Herlev Wolfpack vs Horsholm Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2013

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 83-86 (OT)

23-16 18-21 15-17 12-14 15-18

Position#8

Record3-7

FormLLLLW

Points / game74.4

Allowed / game78.7

Herlev Wolfpack

Horsholm 🏆

Position#6

Record5-5

FormLWWWL

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game79.9

BasketligaenRound 11

Other2013-14

Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Horsholm

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Horsholm winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

59-85

-26

A09/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

88-75

+13

H12/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

59-72

-13

A17/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

80-85

-5

H19/10

Basketligaen

Aarhus

#11

82-53

+29

A25/10

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

71-87

-16

A30/10

Basketligaen

Aalborg

76-82

-6

H07/11

Basketligaen

Aalborg

70-81

-11

A11/11

Denmark Cup

Sisu

82-98

-16

A19/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

65-54

+11

A25/11

Basketligaen

13-20

15-17

18-33

13-15

16-14

25-15

18-18

29-28

17-28

13-17

14-15

15-12

18-25

26-15

17-22

19-23

–

21-13

16-26

12-22

22-26

16-21

23-16

17-23

20-22

18-25

15-16

21-18

16-22

21-25

25-22

17-26

19-25

16-11

9-14

17-13

23-16

150.4Avg total

73.2Scored

77.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	74.4	78.7	153.1	-4.3	30%
Season at home (4)	82.2	77.0	159.2	+5.2	50%
Season away (6)	69.2	79.8	149.0	-10.7	17%
Last 10 (10)	73.2	77.2	150.4	-4.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	72.8	80.4	153.2	-7.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	73.8	85.9	159.7	-12.1	0%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	78.4	80.4	158.8	-2.1	32%
vs Weaker (1)	88.0	75.0	163.0	+13.0	100%

This opponent (Horsholm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Horsholm

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

82-89

-7

H28/09

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

86-74

+12

H09/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

62-94

-32

A14/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

87-66

+21

A17/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

60-80

-20

A19/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

73-79

-6

A25/10

Denmark Cup

Herlev Wolfpack

87-71

+16

H30/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

74-63

+11

A06/11

Basketligaen

Aalborg

90-87

A20/11

Basketligaen

Randers

83-86

-3

H23/11

Basketligaen

18-25

22-22

27-12

15-30

19-21

25-21

16-9

26-23

18-27

18-17

12-26

14-24

23-19

23-20

25-8

16-19

17-13

20-28

8-27

15-12

17-15

24-25

21-21

11-18

13-21

26-16

22-12

26-22

14-20

18-9

23-21

19-13

33-20

9-25

27-16

21-26

20-17

23-15

16-25

24-29

157.3Avg total

78.4Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	78.8	79.9	158.7	-1.1	50%
Season at home (4)	84.5	80.0	164.5	+4.5	50%
Season away (6)	75.0	79.8	154.8	-4.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	78.9	157.3	-0.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	77.2	158.6	+4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	74.2	85.3	159.5	-11.1	22%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	83.1	75.8	158.9	+7.4	88%
vs Weaker (3)	94.0	74.3	168.3	+19.7	67%

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Herlev WolfpackHorsholm

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	31%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.2	19.8	39.1	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	21.5	40.6	-2.3	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.3	20.2	37.6	-2.9	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.0	22.4	39.4	-5.4	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.1	37%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	14.0	30.0	+2.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.2	19.1	39.3	+1.1	61%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.5	55%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.2	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.3	19.7	44.0	+4.7	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.3	19.4	37.7	-1.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.0	18.3	40.3	+3.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (17)	15.6	20.2	35.9	-4.6	24%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.6	17.6	36.1	+1.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.8	36.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.8	19.6	38.3	-0.8	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	17.7	19.6	37.3	-1.9	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	15.0	40.0	+10.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.5	61%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	24.4	19.1	43.5	+5.3	82%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.9	19.9	38.8	-1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.9	17.6	38.5	+3.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (3)	27.0	16.0	43.0	+11.0	100%	-

Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

28-37

-9

A09/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

41-29

+12

H12/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

30-45

-15

A17/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

44-40

H19/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

37-39

-2

A30/10

Basketligaen

Aalborg

39-37

H07/11

Basketligaen

Aalborg

33-41

-8

A11/11

Denmark Cup

Sisu

46-47

-1

A19/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

25-25

A25/11

Basketligaen

73.7Avg total

35.9Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.5	40.2	77.7	-2.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	41.2	38.2	79.4	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (17)	34.8	41.7	76.5	-6.9	18%	-
Last 10 (9)	35.9	37.8	73.7	-1.9	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	37.8	73.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.8	42.0	77.8	-6.2	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	38.1	40.0	78.1	-1.9	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	41.0	29.0	70.0	+12.0	100%	-

