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Saga vs Hiroshima D. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 74-79
26-24 21-23 11-13 16-19
Position#18
Record7-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#15
Record8-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game82.8
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v Hiroshima D.
27 Sep 2026
SAGA61
HIRO89
25 Sep 2026
SAGA87
HIRO100
15 Dec 2024
SAGA74
HIRO79
14 Dec 2024
SAGA91
HIRO95
06 Mar 2024
SAGA66
HIRO85
15 Oct 2023
SAGA72
HIRO71
14 Oct 2023
SAGA69
HIRO93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#21
L
76-89
76
89
-13
76avg 68
H04/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
83-69
83
69
+14
78avg 68
A06/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 68
H11/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
56avg 68
H12/11
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
80-51
80
51
+29
79avg 68
H01/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
78-93
78
93
-15
71avg 68
H02/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
70-84
70
84
-14
58avg 68
A07/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
74-86
74
86
-12
66avg 68
A08/12
B League
Shimane
#8
L
55-85
55
85
-30
40avg 68
A11/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
91-95
91
95
-4
87avg 68
H14/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
21-23
20-16
19-26
23-20
16-18
20-15
24-16
20-22
14-24
24-18
14-20
20-18
12-19
14-21
21-15
23-13
15-12
22-10
20-16
17-21
23-22
20-18
18-32
16-23
14-25
13-21
27-15
18-21
21-18
12-18
23-29
12-18
22-15
12-26
9-26
28-18
18-30
24-15
21-32
155.5Avg total
74.6Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.376.7151.1-2.435%
Season at home (8)78.478.9157.2-0.525%
Season away (12)71.775.2146.9-3.642%
Last 10 (10)74.680.9155.5-6.320%
Last 5 (5)73.688.6162.2-15.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.579.2147.8-10.88%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.976.2155.2+2.742%
vs Weaker (6)82.373.2155.5+9.267%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Osaka
#13
W
93-91
93
91
+2
82avg 71
H06/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
56-71
56
71
-15
37avg 71
A09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
79-95
79
95
-16
67avg 71
A10/11
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
84-65
84
65
+19
74avg 71
H30/11
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
87-74
87
74
+13
70avg 71
H01/12
B League
Suwon KT
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 71
A04/12
EASL
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
89-80
89
80
+9
81avg 71
A07/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
74-89
74
89
-15
60avg 71
A08/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
88-82
88
82
+6
82avg 71
H11/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
95-91
95
91
+4
96avg 71
A14/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
21-28
30-19
21-20
16-27
13-14
15-8
12-22
17-26
17-22
20-24
25-23
22-15
22-18
18-17
22-15
17-29
23-9
27-19
20-17
23-20
15-16
23-23
17-21
35-26
21-18
10-20
23-16
18-26
21-26
20-11
15-26
22-17
22-26
16-27
28-12
18-28
30-18
15-24
32-21
164.1Avg total
82.3Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.182.8159.9-5.840%
Season at home (7)83.079.7162.7+3.371%
Season away (13)73.984.5158.5-10.623%
Last 10 (10)82.381.8164.1+0.560%
Last 5 (5)84.884.4169.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.282.3152.5-12.118%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.377.5156.7+1.867%
vs Weaker (4)82.074.2156.2+7.875%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
SagaHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#21
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H11/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H12/11
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H01/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A07/12
B League
Gunma
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/12
B League
Shimane
#8
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A11/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H14/12
B League
77.3Avg total
36.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.038.975.9-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.939.276.2-2.331%-
Last 30 away (17)37.138.675.8-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)36.940.477.3-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.280.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.739.873.4-6.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.337.876.2+0.533%-
vs Weaker (6)41.239.380.5+1.883%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#13
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H06/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A10/11
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H30/11
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H01/12
B League
Suwon KT
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A04/12
EASL
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A07/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A08/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A14/12
B League
84.7Avg total
41.4Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.579.4-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (8)40.440.681.0-0.250%-
Last 30 away (22)37.041.878.8-4.932%-
Last 10 (10)41.443.384.7-1.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.044.289.2+0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.341.978.2-5.618%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.741.980.6-3.147%-
vs Weaker (4)39.039.078.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.7
49.1%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.6
32.2%
33.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.613.6
69.4%
72.7%13.6
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.0
52.1%
51.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.9
34.0%
33.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws14.010.2
72.9%
72.7%10.2
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLLLLWLLWL
Hiroshima D.
