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Saga vs Hiroshima D. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 91-95
28-18 18-30 24-15 21-32
Position#18
Record7-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#15
Record7-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game82.4
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v Hiroshima D.
27 Sep 2026
SAGA61
HIRO89
25 Sep 2026
SAGA87
HIRO100
15 Dec 2024
SAGA74
HIRO79
14 Dec 2024
SAGA91
HIRO95
06 Mar 2024
SAGA66
HIRO85
15 Oct 2023
SAGA72
HIRO71
14 Oct 2023
SAGA69
HIRO93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#21
W
89-67
89
67
+22
90avg 67
H03/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
76-89
76
89
-13
76avg 67
H04/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
83-69
83
69
+14
78avg 67
A06/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 67
H11/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
56avg 67
H12/11
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
80-51
80
51
+29
79avg 67
H01/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
78-93
78
93
-15
71avg 67
H02/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
70-84
70
84
-14
58avg 67
A07/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
74-86
74
86
-12
66avg 67
A08/12
B League
Shimane
#8
L
55-85
55
85
-30
40avg 67
A11/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
22-13
25-18
21-19
16-24
21-23
20-16
19-26
23-20
16-18
20-15
24-16
20-22
14-24
24-18
14-20
20-18
12-19
14-21
21-15
23-13
15-12
22-10
20-16
17-21
23-22
20-18
18-32
16-23
14-25
13-21
27-15
18-21
21-18
12-18
23-29
12-18
22-15
12-26
9-26
152.5Avg total
74.4Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)73.575.7149.2-2.337%
Season at home (7)76.676.6153.1+0.029%
Season away (12)71.775.2146.9-3.642%
Last 10 (10)74.478.1152.5-3.730%
Last 5 (5)71.479.8151.2-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)69.379.9149.2-10.68%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.874.5152.4+3.345%
vs Weaker (6)82.373.2155.5+9.267%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
66avg 70
A03/11
B League
Osaka
#13
W
93-91
93
91
+2
82avg 70
H06/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
56-71
56
71
-15
37avg 70
A09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
79-95
79
95
-16
67avg 70
A10/11
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
84-65
84
65
+19
74avg 70
H30/11
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
87-74
87
74
+13
70avg 70
H01/12
B League
Suwon KT
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 70
A04/12
EASL
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
89-80
89
80
+9
81avg 70
A07/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
74-89
74
89
-15
60avg 70
A08/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
88-82
88
82
+6
82avg 70
H11/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
18-23
17-18
17-21
21-24
21-28
30-19
21-20
16-27
13-14
15-8
12-22
17-26
17-22
20-24
25-23
22-15
22-18
18-17
22-15
17-29
23-9
27-19
20-17
23-20
15-16
23-23
17-21
35-26
21-18
10-20
23-16
18-26
21-26
20-11
15-26
22-17
22-26
16-27
28-12
160.8Avg total
80.1Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.282.4158.6-6.337%
Season at home (7)83.079.7162.7+3.371%
Season away (12)72.284.0156.2-11.817%
Last 10 (10)80.180.7160.8-0.650%
Last 5 (5)83.281.0164.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.881.2152.0-10.525%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.176.5154.6+1.664%
vs Weaker (4)82.074.2156.2+7.875%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
SagaHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#21
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H03/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H11/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H12/11
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H01/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A07/12
B League
Gunma
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/12
B League
Shimane
#8
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A11/12
B League
75.2Avg total
36.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.938.875.7-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.238.574.7-2.333%-
Last 30 away (18)37.339.176.4-1.744%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.675.2-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.673.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.240.274.5-6.023%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.636.974.5+0.736%-
vs Weaker (6)41.239.380.5+1.883%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A03/11
B League
Osaka
#13
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H06/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A10/11
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H30/11
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H01/12
B League
Suwon KT
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A04/12
EASL
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A07/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A08/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/12
B League
83.3Avg total
40.5Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.378.9-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (8)40.440.681.0-0.250%-
Last 30 away (22)36.541.678.1-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.883.3-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.686.0+0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.441.878.2-5.417%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.141.679.6-3.543%-
vs Weaker (4)39.039.078.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.5
49.9%
51.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.5
32.3%
33.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.214.1
69.8%
72.7%14.1
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.7
51.3%
51.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.9
32.5%
33.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws14.010.7
76.4%
72.7%10.7
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLLLWLLWLW
Hiroshima D.
WLWLWWLLWL
#18
League position
#15
-4.6
Net rating
-2.3
101.9
Offensive rating
108.1
106.5
Defensive rating
110.4
49.3%
Effective FG%
50.1%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.7%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.3%
3-point %
32.5%
68.5%
Assist %
59.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 108.1Defence106.5 · 110.4Shooting49.3% · 50.1%3-point %32.3% · 32.5%Ball care16.6% · 15.7%Off. rebounds24.3% · 33.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Saga   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Saga wins
3
Hiroshima D. wins
DateGameScore
13/10/24Hiroshima D. v Saga81-90
12/10/24Hiroshima D. v Saga64-81
06/03/24Saga v Hiroshima D.66-85
08/11/23Hiroshima D. v Saga80-61
15/10/23Saga v Hiroshima D.72-71 OT
14/10/23Saga v Hiroshima D.69-93
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24AShimane55-85
08/12/24AGunma74-86
07/12/24AGunma70-84
02/12/24HNagasaki78-93
01/12/24HNagasaki80-51
12/11/24HRyukyu67-73
11/11/24HRyukyu72-84
06/11/24AShiga83-69
04/11/24HBrave Thunders76-89
03/11/24HBrave Thunders89-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24HNagasaki88-82
08/12/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles74-89
07/12/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles89-80
04/12/24ASuwon KT78-80
01/12/24HHokkaido87-74
30/11/24HHokkaido84-65
10/11/24AAlvark79-95
09/11/24AAlvark56-71
06/11/24HOsaka93-91
03/11/24ANeoPhoenix73-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL37%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19712
Win %37%29%42%
Points / game73.576.671.7
Allowed / game75.776.675.2
Point differential-2.3+0.0-3.6
Avg total149.2153.1146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hiroshima D.
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW37%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19712
Win %37%71%17%
Points / game76.283.072.2
Allowed / game82.479.784.0
Point differential-6.3+3.3-11.8
Avg total158.6162.7156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1917289%80.869.5+11.4
2 NeoPhoenix1915479%91.778.8+12.9
3 Utsunomiya Brex1915479%82.774.4+8.3
4 Chiba1915479%83.675.4+8.2
5 Shimane1914574%82.373.3+8.9
6 Ryukyu1914574%85.677.8+7.8
7 Gunma1913668%80.171.6+8.5
8 SeaHorses Mikawa1913668%80.274.0+6.2
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya1912763%76.570.8+5.7
10 Osaka1911858%82.580.1+2.4
11 Akita1911858%73.272.7+0.5
12 Kyoto1991047%80.179.6+0.5
13 Diamond Dolphins1981142%80.583.0-2.5
14 Saga1971237%73.575.7-2.3
15 Nagasaki1971237%70.674.9-4.4
16 Yokohama1971237%73.979.3-5.4
17 Hiroshima D.1971237%76.282.4-6.3
18 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1971237%74.682.1-7.5
19 Koshigaya Alphas1961332%76.581.2-4.7
20 Hokkaido1961332%72.379.6-7.3
21 Ibaraki Robots1951426%74.582.5-8.0
22 Sendai1941521%72.980.7-7.8
23 Brave Thunders1941521%74.886.1-11.3
24 Shiga191185%73.287.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2818242191
Hiroshima D.1830153295
← all games of the day
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