PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
High Point faces Montana State on 19 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model designating High Point as the clear favourite thanks to its undefeated 4-0 record, 76.5 points per game and 59.0 allowed per game, placing them 64th in the league, while Montana State sits 283rd with a 1-2 record, 76.0 points per game and 80.0 allowed per game; High Point's home performance is flawless, 4-0 with the same averages, and their last five games include victories over Southern Utah 88-59, Washington State 83-71 and Md.-East. Shore 63-49, whereas Montana State's road record is 0-2, with recent outings of a 71-86 loss to Brigham Young, a 83-70 win over Long Beach State and a 74-84 defeat to Colorado State; the two teams have met once before, with the most recent encounter recorded as a 71-86 loss for Montana State to Brigham Young; Pythia projects a 91% chance for High Point to win, a 9% chance for Montana State, a projected score of 83-68 and a total of 150.8 points, and a 2% probability of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 76.5 | 59.0 | 135.5 | +17.5 | 100% |
| Season at home (4) | 76.5 | 59.0 | 135.5 | +17.5 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 80.3 | 69.1 | 149.4 | +11.2 | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.8 | 66.0 | 144.8 | +12.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 88.0 | 59.0 | 147.0 | +29.0 | 100% |
| vs Similar (1) | 72.0 | 57.0 | 129.0 | +15.0 | 100% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (28) | 87.6 | 70.2 | 157.8 | +17.4 | 89% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 76.0 | 80.0 | 156.0 | -4.0 | 33% |
| Season at home (1) | 83.0 | 70.0 | 153.0 | +13.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 72.5 | 85.0 | 157.5 | -12.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.1 | 75.7 | 153.8 | +2.4 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.6 | 76.6 | 152.2 | -1.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 77.0 | 82.0 | 159.0 | -5.0 | 25% |
| vs Similar (12) | 78.9 | 74.1 | 153.0 | +4.8 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 75.5 | 70.2 | 145.7 | +5.4 | 62% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.6 | 32.2 | 73.7 | +9.4 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 at home (19) | 42.0 | 28.6 | 70.6 | +13.4 | 95% | - |
| Last 30 away (11) | 40.8 | 38.3 | 79.1 | +2.5 | 55% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.9 | 32.8 | 70.7 | +5.1 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.0 | 31.6 | 67.6 | +4.4 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 38.0 | 31.0 | 69.0 | +7.0 | 100% | - |
| vs Similar (1) | 37.0 | 34.0 | 71.0 | +3.0 | 100% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (28) | 41.9 | 32.1 | 74.0 | +9.7 | 79% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.9 | 33.2 | 70.1 | +3.7 | 63% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 40.6 | 32.6 | 73.1 | +8.0 | 93% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 33.8 | 33.8 | 67.5 | +0.0 | 38% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.1 | 36.2 | 72.3 | -0.1 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.8 | 36.0 | 72.8 | +0.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 35.2 | 40.0 | 75.2 | -4.8 | 25% | - |
| vs Similar (12) | 37.3 | 31.6 | 68.9 | +5.8 | 92% | - |
| vs Weaker (13) | 36.4 | 33.6 | 70.0 | +2.8 | 46% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | H | Southern Utah | 88-59 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Washington State | 83-71 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Md.-East. Shore | 63-49 |
| 02/11/26 | H | Liberty | 72-57 |
| 22/03/26 | A | Arkansas | 88-94 |
| 19/03/26 | A | Wisconsin | 83-82 |
| 08/03/26 | H | Winthrop | 91-76 |
| 07/03/26 | H | UNC Asheville | 75-71 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Gardner Webb | 81-59 |
| 27/02/26 | A | Presbyterian | 79-73 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | A | Brigham Young | 71-86 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Long Beach State | 83-70 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Colorado State | 74-84 |
| 09/03/26 | H | Idaho | 74-78 |
| 03/03/26 | A | Northern Arizona | 76-65 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Sacramento State | 82-61 |
| 27/02/26 | H | Portland State | 84-69 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Idaho State | 76-91 |
| 20/02/26 | A | Weber State | 79-82 OT |
| 15/02/26 | A | Montana | 82-71 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 76.5 | 76.5 | - |
| Allowed / game | 59.0 | 59.0 | - |
| Point differential | +17.5 | +17.5 | - |
| Avg total | 135.5 | 135.5 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWL | 33% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 76.0 | 83.0 | 72.5 |
| Allowed / game | 80.0 | 70.0 | 85.0 |
| Point differential | -4.0 | +13.0 | -12.5 |
| Avg total | 156.0 | 153.0 | 157.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | High Point | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 76.5 | 59.0 | +17.5 |
| 2 |  Longwood | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 90.2 | 69.8 | +20.4 |
| 3 |  UNC Asheville | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 80.0 | 80.4 | -0.4 |
| 4 |  Charleston Southern | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 73.7 | 76.3 | -2.7 |
| 5 |  Radford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 70.2 | 73.2 | -3.0 |
| 6 |  Gardner Webb | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 61.5 | 82.2 | -20.8 |
| 7 |  USC Upstate | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 75.4 | 73.6 | +1.8 |
| 8 |  Winthrop | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 84.8 | 90.0 | -5.2 |
| 9 |  Presbyterian | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 71.7 | 90.7 | -19.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Idaho | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 86.5 | 71.5 | +15.0 |
| 2 |  Northern Colorado | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 82.0 | 69.2 | +12.8 |
| 3 |  Sacramento State | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 83.5 | 78.5 | +5.0 |
| 4 |  Montana | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 77.3 | 63.3 | +14.0 |
| 5 |  Portland State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 80.7 | 75.0 | +5.7 |
| 6 | Montana State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 76.0 | 80.0 | -4.0 |
| 7 |  East. Washington | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 80.5 | 83.5 | -3.0 |
| 8 |  Northern Arizona | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 69.5 | 87.8 | -18.2 |
| 9 |  Weber State | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 72.7 | 96.0 | -23.3 |
| 10 |  Idaho State | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 67.3 | 92.0 | -24.7 |
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