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Herlev Wolfpack vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 70-84
23-30 20-19 17-17 10-18
Position#9
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game58.0
Allowed / game86.7
Herlev Wolfpack
Denmark
vs
Bakken Bears 🏆
Denmark
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game83.3
DenmarkBasketligaen· Herlevhallen (Herlev)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Bakken Bears
09 Nov 2024
HERL65
BBE98
07 Oct 2023
HERL70
BBE84
19 Mar 2023
HERL58
BBE92
26 Oct 2022
HERL78
BBE71
29 Dec 2021
HERL78
BBE110
05 Dec 2020
HERL77
BBE103
28 Feb 2020
HERL66
BBE121
22 Feb 2019
HERL80
BBE124
23 Mar 2018
HERL77
BBE98
27 Jan 2018
HERL67
BBE100
06 Jan 2018
HERL74
BBE112
18 Sep 2017
HERL51
BBE91
21 Feb 2015
HERL83
BBE84
13 Feb 2014
HERL86
BBE96
19 Oct 2013
HERL80
BBE85
01 Dec 2011
HERL66
BBE73
22 Oct 2011
HERL73
BBE97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Horsens
#4
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
H15/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
58-92
58
92
-34
no box
H19/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
59-86
59
86
-27
no box
A29/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
59-103
59
103
-44
no box
H02/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
83-106
83
106
-23
no box
A08/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
54-85
54
85
-31
no box
H15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
71-111
71
111
-40
no box
A20/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
75-68
75
68
+7
65avg 43
H21/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
48-84
48
84
-36
34avg 43
A23/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
51-108
51
108
-57
29avg 43
H30/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
22-23
23-32
19-12
13-22
14-26
13-32
18-12
17-23
20-20
12-19
10-24
17-35
18-19
13-27
11-22
29-25
10-34
21-24
23-23
8-22
12-21
18-24
16-18
23-34
16-19
18-30
14-28
17-19
20-12
23-17
15-20
8-19
15-28
16-10
9-27
10-23
11-23
10-29
20-33
157.4Avg total
64.1Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)58.086.7144.7-28.733%
Season at home (2)63.088.0151.0-25.050%
Season away (1)48.084.0132.0-36.00%
Last 10 (10)64.193.3157.4-29.210%
Last 5 (5)59.891.2151.0-31.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)71.688.2159.8-16.624%
vs Similar (2)74.582.5157.0-8.050%
vs Weaker (2)82.064.5146.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Horsens
#4
W
100-94
100
94
+6
no box
H01/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
90-72
90
72
+18
no box
H11/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
83-69
83
69
+14
no box
A15/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
no box
H18/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
87-66
87
66
+21
no box
A22/05
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
93-80
93
80
+13
87avg 76
H15/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
94-87
94
87
+7
88avg 76
H19/09
Basketligaen
Peja
#50
W
103-79
103
79
+24
112avg 76
H25/09
Champions League
Norrkoping
#6
L
68-78
68
78
-10
56avg 76
H27/09
Champions League
Randers
#6
W
84-83
84
83
+1
73avg 76
A04/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
23-26
27-23
33-20
25-14
22-24
21-20
22-14
24-17
21-19
26-19
12-14
19-20
14-19
26-24
27-11
24-30
15-9
21-6
27-21
27-17
26-22
23-19
17-22
25-18
30-17
19-24
20-28
23-16
25-9
29-30
26-24
19-15
16-20
16-19
17-24
16-27
20-27
21-13
27-16
167.0Avg total
88.8Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.383.3173.7+7.0100%
Season at home (2)93.583.5177.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)84.083.0167.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.878.2167.0+10.690%
Last 5 (5)88.481.4169.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)89.775.6165.3+14.186%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.4-8.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -7.7-7.7Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: +3.4+3.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.4-8.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -7.7-7.7Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: +3.4+3.4
Herlev WolfpackBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H15/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H19/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A29/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H02/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A08/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
20-43
20
43
-23
H15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A20/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H21/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A23/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
