PythiaBasketballBETA
First LeagueRound 7· Sports Center
Hercegovac hosts Zlatibor on 14 November 2026 in the First League, with the model favouring the home side at 58% versus 42% for the visitors; the projected score is 87-85 and the total is 171.7 points. Both clubs finish the season at 3-3, Hercegovac in ninth place with an average of 80.7 points scored and 80.2 allowed, while Zlatibor sits fifth, averaging 93.5 points and 86.3 allowed. At home Hercegovac has struggled, 0-2 with 70.5 points per game and 81.0 allowed, but has won four of its last five outings, including a 107-82 home victory over TFT Skopje and a 95-89 win away at Cacak. Zlatibor, on the other hand, has a 1-2 road record, 91.0 points per game and 90.0 allowed, yet has secured three of its last five games, notably a 103-88 home win over Sloga. Their head-to-head history shows Zlatibor winning both encounters, the most recent being a 97-92 victory on 24 April 2026. The spread is set at 2.0 points in favour of Hercegovac, with a 63% chance of covering, and the over/under line is 171.5, with a 50% probability of the total exceeding that figure, while the chance of overtime is 5%.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 80.7 | 80.2 | 160.8 | +0.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 70.5 | 81.0 | 151.5 | -10.5 | 0% |
| Season away (4) | 85.8 | 79.8 | 165.5 | +6.0 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.4 | 80.4 | 164.8 | +4.0 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.2 | 78.6 | 164.8 | +7.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (3) | 79.7 | 91.7 | 171.3 | -12.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (7) | 81.1 | 79.7 | 160.9 | +1.4 | 57% |
| vs Weaker (20) | 94.2 | 85.0 | 179.2 | +9.3 | 80% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 93.5 | 86.3 | 179.8 | +7.2 | 50% |
| Season at home (3) | 96.0 | 82.7 | 178.7 | +13.3 | 67% |
| Season away (3) | 91.0 | 90.0 | 181.0 | +1.0 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 93.0 | 86.4 | 179.4 | +6.6 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 95.4 | 91.6 | 187.0 | +3.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (3) | 86.3 | 82.3 | 168.7 | +4.0 | 33% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (27) | 93.4 | 84.3 | 177.7 | +9.0 | 78% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 86 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.4 | 43.0 | 87.4 | +1.4 | 43% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 43.8 | 40.4 | 84.2 | +3.3 | 44% | 38% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 45.2 | 45.9 | 91.1 | -0.7 | 43% | 57% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.8 | 39.8 | 82.6 | +3.0 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.6 | 40.8 | 86.4 | +4.8 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (3) | 37.7 | 41.3 | 79.0 | -3.7 | 0% | 0% |
| vs Similar (7) | 42.7 | 42.4 | 85.1 | +0.3 | 43% | 43% |
| vs Weaker (20) | 46.0 | 43.5 | 89.5 | +2.6 | 50% | 55% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 86 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.7 | 41.2 | 87.0 | +4.5 | 60% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 48.5 | 40.8 | 89.3 | +7.7 | 73% | 53% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 42.9 | 41.7 | 84.6 | +1.3 | 47% | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 48.0 | 43.4 | 91.4 | +4.6 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.4 | 48.6 | 96.0 | -1.2 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (3) | 42.7 | 45.7 | 88.3 | -3.0 | 33% | 67% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (27) | 46.1 | 40.7 | 86.8 | +5.3 | 63% | 44% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hercegovac +4.5 | 70.5% | 1.53 | 1.55 | 1.51 | - | - | - | +11.8pp |
| Hercegovac +5.5 | 73.7% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | +11.6pp |
| Zlatibor under 90.5 | 71.7% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +9.2pp |
| Hercegovac over 80.5 | 72.3% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp |
| ■■■■■■ ■■■ | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.5 | 21.9 | 55.7% | 43.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.4 | 8.7 | 31.3% | 26.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.0 | 16.9 | 70.0% | 16.9 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.7 | 19.9 | 55.7% | 39.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.7 | 11.5 | 31.3% | 34.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.0 | 18.2 | 70.0% | 18.2 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 | Zlatibor v Hercegovac | 97-92 |
| 10/01/26 | Hercegovac v Zlatibor | 77-101 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | Cacak 94 | 95-89 |
| 04/11/26 | H | TFT Skopje | 107-82 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Sloga | 82-73 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Borac Zemun | 71-85 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Podgorica | 76-64 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Tamis | 91-92 OT |
| 10/10/26 | H | Sloboda Uzice | 70-77 |
| 03/10/26 | A | KK Nis | 75-65 |
| 24/04/26 | A | Zlatibor | 92-97 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Vojvodina Novi Sad | 85-80 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/26 | H | Sloga | 103-88 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Borac Zemun | 94-84 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Primorje | 101-98 OT |
| 23/10/26 | H | Tamis | 88-95 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Sloboda Uzice | 91-93 OT |
| 13/10/26 | H | Basket Zivinice | 99-80 |
| 09/10/26 | H | KK Nis | 97-65 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Radnicki | 88-93 |
| 24/04/26 | H | Hercegovac | 97-92 |
| 17/04/26 | A | Borac Zemun | 72-76 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWW | 50% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | WLWW | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 50% | 0% | 75% |
| Points / game | 80.7 | 70.5 | 85.8 |
| Allowed / game | 80.2 | 81.0 | 79.8 |
| Point differential | +0.5 | -10.5 | +6.0 |
| Avg total | 160.8 | 151.5 | 165.5 |
| Over 171.5 | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWW | 50% |
| Home | WLW | 67% |
| Away | LLW | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Points / game | 93.5 | 96.0 | 91.0 |
| Allowed / game | 86.3 | 82.7 | 90.0 |
| Point differential | +7.2 | +13.3 | +1.0 |
| Avg total | 179.8 | 178.7 | 181.0 |
| Over 171.5 | 83% | 67% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | - | 0% (2) |
| Overtime % | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sloboda Uzice | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 88.1 | 77.9 | +10.3 |
| 2 |  Vojvodina Novi Sad | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 80.7 | 71.1 | +9.6 |
| 3 |  Dynamic | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 80.1 | 75.1 | +5.0 |
| 4 |  Kolubara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 81.4 | 80.4 | +1.0 |
| 5 | KK Nis | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 76.9 | 77.1 | -0.3 |
| 6 | Cacak 94 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 87.6 | 88.3 | -0.7 |
| 7 |  Radnicki | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 86.1 | 89.4 | -3.3 |
| 8 | Zlatibor | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 93.5 | 86.3 | +7.2 |
| 9 |  Mladost Zemun | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 80.8 | 78.5 | +2.3 |
| 10 | Hercegovac | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 80.7 | 80.2 | +0.5 |
| 11 |  Tamis | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 93.7 | 95.5 | -1.8 |
| 12 |  Borac Zemun | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 85.9 | 83.7 | +2.1 |
| 13 |  KK Metalac | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 78.3 | 79.6 | -1.3 |
| 14 |  Sloga | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 90.1 | 92.6 | -2.4 |
| 15 |  OKK Beograd | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0% | 87.4 | 99.3 | -11.9 |
| 16 | BKK Radnicki | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0% | 69.1 | 84.3 | -15.1 |
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