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Herlev Wolfpack vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2014
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 92-96 (OT)
25-26 21-15 20-25 17-17 9-13
Position#8
Record4-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Aalborg 🏆
Denmark
Position#9
Record6-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game89.7
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 15
Other2013-14
Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Aalborg
05 Feb 2015
HERL109
AALB77
18 Jan 2014
HERL92
AALB96
07 Nov 2013
HERL76
AALB82
14 Jan 2012
HERL90
AALB72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aalborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsholm
#6
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A30/10
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H07/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#5
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A11/11
Denmark Cup
Sisu
#7
L
82-98
82
98
-16
A19/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A25/11
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
H30/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
91-68
91
68
+23
A11/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
57-79
57
79
-22
H19/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H04/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
65-92
65
92
-27
A11/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
16-26
12-22
22-26
16-21
23-16
17-23
20-22
18-25
15-16
21-18
16-22
21-25
25-22
17-26
19-25
16-11
9-14
17-13
23-16
23-16
18-21
15-17
12-14
28-19
19-16
25-14
19-19
10-20
14-25
13-22
20-12
25-21
16-17
20-16
12-26
16-14
15-29
16-21
18-28
154.0Avg total
73.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.279.5153.7-5.327%
Season at home (7)77.479.0156.4-1.629%
Season away (8)71.479.9151.2-8.525%
Last 10 (10)73.380.7154.0-7.420%
Last 5 (5)73.881.0154.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.186.5158.5-14.40%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.181.6161.6-1.531%
vs Weaker (2)89.571.5161.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AalborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A07/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#6
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H11/11
Denmark Cup
Horsholm
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H20/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A24/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
102-93
102
93
+9
H05/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
L
89-100
89
100
-11
A10/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
95-104
95
104
-9
A15/12
Denmark Cup
Horsholm
#6
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
H04/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
86-103
86
103
-17
H12/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
110-99
110
99
+11
A15/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
16-23
23-17
22-20
25-18
16-15
18-21
22-16
20-33
25-9
16-27
26-21
16-20
20-17
23-23
24-19
30-31
23-22
24-17
25-23
24-23
14-25
30-24
21-28
20-23
19-23
31-20
25-38
20-26
24-19
28-24
22-25
17-18
33-20
8-29
28-36
25-17
35-34
26-26
24-22
183.4Avg total
91.9Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.089.7172.7-6.740%
Season at home (8)83.089.4172.4-6.438%
Season away (7)83.090.1173.1-7.143%
Last 10 (10)91.991.5183.4+0.460%
Last 5 (5)96.8101.4198.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)76.987.6164.5-10.628%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.489.1176.6-1.744%
vs Weaker (2)75.072.5147.5+2.5100%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
Herlev WolfpackAalborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsholm
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A30/10
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H07/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#5
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A11/11
Denmark Cup
Sisu
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A19/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A25/11
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H30/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A11/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H19/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H04/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A11/01
Basketligaen
75.1Avg total
36.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.840.778.4-2.941%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.939.480.3+1.569%-
Last 30 away (16)35.241.776.9-6.519%-
Last 10 (10)36.438.775.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.676.4-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.142.577.6-7.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.840.479.2-1.644%-
vs Weaker (2)44.032.076.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A07/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/11
Denmark Cup
Horsholm
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H20/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A24/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H05/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A10/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A15/12
Denmark Cup
Horsholm
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H04/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H12/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A15/01
Basketligaen
87.5Avg total
44.3Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.841.981.7-2.138%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.240.081.2+1.256%-
Last 30 away (13)38.244.282.4-6.115%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.287.5+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)46.245.691.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.443.382.7-3.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.441.683.0-0.144%-
vs Weaker (2)36.530.567.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Herlev Wolfpack wins
4
Aalborg wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/14ASvendborg65-92
04/01/14HRanders73-80
19/12/13HHorsens57-79
11/12/13AVaerlose91-68
30/11/13HHorsholm83-86 OT
25/11/13ATeam FOG Naestved65-54
19/11/13ASisu82-98
11/11/13AAalborg70-81
07/11/13HAalborg76-82
30/10/13AHorsholm71-87
Aalborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/14ASvendborg110-99
12/01/14HHorsens86-103
04/01/14HHorsholm104-101 OT
15/12/13ASvendborg95-104
10/12/13ASisu89-100
05/12/13HTeam FOG Naestved102-93
24/11/13AVaerlose83-79
20/11/13HHorsholm87-90
11/11/13HHerlev Wolfpack81-70
07/11/13AHerlev Wolfpack82-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2013-14
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayLLWWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %27%29%25%
Points / game74.277.471.4
Allowed / game79.579.079.9
Point differential-5.3-1.6-8.5
Avg total153.7156.4151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Aalborg
Basketligaen 2013-14
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW40%
HomeLLWWL38%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%38%43%
Points / game83.083.083.0
Allowed / game89.789.490.1
Point differential-6.7-6.4-7.1
Avg total172.7172.4173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1310377%88.772.0+16.7
2 Randers1713476%89.881.6+8.2
3 Svendborg1612475%85.877.7+8.1
4 Horsens168850%78.275.2+3.1
5 Horsholm168850%80.781.3-0.6
6 Sisu157847%84.284.7-0.5
7 Aalborg156940%83.089.7-6.7
8 Team FOG Naestved1661038%76.482.1-5.7
9 Herlev Wolfpack1541127%74.279.5-5.3
10 Vaerlose1741324%74.989.3-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Herlev Wolfpack25212017992
Aalborg261525171396
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