21-46
21
46
-25
H30/09
Basketligaen
78.9Avg total
31.9Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.843.078.8-7.327%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.041.976.9-6.929%-
Last 30 away (16)36.444.080.4-7.625%-
Last 10 (10)31.947.078.9-15.110%-
Last 5 (5)28.044.072.0-16.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.044.679.6-9.620%-
vs Similar (2)34.042.576.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker (2)42.530.072.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#4
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H01/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H11/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A15/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A22/05
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H15/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H19/09
Basketligaen
Peja
#50
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H25/09
Champions League
Norrkoping
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H27/09
Champions League
Randers
#6
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A04/10
Basketligaen
82.2Avg total
43.1Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.838.883.5+6.060%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.436.482.8+10.178%-
Last 30 away (12)42.242.384.6-0.133%-
Last 10 (10)43.139.182.2+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.437.683.0+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)44.739.484.1+5.257%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 58.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.717.0
46.4%
51.8%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.04.7
17.9%
31.7%14.0
🏀 Free throws16.310.0
61.2%
67.0%10.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.020.7
49.3%
51.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.5
33.1%
31.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.413.8
71.1%
67.0%13.8
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Herlev Wolfpack
LLWLLLLLLL
Bakken Bears
WLWWWWWWWW
#9
League position
#1
-36.6
Net rating
+1.6
77.6
Offensive rating
102.2
114.2
Defensive rating
100.5
38.3%
Effective FG%
49.4%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
24.9%
Turnover %
18.1%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
17.9%
3-point %
33.1%
53.8%
Assist %
65.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence77.6 · 102.2Defence114.2 · 100.5Shooting38.3% · 49.4%3-point %17.9% · 33.1%Ball care24.9% · 18.1%Off. rebounds31.1% · 29.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 90%
■ Herlev Wolfpack   ■ Bakken Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Herlev Wolfpack wins
8
Bakken Bears wins
DateGameScore
20/04/23Bakken Bears v Herlev Wolfpack111-71
19/03/23Herlev Wolfpack v Bakken Bears58-92
07/01/23Bakken Bears v Herlev Wolfpack95-66
26/10/22Herlev Wolfpack v Bakken Bears78-71
29/12/21Herlev Wolfpack v Bakken Bears78-110
09/10/21Bakken Bears v Herlev Wolfpack106-69
05/12/20Herlev Wolfpack v Bakken Bears77-103
08/11/20Bakken Bears v Herlev Wolfpack109-57
28/02/20Herlev Wolfpack v Bakken Bears66-121
15/12/19Bakken Bears v Herlev Wolfpack96-99
Herlev Wolfpacklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23HTeam FOG Naestved51-108
23/09/23AHorsens48-84
21/09/23HAmager75-68
20/04/23ABakken Bears71-111
15/04/23HRanders54-85
08/04/23ASvendborg83-106
02/04/23HTeam FOG Naestved59-103
29/03/23AHorsens59-86
19/03/23HBakken Bears58-92
15/03/23HHorsens83-90
Bakken Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/23ARanders84-83
27/09/23HNorrkoping68-78
25/09/23HPeja103-79
19/09/23HHorsens94-87
15/09/23HCopenhagen93-80
22/05/23ATeam FOG Naestved87-66
18/05/23HTeam FOG Naestved86-74
15/05/23ATeam FOG Naestved83-69
11/05/23HTeam FOG Naestved90-72
01/05/23HHorsens100-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game58.063.048.0
Allowed / game86.788.084.0
Point differential-28.7-25.0-36.0
Avg total144.7151.0132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bakken Bears
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.393.584.0
Allowed / game83.383.583.0
Point differential+7.0+10.0+1.0
Avg total173.7177.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved440100%97.873.8+24.0
2 Svendborg440100%83.268.8+14.5
3 Bakken Bears330100%90.383.3+7.0
4 Vaerlose32167%86.784.3+2.3
5 Horsens42250%86.578.5+8.0
6 Bears Academy31233%79.087.0-8.0
7 Herlev Wolfpack31233%58.086.7-28.7
8 Randers41325%93.584.8+8.8
9 Copenhagen51420%80.284.8-4.6
10 Amager3030%74.389.0-14.7
11 Holbaek-Stenhus2020%59.595.5-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Herlev Wolfpack2320171070
Bakken Bears3019171884
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