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Herlev Wolfpack vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Nov 2013
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-82
16-21 23-16 17-23 20-22
Position#8
Record2-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Aalborg 🏆
Denmark
Position#9
Record1-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game86.4
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 8
Other2013-14
Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Aalborg
05 Feb 2015
HERL109
AALB77
18 Jan 2014
HERL92
AALB96
07 Nov 2013
HERL76
AALB82
14 Jan 2012
HERL90
AALB72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aalborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aabyhoj
#7
L
74-84
74
84
-10
H10/03
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A17/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A25/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H03/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
59-85
59
85
-26
A09/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H12/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A17/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H19/10
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#11
W
82-53
82
53
+29
A25/10
Denmark Cup
Horsholm
#6
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A30/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
15-22
24-23
12-21
27-27
10-21
24-20
13-18
17-13
15-24
23-21
24-25
16-17
21-19
21-15
27-15
13-20
15-17
18-33
13-15
16-14
25-15
18-18
29-28
17-28
13-17
14-15
15-12
18-25
26-15
17-22
19-23
–
–
–
–
21-13
16-26
12-22
22-26
152.7Avg total
75.1Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.479.0153.4-4.629%
Season at home (3)84.375.3159.7+9.067%
Season away (4)67.081.8148.8-14.80%
Last 10 (10)75.177.6152.7-2.530%
Last 5 (5)76.074.4150.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.985.9158.8-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.280.6159.8-1.435%
vs Weaker (2)85.584.5170.0+1.050%
This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AalborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aarhus
#9
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A14/03
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H20/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
84-99
84
99
-15
A26/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
70-94
70
94
-24
H28/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H09/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A13/10
Basketligaen
BMI
#12
W
87-58
87
58
+29
A21/10
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#10
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H24/10
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H26/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
63-94
63
94
-31
A31/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
21-16
12-14
8-22
20-11
15-17
13-22
27-19
20-22
16-29
28-23
20-25
25-30
14-14
19-21
12-29
24-16
21-21
12-18
14-29
18-18
19-16
14-34
19-16
–
–
–
–
25-17
12-7
15-26
15-16
13-19
26-15
21-21
17-29
20-22
15-28
14-30
14-14
153.5Avg total
72.5Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.786.4158.1-14.714%
Season at home (4)71.282.0153.2-10.825%
Season away (3)72.392.3164.7-20.00%
Last 10 (10)72.581.0153.5-8.530%
Last 5 (5)72.877.2150.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)72.886.1158.8-13.319%
vs Similar ◀ (2)73.584.0157.5-10.50%
vs Weaker (1)67.066.0133.0+1.0100%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -5.9-5.9
Herlev WolfpackAalborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aabyhoj
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H10/03
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A17/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A25/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H03/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A09/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H12/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A17/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H19/10
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A30/10
Basketligaen
75.0Avg total
36.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)37.440.878.2-3.439%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.238.379.5+2.862%-
Last 30 away (15)34.243.077.2-8.820%-
Last 10 (9)36.039.075.0-3.033%-
Last 5 (5)36.038.074.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.742.777.4-8.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.840.479.2-1.647%-
vs Weaker (1)41.029.070.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aarhus
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A14/03
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H20/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A26/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H28/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H09/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A13/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H24/10
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H26/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A31/10
Basketligaen
76.4Avg total
38.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.342.279.5-4.834%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.240.177.3-2.940%-
Last 30 away (14)37.544.481.9-6.929%-
Last 10 (9)38.238.276.4+0.056%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.874.4+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)37.343.580.8-6.227%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)38.034.072.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)37.024.061.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Herlev Wolfpack wins
2
Aalborg wins
DateGameScore
14/01/12Herlev Wolfpack v Aalborg90-72
26/11/11Aalborg v Herlev Wolfpack78-72
03/11/11Aalborg v Herlev Wolfpack70-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/13AHorsholm71-87
25/10/13AAarhus82-53
19/10/13HBakken Bears80-85
17/10/13AHorsens59-72
12/10/13HVaerlose88-75
09/10/13ARanders59-85
03/10/13HTeam FOG Naestved85-66
25/09/13ASvendborg79-83
17/03/12AAabyhoj74-86
10/03/12HAabyhoj74-84
Aalborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/13ABakken Bears63-94
26/10/13HSisu77-84
24/10/13HVaerlose67-66
21/10/13ABMI87-58
13/10/13ATeam FOG Naestved70-84
09/10/13HHorsens71-84
28/09/13HSvendborg70-94
26/09/13ARanders84-99
20/03/13HAarhus75-69
14/03/13AAarhus61-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2013-14
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game74.484.367.0
Allowed / game79.075.381.8
Point differential-4.6+9.0-14.8
Avg total153.4159.7148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aalborg
Basketligaen 2013-14
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game71.771.272.3
Allowed / game86.482.092.3
Point differential-14.7-10.8-20.0
Avg total158.1153.2164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears880100%89.671.4+18.2
2 Svendborg76186%84.374.4+9.9
3 Randers75271%84.480.9+3.6
4 Team FOG Naestved74357%80.080.9-0.9
5 Horsholm84450%76.978.2-1.4
6 Sisu83538%80.583.0-2.5
7 Herlev Wolfpack72529%74.479.0-4.6
8 Vaerlose72529%74.681.7-7.1
9 Horsens82625%72.174.4-2.2
10 Aalborg71614%71.786.4-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Herlev Wolfpack1623172076
Aalborg2116232282
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