WWLWLWWLLW
#18
League position
#15
-8.1
Net rating
-0.1
101.6
Offensive rating
109.3
109.7
Defensive rating
109.4
48.8%
Effective FG%
51.5%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.5%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.2%
3-point %
34.0%
68.8%
Assist %
62.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 109.3Defence109.7 · 109.4Shooting48.8% · 51.5%3-point %32.2% · 34.0%Ball care16.6% · 15.5%Off. rebounds25.9% · 31.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Saga   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Saga wins
4
Hiroshima D. wins
DateGameScore
14/12/24Saga v Hiroshima D.91-95
13/10/24Hiroshima D. v Saga81-90
12/10/24Hiroshima D. v Saga64-81
06/03/24Saga v Hiroshima D.66-85
08/11/23Hiroshima D. v Saga80-61
15/10/23Saga v Hiroshima D.72-71 OT
14/10/23Saga v Hiroshima D.69-93
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HHiroshima D.91-95
11/12/24AShimane55-85
08/12/24AGunma74-86
07/12/24AGunma70-84
02/12/24HNagasaki78-93
01/12/24HNagasaki80-51
12/11/24HRyukyu67-73
11/11/24HRyukyu72-84
06/11/24AShiga83-69
04/11/24HBrave Thunders76-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24ASaga95-91
11/12/24HNagasaki88-82
08/12/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles74-89
07/12/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles89-80
04/12/24ASuwon KT78-80
01/12/24HHokkaido87-74
30/11/24HHokkaido84-65
10/11/24AAlvark79-95
09/11/24AAlvark56-71
06/11/24HOsaka93-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayLWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %35%25%42%
Points / game74.378.471.7
Allowed / game76.778.975.2
Point differential-2.4-0.5-3.6
Avg total151.1157.2146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hiroshima D.
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW40%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLLWLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20713
Win %40%71%23%
Points / game77.183.073.9
Allowed / game82.879.784.5
Point differential-5.8+3.3-10.6
Avg total159.9162.7158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2018290%80.769.7+11.0
2 NeoPhoenix2016480%91.778.8+12.8
3 Chiba2016480%83.575.3+8.2
4 Utsunomiya Brex2016480%82.474.5+8.0
5 Shimane2014670%81.873.5+8.3
6 Ryukyu2014670%84.577.2+7.2
7 Gunma2013765%79.872.2+7.7
8 Sun Rockers Shibuya2013765%77.271.2+6.0
9 SeaHorses Mikawa2013765%79.774.8+4.8
10 Akita2012860%72.872.2+0.7
11 Osaka2011955%82.280.0+2.2
12 Kyoto20101050%80.679.1+1.5
13 Diamond Dolphins2091145%81.082.4-1.4
14 Nagasaki2081240%71.275.2-3.9
15 Hiroshima D.2081240%77.182.8-5.8
16 Saga2071335%74.376.7-2.4
17 Hokkaido2071335%73.279.2-6.0
18 Yokohama2071335%73.879.9-6.1
19 Nagoya Fighting Eagles2071335%74.882.5-7.7
20 Koshigaya Alphas2061430%76.581.7-5.1
21 Ibaraki Robots2061430%75.081.8-6.8
22 Sendai2041620%72.680.8-8.2
23 Brave Thunders2041620%74.686.2-11.6
24 Shiga201195%73.586.8-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2621111674
Hiroshima D.2423131979
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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