120%
vs Weaker (18)86.273.7159.9+12.478%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Tureberg
#8
W
91-71
91
71
+20
85avg 90
H03/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
99-88
99
88
+11
89avg 90
A11/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
106-83
106
83
+23
113avg 90
H17/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
104-82
104
82
+22
106avg 90
H03/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
99-91
99
91
+8
100avg 90
A09/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
93-71
93
71
+22
91avg 90
H19/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
97-78
97
78
+19
97avg 90
A22/03
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
90-81
90
81
+9
81avg 90
A23/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
103-111
103
111
-8
95avg 90
A06/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
101-90
101
90
+11
97avg 90
A07/04
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
17-19
22-14
23-25
14-29
34-24
30-17
21-18
26-27
25-20
21-6
34-30
17-17
24-19
24-19
39-27
25-22
25-23
25-21
24-25
23-17
28-16
27-21
15-17
26-23
25-15
30-17
16-23
24-18
27-17
21-23
18-23
23-33
29-23
18-28
33-27
31-27
25-16
20-19
25-28
182.9Avg total
98.3Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)93.680.3173.9+13.480%
Season at home (15)97.577.7175.2+19.993%
Season away (15)89.782.9172.6+6.967%
Last 10 (10)98.384.6182.9+13.790%
Last 5 (5)96.886.2183.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)93.680.3173.9+13.480%
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
HelsingborgHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HelsingborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H28/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H03/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H18/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A24/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H09/03
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A23/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A24/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H03/04
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A06/04
Superettan
78.1Avg total
39.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.137.780.8+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.935.980.9+9.073%-
Last 30 away (15)41.339.580.7+1.853%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.278.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.876.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)39.546.085.5-6.550%-
vs Similar (10)41.942.184.0-0.240%-
vs Weaker (18)44.234.378.5+9.878%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tureberg
#8
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H03/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A11/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H17/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A09/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H19/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A22/03
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A23/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A06/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A07/04
Superettan
91.5Avg total
49.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.339.686.9+7.780%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.537.588.1+13.0100%-
Last 30 away (15)44.141.685.7+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)49.741.891.5+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)52.241.093.2+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)47.339.686.9+7.780%-
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Helsingborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helsingborg: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.5
53.3%
50.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.1
33.6%
31.3%33.3
🏀 Free throws17.812.0
67.4%
66.9%12.0
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 97.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.322.9
56.8%
50.1%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.212.5
38.8%
31.3%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
66.9%14.2
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Helsingborg
WLLWWLLWLW
Hogsbo
WLWWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#1
+4.2
Net rating
+16.4
105.0
Offensive rating
118.7
100.8
Defensive rating
102.2
51.9%
Effective FG%
57.4%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
19.1%
Turnover %
14.9%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.6%
3-point %
38.8%
54.2%
Assist %
67.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 118.7Defence100.8 · 102.2Shooting51.9% · 57.4%3-point %33.6% · 38.8%Ball care19.1% · 14.9%Off. rebounds30.8% · 28.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Helsingborg   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Helsingborg wins
8
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
30/11/23Hogsbo v Helsingborg104-85
04/11/23Helsingborg v Hogsbo99-82
20/01/23Hogsbo v Helsingborg80-78
06/11/22Helsingborg v Hogsbo82-90
04/12/21Hogsbo v Helsingborg89-69
23/10/21Helsingborg v Hogsbo88-99
15/02/20Helsingborg v Hogsbo83-104
22/12/19Hogsbo v Helsingborg104-84
12/10/19Helsingborg v Hogsbo80-88
27/01/19Helsingborg v Hogsbo108-90
Helsingborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24ARIG Mark87-58
03/04/24HIK Eos72-88
24/03/24AHuddinge75-83
23/03/24ANorrort88-67
09/03/24HRIG Mark92-82
01/03/24AWetterbygden Stars74-96
24/02/24ASloga Uppsala75-86
18/02/24HKFUM Fryshuset96-91
03/02/24HHuddinge87-106 OT
28/01/24HKFUM Kalmar81-70
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24AOckelbo101-90
06/04/24ASloga Uppsala103-111
23/03/24AKFUM Kalmar90-81
22/03/24AWetterbygden Stars97-78
19/03/24HRIG Mark93-71
09/03/24AEskilstuna99-91
03/03/24HKFUM Fryshuset104-82
17/02/24HIK Eos106-83
11/02/24AIK Eos99-88
03/02/24HTureberg91-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Helsingborg
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeWLWWL73%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %57%73%40%
Points / game86.189.782.4
Allowed / game80.479.980.8
Point differential+5.7+9.8+1.6
Avg total166.4169.7163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%47%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %80%93%67%
Points / game93.697.589.7
Allowed / game80.377.782.9
Point differential+13.4+19.9+6.9
Avg total173.9175.2172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%87%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hogsbo3024680%93.680.3+13.4
2 AIK Basket3021970%82.878.7+4.2
3 Huddinge30191163%81.477.8+3.6
4 Wetterbygden Stars30181260%80.275.9+4.3
5 KFUM Fryshuset30181260%87.386.1+1.2
6 Sloga Uppsala30181260%80.480.8-0.4
7 Helsingborg30171357%86.180.4+5.7
8 Tureberg30171357%77.575.2+2.3
9 Djurgarden30151550%85.885.7+0.2
10 Ockelbo30151550%74.376.8-2.5
11 IK Eos30141647%80.581.6-1.1
12 Malbas30121840%73.476.3-2.9
13 Eskilstuna30102033%77.785.2-7.4
14 KFUM Kalmar3082227%78.682.9-4.4
15 Norrort3082227%73.680.0-6.4
16 RIG Mark3062420%67.176.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Helsingborg2020262187
Hogsbo1624162076
← all games of the day
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