This opponent (Horsholm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

HorsholmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

40-47

-7

H28/09

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

44-42

H09/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

36-44

-8

A14/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

46-39

A17/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

37-41

-4

A19/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

41-40

A25/10

Denmark Cup

Herlev Wolfpack

39-37

H30/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

32-29

A06/11

Basketligaen

Aalborg

42-45

-3

A20/11

Basketligaen

Randers

43-32

+11

H23/11

Basketligaen

79.6Avg total

40.0Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	41.2	38.6	79.9	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	43.5	38.7	82.3	+4.8	82%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.8	38.6	78.4	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	39.6	79.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	36.6	76.0	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	39.6	39.9	79.5	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	40.8	37.1	77.9	+3.6	75%	-
vs Weaker (3)	51.3	35.7	87.0	+15.7	100%	-

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.6	22.3	42.9	-1.8	42%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.5	53%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.8	21.1	37.9	-4.3	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.4	37.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.0	24.1	43.1	-5.1	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	63%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.8	20.9	39.8	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	55%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.9	22.2	40.1	-4.2	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.7	37.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.6	22.4	40.0	-4.8	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.0	19.3	43.3	+4.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.5	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	19.4	39.4	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (1)	29.0	28.0	57.0	+1.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.9	21.3	40.2	-2.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.5	23.7	43.2	-4.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.6	40.3	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.7	22.9	40.6	-5.2	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.2	19.2	41.5	+3.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.2	40.9	80.1	-1.7	38%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	40.2	41.8	82.1	-1.6	42%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.5	40.2	78.7	-1.8	35%	-
Last 10 (9)	36.3	42.1	78.4	-5.8	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	42.6	79.4	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.0	43.9	81.9	-5.9	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	39.4	39.2	78.6	+0.2	37%	-
vs Weaker (1)	47.0	46.0	93.0	+1.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	37.7	42.2	79.9	-4.6	32%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	39.6	42.7	82.4	-3.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.4	41.9	78.4	-5.5	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	39.3	77.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	40.6	82.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	35.3	45.3	80.6	-10.0	6%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	41.2	37.9	79.1	+3.4	75%	-
vs Weaker (3)	42.7	38.7	81.3	+4.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Herlev Wolfpack wins

Horsholm wins

Date	Game	Score
30/10/13	Horsholm v Herlev Wolfpack	87-71
25/02/12	Horsholm v Herlev Wolfpack	79-71
07/12/11	Horsholm v Herlev Wolfpack	80-62
17/11/11	Herlev Wolfpack v Horsholm	83-94
24/09/11	Herlev Wolfpack v Horsholm	71-69
15/11/10	Horsholm v Herlev Wolfpack	68-57

Herlev Wolfpacklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/13	A	Team FOG Naestved	65-54
19/11/13	A	Sisu	82-98
11/11/13	A	Aalborg	70-81
07/11/13	H	Aalborg	76-82
30/10/13	A	Horsholm	71-87
25/10/13	A	Aarhus	82-53
19/10/13	H	Bakken Bears	80-85
17/10/13	A	Horsens	59-72
12/10/13	H	Vaerlose	88-75
09/10/13	A	Randers	59-85

Horsholmlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/11/13	H	Randers	83-86
20/11/13	A	Aalborg	90-87
06/11/13	A	Horsens	74-63
30/10/13	H	Herlev Wolfpack	87-71
25/10/13	A	Svendborg	73-79
19/10/13	A	Svendborg	60-80
17/10/13	A	Vaerlose	87-66
14/10/13	A	Bakken Bears	62-94
09/10/13	H	Team FOG Naestved	86-74
28/09/13	H	Randers	82-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack

Basketligaen 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	30%
Home	WWLL	50%
Away	LLLLW	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	30%	50%	17%
Points / game	74.4	82.2	69.2
Allowed / game	78.7	77.0	79.8
Point differential	-4.3	+5.2	-10.7
Avg total	153.1	159.2	149.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	50%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Horsholm

Basketligaen 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	50%
Home	LWWL	50%
Away	LWLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	78.8	84.5	75.0
Allowed / game	79.9	80.0	79.8
Point differential	-1.1	+4.5	-4.8
Avg total	158.7	164.5	154.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	50%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	10	10	0	100%	93.0	69.5	+23.5
2	Svendborg	10	9	1	90%	86.6	74.7	+11.9
3	Randers	10	8	2	80%	87.7	79.2	+8.5
4	Horsholm	10	5	5	50%	78.8	79.9	-1.1
5	Team FOG Naestved	10	4	6	40%	75.6	83.5	-7.9
6	Sisu	11	4	7	36%	80.2	84.9	-4.7
7	Horsens	10	3	7	30%	73.9	75.2	-1.3
8	Herlev Wolfpack	10	3	7	30%	74.4	78.7	-4.3
9	Aalborg	10	3	7	30%	75.4	85.0	-9.6
10	Vaerlose	11	2	9	18%	73.8	87.0	-13.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Herlev Wolfpack	23	18	15	12	15	83
Horsholm	16	21	17	14	18	86

← all games of the day

Herlev Wolfpack vs Horsholm Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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