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Horsens vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 84-48
19-8 28-15 10-16 27-9
Position#2
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game87.0
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#9
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game68.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Forum Horsens (Horsens)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Horsens v Herlev Wolfpack
18 Dec 2024
HORS99
HERL71
23 Sep 2023
HORS84
HERL48
29 Mar 2023
HORS86
HERL59
16 Oct 2022
HORS82
HERL51
06 Feb 2022
HORS99
HERL86
13 Apr 2021
HORS92
HERL81
06 Apr 2021
HORS112
HERL72
21 Nov 2020
HORS83
HERL63
11 Jan 2020
HORS94
HERL64
28 Mar 2019
HORS91
HERL64
21 Mar 2019
HORS112
HERL67
10 Feb 2019
HORS83
HERL54
08 Mar 2018
HORS115
HERL75
02 Feb 2015
HORS88
HERL78
06 Mar 2014
HORS89
HERL88
17 Oct 2013
HORS72
HERL59
22 Jan 2012
HORS94
HERL91
20 Oct 2011
HORS91
HERL73
26 Oct 2010
HORS56
HERL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#6
W
101-98
101
98
+3
no box
H03/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
60-93
60
93
-33
no box
A10/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
no box
H13/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
A20/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
61-90
61
90
-29
no box
A24/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
H27/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
94-100
94
100
-6
no box
A01/05
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
85-100
85
100
-15
no box
A11/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
68avg 73
A14/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
87-94
87
94
-7
79avg 73
A19/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
32-15
16-28
26-27
13-22
18-31
17-22
12-18
26-18
22-26
18-20
5-19
22-16
21-18
12-14
17-36
19-24
19-24
12-28
11-14
11-16
25-19
19-30
14-12
25-17
26-23
23-27
20-33
28-24
24-26
15-21
18-29
11-25
24-18
20-17
22-20
18-25
17-30
24-19
28-20
167.6Avg total
77.7Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.087.0169.0-5.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)82.087.0169.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)77.789.9167.6-12.210%
Last 5 (5)82.490.2172.6-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)77.591.3168.8-13.70%
vs Similar (5)94.087.6181.6+6.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.878.0165.8+9.889%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Randers
#2
L
74-88
74
88
-14
no box
A05/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
79-101
79
101
-22
no box
A08/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
H15/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
58-92
58
92
-34
no box
H19/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
59-86
59
86
-27
no box
A29/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
59-103
59
103
-44
no box
H02/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
83-106
83
106
-23
no box
A08/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
54-85
54
85
-31
no box
H15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
71-111
71
111
-40
no box
A20/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
75-68
75
68
+7
65avg 65
H21/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-22
29-22
23-19
13-25
25-22
15-29
21-32
18-18
19-23
22-23
23-32
19-12
13-22
14-26
13-32
18-12
17-23
20-20
12-19
10-24
17-35
18-19
13-27
11-22
29-25
10-34
21-24
23-23
8-22
12-21
18-24
16-18
23-34
16-19
18-30
14-28
17-19
20-12
23-17
15-20
162.5Avg total
69.5Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.068.0143.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)75.068.0143.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.593.0162.5-23.510%
Last 5 (5)68.494.6163.0-26.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)73.786.8160.5-13.229%
vs Similar (3)73.375.3148.7-2.067%
vs Weaker (2)82.064.5146.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: -4.5-4.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: -4.5-4.5
HorsensHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#6
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H03/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A10/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H13/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A20/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A24/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H27/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/05
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A11/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A14/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A19/09
Basketligaen
87.3Avg total
42.8Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.544.386.8-1.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.542.286.6+2.369%-
Last 30 away (17)40.945.986.9-5.041%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.587.3-1.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.686.4-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.746.087.7-4.347%-
vs Similar (5)44.844.289.0+0.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.341.684.9+1.878%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A05/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A08/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H15/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H19/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A29/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H02/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A08/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
20-43
20
43
-23
H15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A20/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H21/09
Basketligaen
82.5Avg total
35.3Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.842.579.3-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.241.277.4-5.033%-
Last 30 away (15)37.343.881.1-6.527%-
Last 10 (10)35.347.282.5-11.910%-
Last 5 (5)34.048.082.0-14.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.544.280.8-7.725%-
vs Similar (3)32.041.073.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker (2)42.530.072.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.0
50.0%
51.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.5
34.0%
31.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.014.5
69.0%
67.0%14.5
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.018.0
62.1%
51.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.09.0
23.7%
31.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.012.0
57.1%
67.0%12.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 57% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/1 games with a box score before 23 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Horsens
LLLLLLLLLW
Herlev Wolfpack
WLLLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#9
-9.3
Net rating
+12.2
106.6
Offensive rating
101.3
115.9
Defensive rating
89.2
50.4%
Effective FG%
47.0%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
43.9%
19.9%
Turnover %
22.9%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
41.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.0%
3-point %
23.7%
47.4%
Assist %
66.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 101.3Defence115.9 · 89.2Shooting50.4% · 47.0%3-point %34.0% · 23.7%Ball care19.9% · 22.9%Off. rebounds36.4% · 41.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 10%
■ Horsens   ■ Herlev Wolfpack
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Horsens wins
0
Herlev Wolfpack wins
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/09/23ABakken Bears87-94
14/09/23ASvendborg77-80
11/05/23ARanders85-100
01/05/23ABakken Bears94-100
27/04/23HBakken Bears69-77
24/04/23ABakken Bears61-90
20/04/23ARanders72-84
13/04/23HTeam FOG Naestved71-83
10/04/23ABakken Bears60-93
03/04/23HSvendborg101-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/23HAmager75-68
20/04/23ABakken Bears71-111
15/04/23HRanders54-85
08/04/23ASvendborg83-106
02/04/23HTeam FOG Naestved59-103
29/03/23AHorsens59-86
19/03/23HBakken Bears58-92
15/03/23HHorsens83-90
08/03/23ATeam FOG Naestved79-101
05/03/23ARanders74-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game82.0-82.0
Allowed / game87.0-87.0
Point differential-5.0--5.0
Avg total169.0-169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total143.0143.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Randers110100%104.053.0+51.0
2 Team FOG Naestved220100%98.082.0+16.0
3 Svendborg330100%82.069.7+12.3
4 Bakken Bears220100%93.583.5+10.0
5 Herlev Wolfpack110100%75.068.0+7.0
6 Vaerlose21150%79.085.0-6.0
7 Bears Academy31233%79.087.0-8.0
8 Horsens2020%82.087.0-5.0
9 Copenhagen3030%72.380.7-8.3
10 Amager2020%70.082.5-12.5
11 Holbaek-Stenhus1010%53.0104.0-51.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsens1928102784
Herlev Wolfpack81516948
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