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Hiroshima D. vs San Miguel Beermen Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 10:10
Final 94-63
30-18 22-19 16-14 26-12
Position#1
Record3-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#10
Record0-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game86.3
EuropeEASL· Hiroshima Sun Plaza
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hiroshima D. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Miguel Beermen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hiroshima D.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Saga
#18
W
95-91
95
91
+4
96avg 71
A14/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
79-74
79
74
+5
78avg 71
A15/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
74-87
74
87
-13
62avg 71
H18/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
80-79
80
79
+1
74avg 71
A21/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
73-85
73
85
-12
63avg 71
A22/12
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#2
W
84-73
84
73
+11
68avg 71
A25/12
EASL
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
70avg 71
H28/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
90avg 71
H29/12
B League
Akita
#14
W
74-72
74
72
+2
73avg 71
H04/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
60-69
60
69
-9
49avg 71
H05/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
30-18
15-24
32-21
24-26
23-21
13-11
19-16
21-24
15-19
15-24
23-20
22-19
23-20
21-17
14-23
18-24
24-20
17-24
14-17
26-16
27-21
14-23
17-13
27-25
19-23
18-21
15-25
26-28
20-17
24-15
18-28
18-23
22-17
17-16
17-16
20-18
13-15
10-18
17-18
161.6Avg total
79.2Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.073.8155.8+8.275%
Season at home (1)78.067.0145.0+11.0100%
Season away (3)83.376.0159.3+7.367%
Last 10 (10)79.282.4161.6-3.250%
Last 5 (5)78.281.6159.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.187.2162.3-12.19%
vs Similar (15)80.379.7160.0+0.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)82.074.2156.2+7.875%
This opponent (San Miguel Beermen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Miguel BeermenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeermen
Date
Competition
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
99-102
99
102
-3
no box
A20/10
Governors Cup
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#2
L
85-101
85
101
-16
79avg 92
H13/11
EASL
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#11
W
107-104
107
104
+3
no box
H03/12
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#9
L
99-104
99
104
-5
no box
A08/12
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#8
L
93-107
93
107
-14
no box
H10/12
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#13
W
106-88
106
88
+18
no box
A13/12
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
115-102
115
102
+13
no box
H15/12
Commissioners Cup
Hong Kong Eastern
#6
L
62-71
62
71
-9
54avg 92
A18/12
EASL
Hong Kong Eastern
#5
L
91-99 OT
91
99
-8
no box
A22/12
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
81-93
81
93
-12
no box
H05/01
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
22-23
26-30
24-26
20-25
13-32
23-26
29-18
28-29
26-20
17-31
36-24
21-17
32-23
22-31
24-33
25-19
17-28
30-23
21-37
21-16
26-23
26-27
33-22
18-26
37-22
30-29
30-25
14-28
20-20
14-12
14-11
20-22
21-29
23-18
23-18
16-16
15-31
19-19
31-27
190.9Avg total
93.8Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.086.3162.3-10.30%
Season at home (2)83.094.0177.0-11.00%
Season away (1)62.071.0133.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)93.897.1190.9-3.330%
Last 5 (5)91.090.6181.6+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)77.288.0165.2-10.80%
vs Similar (20)107.2108.5215.8-1.340%
vs Weaker (6)115.7107.8223.5+7.883%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
Hiroshima D.San Miguel Beermen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#18
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A14/12
B League
Saga
#18
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A15/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A21/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A22/12
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#2
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A25/12
EASL
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H28/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H29/12
B League
Akita
#14
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H04/01
B League
Akita
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H05/01
B League
85.8Avg total
43.6Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.842.283.0-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.341.181.4-0.838%-
Last 30 away (17)41.143.184.2-1.935%-
Last 10 (10)43.642.285.8+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.684.2+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.443.581.9-5.218%-
vs Similar (15)43.042.185.1+0.947%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.039.078.0+0.050%-
This opponent (San Miguel Beermen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Miguel BeermenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A20/10
Governors Cup
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#2
L
33-57
33
57
-24
H13/11
EASL
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#11
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H03/12
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#9
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A08/12
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H10/12
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#13
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A13/12
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H15/12
Commissioners Cup
Hong Kong Eastern
#6
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A18/12
EASL
Hong Kong Eastern
#5
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A22/12
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H05/01
Commissioners Cup
91.1Avg total
43.9Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.350.6100.9-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.550.8101.2-0.341%-
Last 30 away (13)50.150.3100.4-0.254%-
Last 10 (10)43.947.291.1-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.646.688.2-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.247.883.0-12.525%-
vs Similar (20)52.051.3103.3+0.845%-
vs Weaker (6)54.550.0104.5+4.567%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.0 points a game
50%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.815.7
47.9%
52.3%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.4
36.5%
36.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.713.2
74.6%
75.1%13.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Miguel Beermentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Miguel Beermen: 96.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.0 points a game
50%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.427.1
48.9%
52.3%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.3
31.8%
36.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws25.217.7
70.2%
75.1%17.7
They take 81.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hiroshima D.
LWLLWLWLWW
San Miguel Beermen
LLLWWLLWLL
#1
League position
#10
-4.7
Net rating
+3.4
106.9
Offensive rating
106.9
111.7
Defensive rating
103.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
48.5%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
17.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.5%
3-point %
31.8%
69.4%
Assist %
53.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 106.9Defence111.7 · 103.4Shooting51.2% · 48.5%3-point %36.5% · 31.8%Ball care17.5% · 14.9%Off. rebounds29.1% · 31.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Hiroshima D.   ■ San Miguel Beermen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hiroshima D. wins
0
San Miguel Beermen wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HAkita60-69
04/01/25HAkita74-72
29/12/24HUtsunomiya Brex94-100 OT
28/12/24HUtsunomiya Brex79-94
25/12/24ATaoyuan Pauian Pilots84-73
22/12/24AYokohama73-85
21/12/24AYokohama80-79
18/12/24HKyoto74-87
15/12/24ASaga79-74
14/12/24ASaga95-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel81-93
22/12/24AHong Kong Eastern91-99 OT
18/12/24AHong Kong Eastern62-71
15/12/24HBlackwater Bossing115-102
13/12/24ATerrafirma Dyip106-88
10/12/24HRain or Shine Elasto Painters93-107
08/12/24ANLEX Road Warriors99-104
03/12/24HPhoenix Fuelmasters107-104
13/11/24HTaoyuan Pauian Pilots85-101
20/10/24ABarangay Ginebra San Miguel99-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hiroshima D.
EASL 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game82.078.083.3
Allowed / game73.867.076.0
Point differential+8.2+11.0+7.3
Avg total155.8145.0159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Miguel Beermen
EASL 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.083.062.0
Allowed / game86.394.071.0
Point differential-10.3-11.0-9.0
Avg total162.3177.0133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ryukyu440100%86.580.8+5.8
2 Taoyuan Pauian Pilots43175%91.275.8+15.5
3 Hiroshima D.43175%82.073.8+8.2
4 Meralco Bolts42250%80.078.5+1.5
5 Hong Kong Eastern42250%70.572.2-1.8
6 Macau Black Bears52340%98.6100.2-1.6
7 Suwon KT52340%72.483.8-11.4
8 New Taipei Kings31233%95.095.3-0.3
9 KCC Egis41325%82.887.8-5.0
10 San Miguel Beermen3030%76.086.3-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hiroshima D.3022162694
San Miguel Beermen1819141263
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