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Herlev Wolfpack vs EBAA Aarhus Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 70-72
19-18 22-16 18-11 11-27
Position#8
Record7-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game93.5
vs
Position#6
Record7-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game83.9
DenmarkBasketligaen
Other2018-19
Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v EBAA Aarhus
15 Feb 2020
HERL83
EBAA56
29 Dec 2019
HERL100
EBAA99
08 Mar 2019
HERL70
EBAA72
08 Dec 2018
HERL86
EBAA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
EBAA Aarhus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A02/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
70-108
70
108
-38
A08/01
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
97-79
97
79
+18
H19/01
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
88-56
88
56
+32
A27/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
54-83
54
83
-29
A10/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H13/02
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
97-95
97
95
+2
A16/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
80-124
80
124
-44
H22/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
72-111
72
111
-39
A25/02
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A01/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
21-33
22-23
21-16
21-18
14-39
19-30
16-21
23-11
25-30
21-14
28-24
24-12
29-15
19-15
16-14
12-12
15-28
19-22
8-21
16-18
26-21
20-13
22-22
28-22
19-30
25-21
25-22
18-25
24-41
26-32
12-26
18-25
10-29
19-32
25-25
12-20
19-33
14-14
24-21
170.6Avg total
79.5Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.593.5176.0-11.035%
Season at home (10)84.096.4180.4-12.440%
Season away (10)81.090.6171.6-9.630%
Last 10 (10)79.591.1170.6-11.640%
Last 5 (5)80.498.4178.8-18.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)75.8102.7178.5-26.95%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.682.0167.6+3.650%
vs Weaker (3)96.385.7182.0+10.7100%
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EBAA AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H04/01
Basketligaen
Herlev
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A06/01
Denmark Cup
Stevnsgade
#5
W
88-62
88
62
+26
A13/01
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
H16/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
62-85
62
85
-23
H20/01
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
56-88
56
88
-32
H27/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
89-99
89
99
-10
A13/02
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H23/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H01/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A03/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
17-31
16-17
22-22
26-30
17-25
26-7
18-12
21-15
19-12
17-29
31-6
20-19
27-21
15-25
13-22
8-19
21-25
15-17
18-24
12-24
15-29
15-19
14-16
26-34
19-22
25-28
19-15
26-17
23-17
15-17
16-17
20-12
33-19
14-14
21-24
16-12
23-17
11-27
14-12
155.3Avg total
76.4Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.283.9160.1-7.835%
Season at home (11)71.677.5149.1-5.836%
Season away (9)81.791.8173.4-10.133%
Last 10 (10)76.478.9155.3-2.540%
Last 5 (5)75.478.4153.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.492.3164.8-19.90%
vs Similar ◀ (7)74.071.9145.9+2.157%
vs Weaker (5)84.270.2154.4+14.0100%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -9.7-9.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
Herlev WolfpackEBAA Aarhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A02/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A08/01
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H19/01
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
53-27
53
27
+26
A27/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A10/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H13/02
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A16/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-66
42
66
-24
H22/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
28-54
28
54
-26
A25/02
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A01/03
Basketligaen
87.7Avg total
39.4Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.749.690.3-8.923%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.548.588.9-8.033%-
Last 30 away (15)41.050.791.7-9.713%-
Last 10 (10)39.448.387.7-8.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.052.890.8-14.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.352.891.1-14.55%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.643.487.0+0.250%-
vs Weaker (3)48.346.094.3+2.367%-
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EBAA AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H04/01
Basketligaen
Herlev
#9
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A06/01
Denmark Cup
Stevnsgade
#5
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A13/01
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H16/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H20/01
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
27-53
27
53
-26
H27/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A13/02
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H23/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H01/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A03/03
Basketligaen
82.8Avg total
40.9Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)38.942.881.8-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.140.176.2-4.031%-
Last 30 away (11)42.346.188.4-3.836%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.982.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.683.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.848.385.1-11.68%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.536.075.5+3.567%-
vs Weaker (5)42.635.478.0+7.260%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Herlev Wolfpack wins
2
EBAA Aarhus wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/19AEBAA Aarhus69-88
25/02/19ABakken Bears72-111
22/02/19HBakken Bears80-124
16/02/19AStevnsgade97-95
13/02/19HVaerlose84-74
10/02/19AHorsens54-83
27/01/19AEBAA Aarhus88-56
19/01/19HStevnsgade97-79
08/01/19ATeam FOG Naestved70-108
02/01/19AVaerlose84-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19AVaerlose64-68
01/03/19HHerlev Wolfpack88-69
23/02/19HStevnsgade80-68
13/02/19ASvendborg89-99
27/01/19HHerlev Wolfpack56-88
20/01/19HHorsens62-85
16/01/19HTeam FOG Naestved75-87
13/01/19AStevnsgade88-62
06/01/19AHerlev87-74
04/01/19HBakken Bears75-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL35%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%40%30%
Points / game82.584.081.0
Allowed / game93.596.490.6
Point differential-11.0-12.4-9.6
Avg total176.0180.4171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
EBAA Aarhus
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL35%
HomeLLLWW36%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %35%36%33%
Points / game76.271.681.7
Allowed / game83.977.591.8
Point differential-7.8-5.8-10.1
Avg total160.1149.1173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2321291%102.280.9+21.3
2 Horsens2216673%94.081.1+12.8
3 Team FOG Naestved2314961%91.481.6+9.9
4 Svendborg23131057%82.882.3+0.5
5 Randers23131057%89.890.5-0.7
6 EBAA Aarhus2071335%76.283.9-7.8
7 Herlev Wolfpack2071335%82.593.5-11.0
8 Vaerlose2061430%76.686.8-10.2
9 Stevnsgade200200%69.890.7-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Herlev Wolfpack1922181170
EBAA Aarhus1816112772
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