Herlev Wolfpack vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Oct 2018

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 95-86

28-15 24-16 22-24 21-31

Position#8

Record0-1

FormLLLLL

Points / game66.0

Allowed / game88.0

Herlev Wolfpack 🏆

Vaerlose

Position#7

Record-

FormLWLWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Basketligaen

Other2018-19

Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vaerlose winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsholm

62-110

110

-48

H09/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

50-83

-33

H15/02

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

73-111

111

-38

A18/02

Basketligaen

Horsens

75-115

115

-40

A08/03

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

95-79

+16

H10/03

Basketligaen

Horsens

88-110

110

-22

H14/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

68-103

103

-35

A18/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

77-98

-21

H23/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

106-109 OT

106

109

-3

A29/03

Basketligaen

Svendborg

66-88

-22

H29/09

Basketligaen

10-32

15-29

21-19

16-30

18-17

8-22

12-24

12-20

16-32

18-27

17-32

22-20

20-31

20-33

19-28

16-23

27-20

24-19

29-19

15-21

21-33

25-30

19-28

23-19

25-29

19-36

12-28

12-10

29-25

16-23

20-17

12-33

29-25

27-31

13-24

28-17

9-22

20-24

24-17

13-25

176.6Avg total

76.0Scored

100.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	66.0	88.0	154.0	-22.0	0%
Season at home (1)	66.0	88.0	154.0	-22.0	0%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	76.0	100.6	176.6	-24.6	10%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	101.6	182.6	-20.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	73.1	96.3	169.3	-23.2	9%
vs Similar ◀ (3)	83.7	83.3	167.0	+0.3	67%
vs Weaker (3)	82.3	67.7	150.0	+14.7	67%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aalborg

#10

81-69

+12

A16/03

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

83-66

+17

H22/03

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

87-83

A28/03

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

89-74

+15

H01/04

Basketligaen

Egedal

#15

89-41

+48

A20/10

Denmark Cup

Randers

78-87

-9

H27/11

Denmark Cup

Skjold Birkerod

#12

78-57

+21

H01/11

Denmark Cup

Bakken Bears

56-110

110

-54

H17/11

Denmark Cup

Vejen

#16

95-38

+57

A22/10

Denmark Cup

Bakken Bears

69-94

-25

H10/11

Denmark Cup

25-21

19-16

24-14

13-18

27-14

15-20

22-20

19-12

21-16

17-20

19-24

30-23

30-14

17-13

23-22

19-25

–

23-14

11-12

17-16

27-15

–

13-17

29-23

12-34

15-20

152.4Avg total

80.5Scored

71.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	80.5	71.9	152.4	+8.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	77.2	152.4	-2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	69.2	90.0	159.2	-20.8	8%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	81.1	86.1	167.3	-5.0	29%
vs Weaker (7)	85.1	73.7	158.9	+11.4	86%

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Herlev WolfpackVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.9	24.3	42.2	-6.4	25%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.7	23.6	41.3	-5.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	24.9	42.9	-6.8	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	26.6	47.0	-6.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	26.8	49.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.0	25.2	43.2	-7.1	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.5	22.0	36.5	-7.5	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	18.3	39.7	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.5	21.9	43.5	-0.4	45%	-
Last 10 (6)	23.2	16.0	39.2	+7.2	83%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	15.0	37.8	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.2	21.2	41.5	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.2	16.8	42.0	+8.3	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.9	24.9	43.7	-6.0	14%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.8	23.5	41.4	-5.7	15%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	26.0	45.7	-6.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	27.4	46.6	-8.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	28.8	50.2	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.2	25.7	44.0	-7.5	4%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	20.7	21.7	42.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	19.5	43.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	19.4	37.3	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+0.9	55%	-
Last 10 (6)	18.0	17.3	35.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.6	35.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.3	21.3	41.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.3	21.3	41.7	-1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.5	16.0	33.5	+1.5	50%	-

Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsholm

25-61

-36

H09/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

26-39

-13

H15/02

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

34-59

-25

A18/02

Basketligaen

Horsens

40-64

-24

A08/03

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

51-39

+12

H10/03

Basketligaen

Horsens

46-63

-17

H14/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

44-65

-21

A18/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

45-48

-3

H23/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

56-56

A29/03

Basketligaen

Svendborg

29-46

-17

H29/09

Basketligaen

93.6Avg total

39.6Scored

54.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	36.8	49.1	85.9	-12.4	11%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	35.5	47.2	82.7	-11.6	15%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.8	50.9	88.7	-13.1	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	54.0	93.6	-14.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	55.6	99.6	-11.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	36.3	50.9	87.2	-14.7	4%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	39.7	40.7	80.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.0	41.5	79.5	-3.5	50%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aalborg

