PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Idaho State vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 91-76
0-0 50-30 0-0 41-46
Position#284
Record11-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game75.8
Idaho State 🏆
USA
vs
Montana State
USA
Position#144
Record15-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game71.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Idaho State v Montana State
07 Jan 2027
IDAH v MONT
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
IDAH91
MONT76
10 Mar 2025
IDAH60
MONT80
16 Jan 2025
IDAH70
MONT67
28 Dec 2023
IDAH66
MONT74
11 Feb 2023
IDAH52
MONT58
07 Feb 2022
IDAH54
MONT72
11 Mar 2021
IDAH63
MONT71
25 Jan 2020
IDAH64
MONT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Idaho State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Idaho StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#261
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H17/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A23/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A24/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A03/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H06/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H07/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A13/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
69-99
69
99
-30
A14/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H20/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
21-44
0-0
45-40
0-0
34-38
0-0
28-36
0-0
30-35
0-0
30-34
0-0
38-33
0-0
41-48
0-0
32-43
0-0
33-45
0-0
34-40
0-0
39-39
0-0
34-36
0-0
27-33
0-0
38-45
0-0
37-43
0-0
30-60
0-0
39-39
0-0
39-37
0-0
34-32
148.3Avg total
68.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)74.275.8150.0-1.539%
Season at home (14)80.174.1154.3+6.057%
Season away (14)68.477.4145.7-9.021%
Last 10 (10)68.380.0148.3-11.710%
Last 5 (5)70.280.8151.0-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)70.279.1149.2-8.912%
vs Similar (10)77.777.3155.0+0.450%
vs Weaker (2)78.555.0133.5+23.5100%
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#186
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A20/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H23/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A30/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H06/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A15/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
A20/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-31
0-0
44-36
0-0
36-27
0-0
37-41
0-0
38-34
0-0
36-28
0-0
45-42
0-0
46-46
0-0
38-45
0-0
42-38
0-0
21-23
0-0
33-40
0-0
36-26
0-0
37-40
0-0
34-37
0-0
37-35
0-0
38-37
0-0
44-34
0-0
29-28
0-0
38-39
147.5Avg total
75.3Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.871.1149.0+6.756%
Season at home (12)83.866.7150.4+17.183%
Season away (15)73.174.7147.8-1.733%
Last 10 (10)75.372.2147.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)71.870.8142.6+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.376.7146.0-7.333%
vs Similar (13)75.971.6147.5+4.362%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)77.969.1147.0+8.854%
This opponent (Idaho State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -8.1-8.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -8.1-8.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
Idaho StateMontana State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Idaho StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#261
L
21-44
21
44
-23
H17/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A23/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A31/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A03/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H07/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A13/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
30-60
30
60
-30
A14/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H20/02
NCAA
74.1Avg total
33.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.837.371.1-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.236.873.0-0.550%-
Last 30 away (14)31.137.968.9-6.821%-
Last 10 (10)33.041.174.1-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)35.043.678.6-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.138.670.7-6.625%-
vs Similar (10)36.136.572.6-0.450%-
vs Weaker (2)32.530.563.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#186
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A20/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H23/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A30/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
21-23
21
23
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H06/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H08/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A15/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A20/02
NCAA
67.7Avg total
34.7Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.631.768.3+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.531.673.2+9.985%-
Last 30 away (17)32.931.764.6+1.241%-
Last 10 (10)34.733.067.7+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)31.630.261.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.334.064.3-3.733%-
vs Similar (13)35.931.467.3+4.577%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.132.370.4+5.846%-
This opponent (Idaho State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Idaho State wins
9
Montana State wins
DateGameScore
23/01/26Montana State v Idaho State74-62
10/03/25Idaho State v Montana State60-80
16/02/25Montana State v Idaho State74-69
17/01/25Idaho State v Montana State70-67
23/01/24Montana State v Idaho State77-70
29/12/23Idaho State v Montana State66-74
12/02/23Idaho State v Montana State52-58
13/01/23Montana State v Idaho State81-68
08/02/22Idaho State v Montana State54-72
01/01/22Montana State v Idaho State60-40
Idaho Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26HMontana73-69
14/02/26AIdaho69-99
13/02/26AEast. Washington75-88
07/02/26HNorthern Colorado61-69
06/02/26HNorthern Arizona73-79
03/02/26APortland State65-88
31/01/26AWeber State79-81
24/01/26AMontana60-69
23/01/26AMontana State62-74
17/01/26HEast. Washington66-84
Montana Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26AWeber State79-82 OT
15/02/26AMontana82-71
08/02/26HEast. Washington71-72
06/02/26HIdaho73-66
31/01/26APortland State54-63
30/01/26ASacramento State80-83
25/01/26HWeber State91-88
23/01/26HIdaho State74-62
20/01/26ANorthern Colorado73-68
18/01/26HMontana76-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Idaho State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW39%
HomeWLLLW57%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %39%57%21%
Points / game74.280.168.4
Allowed / game75.874.177.4
Point differential-1.5+6.0-9.0
Avg total150.0154.3145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Montana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL56%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %56%83%33%
Points / game77.883.873.1
Allowed / game71.166.774.7
Point differential+6.7+17.1-1.7
Avg total149.0150.4147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%42%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)33% (3)33% (9)
Overtime %7%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State2618869%76.869.5+7.3
2 Northern Colorado27171063%83.076.7+6.3
3 Montana State27151256%77.871.1+6.7
4 Idaho27141352%79.073.8+5.2
5 Montana27141352%78.073.3+4.7
6 Weber State28141450%81.677.2+4.4
7 Idaho State28111739%74.275.8-1.5
8 East. Washington28111739%77.679.7-2.1
9 Northern Arizona27101737%72.676.0-3.4
10 Sacramento State2691735%79.583.1-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Idaho State05004191
Montana State03004676
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.