#10

44-37

A16/03

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

42-34

H22/03

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

38-36

A28/03

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

47-27

+20

H01/04

Basketligaen

Skjold Birkerod

#12

34-26

H01/11

Denmark Cup

Bakken Bears

42-40

H10/11

Denmark Cup

74.5Avg total

41.2Scored

33.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	40.8	39.6	80.3	+1.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	37.6	77.0	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	42.5	42.0	84.5	+0.5	45%	-
Last 10 (6)	41.2	33.3	74.5	+7.8	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	32.6	73.2	+8.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	40.6	42.6	83.2	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	40.3	42.5	82.8	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.7	32.8	75.5	+9.8	83%	-

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.1	22.3	40.4	-4.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	22.5	39.5	-5.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	23.6	42.2	-5.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	22.8	40.4	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.0	23.7	41.8	-5.7	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	21.7	15.7	37.3	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	13.5	15.5	29.0	-2.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	44%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.0	20.2	37.2	-3.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.5	55%	-
Last 10 (6)	19.5	21.7	41.2	-2.2	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	23.2	41.8	-4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	15.5	22.8	38.3	-7.3	8%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.8	19.3	40.2	+1.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.8	18.3	41.2	+4.5	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.5	36%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.2	23.9	41.2	-6.7	15%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	18.5	38.1	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	21.8	38.7	-4.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.4	21.1	39.5	-2.7	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	17.0	23.0	40.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	17.0	39.5	+5.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	16.7	21.5	38.2	-4.8	24%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.2	21.5	37.7	-5.3	21%	-
Last 30 away (11)	17.3	21.5	38.7	-4.2	27%	-
Last 10 (6)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	14.2	22.9	37.1	-8.8	8%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	36.6	43.3	79.9	-6.6	25%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.7	45.9	82.6	-9.2	23%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.6	41.0	77.6	-4.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	45.4	80.9	-9.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	43.6	78.8	-8.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	36.4	44.8	81.3	-8.4	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	38.7	38.7	77.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.0	32.5	68.5	+3.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	35.3	42.1	77.4	-6.8	28%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	33.2	41.7	74.9	-8.5	21%	-
Last 30 away (11)	37.9	42.6	80.5	-4.7	36%	-
Last 10 (6)	40.0	40.5	80.5	-0.5	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	42.2	82.8	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	29.7	45.8	75.4	-16.1	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	39.7	41.5	81.2	-1.8	17%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.7	37.3	78.0	+3.3	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Herlev Wolfpack wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
09/03/15	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	77-105
16/01/15	Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose	101-66
16/11/14	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	73-84
29/03/14	Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose	77-76
22/03/14	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	68-89
18/03/14	Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose	77-70
08/03/14	Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose	95-90
11/12/13	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	68-91
12/10/13	Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose	88-75
01/03/12	Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose	92-85

Herlev Wolfpacklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/09/18	H	Svendborg	66-88
29/03/18	A	Bakken Bears	106-109 OT
23/03/18	H	Bakken Bears	77-98
18/03/18	A	Bakken Bears	68-103
14/03/18	H	Horsens	88-110
10/03/18	H	Team FOG Naestved	95-79
08/03/18	A	Horsens	75-115
18/02/18	A	Team FOG Naestved	73-111
15/02/18	H	Svendborg	50-83
09/02/18	H	Horsholm	62-110

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/11/17	H	Bakken Bears	69-94
22/10/17	A	Vejen	95-38
17/11/16	H	Bakken Bears	56-110
01/11/16	H	Skjold Birkerod	78-57
27/11/15	H	Randers	78-87
20/10/15	A	Egedal	89-41
01/04/15	H	Aalborg	89-74
28/03/15	A	Aalborg	87-83
22/03/15	H	Aalborg	83-66
16/03/15	A	Aalborg	81-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack

Basketligaen 2018-19

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	0%	0%	-
Points / game	66.0	66.0	-
Allowed / game	88.0	88.0	-
Point differential	-22.0	-22.0	-
Avg total	154.0	154.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Horsens	2	2	0	100%	88.5	72.5	+16.0
2	Svendborg	2	2	0	100%	91.0	77.5	+13.5
3	Team FOG Naestved	2	1	1	50%	100.0	78.0	+22.0
4	Randers	1	0	1	0%	81.0	95.0	-14.0
5	EBAA Aarhus	1	0	1	0%	64.0	82.0	-18.0
6	Herlev Wolfpack	1	0	1	0%	66.0	88.0	-22.0
7	Stevnsgade	1	0	1	0%	62.0	111.0	-49.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Herlev Wolfpack	28	24	22	21	95
Vaerlose	15	16	24	31	86

← all games of the day

Herlev Wolfpack vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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