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Hiroshima D. vs Utsunomiya Brex Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 79-94
27-25 19-23 18-21 15-25
Position#15
Record10-14
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#1
Record19-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game75.4
JapanB League· Hiroshima Sun Plaza
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hiroshima D. v Utsunomiya Brex
16 Feb 2027
HIRO v UTSU
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
HIRO103
UTSU76
08 Nov 2025
HIRO70
UTSU84
29 Dec 2024
HIRO94
UTSU100
28 Dec 2024
HIRO79
UTSU94
22 Oct 2023
HIRO60
UTSU71
21 Oct 2023
HIRO83
UTSU81
06 Feb 2022
HIRO72
UTSU67
05 Feb 2022
HIRO63
UTSU77
15 Nov 2020
HIRO71
UTSU85
14 Nov 2020
HIRO54
UTSU84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hiroshima D. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utsunomiya Brex winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Suwon KT
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 71
A04/12
EASL
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
89-80
89
80
+9
81avg 71
A07/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
74-89
74
89
-15
60avg 71
A08/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
88-82
88
82
+6
82avg 71
H11/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
95-91
95
91
+4
96avg 71
A14/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
79-74
79
74
+5
78avg 71
A15/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
74-87
74
87
-13
62avg 71
H18/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
80-79
80
79
+1
74avg 71
A21/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
73-85
73
85
-12
63avg 71
A22/12
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#2
W
84-73
84
73
+11
68avg 71
A25/12
EASL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
15-16
23-23
17-21
35-26
21-18
10-20
23-16
18-26
21-26
20-11
15-26
22-17
22-26
16-27
28-12
18-28
30-18
15-24
32-21
24-26
23-21
13-11
19-16
21-24
15-19
15-24
23-20
22-19
23-20
21-17
14-23
18-24
24-20
17-24
14-17
26-16
27-21
14-23
17-13
163.4Avg total
81.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.082.6159.6-5.642%
Season at home (8)81.980.6162.5+1.262%
Season away (16)74.683.6158.1-9.031%
Last 10 (10)81.482.0163.4-0.660%
Last 5 (5)78.079.6157.6-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)70.684.2154.8-13.59%
vs Similar (15)80.577.8158.3+2.773%
vs Weaker (4)82.074.2156.2+7.875%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
74-79
74
79
-5
68avg 78
H30/11
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
92-70
92
70
+22
89avg 78
H01/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
72-80
72
80
-8
62avg 78
A07/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
101-60
101
60
+41
113avg 78
A08/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
82-71
82
71
+11
82avg 78
A11/12
B League
Osaka
#13
W
77-76
77
76
+1
70avg 78
H14/12
B League
Osaka
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
94avg 78
H15/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
71-69
71
69
+2
67avg 78
A18/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
83-85
83
85
-2
77avg 78
H21/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
91-90
91
90
+1
81avg 78
H22/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
23-24
16-15
8-19
21-14
20-17
22-30
29-9
18-22
19-8
22-21
13-29
23-13
28-13
22-19
28-15
28-16
22-19
19-18
13-18
14-20
25-22
15-20
23-14
25-17
30-18
16-18
24-23
19-15
23-12
19-25
10-17
17-16
18-20
30-30
18-19
21-32
36-17
15-16
19-25
159.4Avg total
83.8Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.875.4158.2+7.579%
Season at home (11)83.976.0159.9+7.982%
Season away (13)81.974.8156.8+7.177%
Last 10 (10)83.875.6159.4+8.270%
Last 5 (5)83.479.2162.6+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)72.380.0152.3-7.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)84.274.4158.6+9.881%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +7.4+7.4Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +7.4+7.4Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
Hiroshima D.Utsunomiya Brex
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suwon KT
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A04/12
EASL
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A07/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A08/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A14/12
B League
Saga
#18
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A15/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A21/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A22/12
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#2
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A25/12
EASL
87.9Avg total
44.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.380.8-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (9)39.940.980.8-1.044%-
Last 30 away (21)39.341.580.9-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.187.9+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.086.6+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.642.177.7-6.59%-
vs Similar (15)42.541.483.9+1.153%-
vs Weaker (4)39.039.078.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H30/11
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H01/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A07/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A08/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A11/12
B League
Osaka
#13
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H14/12
B League
Osaka
#13
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H15/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A18/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H22/12
B League
81.3Avg total
45.7Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.437.980.3+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.740.784.4+3.050%-
Last 30 away (16)41.235.576.7+5.769%-
Last 10 (10)45.735.681.3+10.180%-
Last 5 (5)45.637.883.4+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)33.746.079.7-12.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.337.080.4+6.367%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.0
49.2%
51.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.411.5
35.5%
33.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws14.410.6
73.6%
72.7%10.6
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.718.6
58.7%
51.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.2
35.8%
33.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws17.412.2
70.1%
72.7%12.2
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hiroshima D.
WLWLWWWLWL
Utsunomiya Brex
WLWWWWWLWL
#15
League position
#1
+1.5
Net rating
+11.7
109.9
Offensive rating
112.5
108.4
Defensive rating
100.8
51.1%
Effective FG%
56.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
13.8%
Turnover %
16.0%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.5%
3-point %
35.8%
63.7%
Assist %
66.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 112.5Defence108.4 · 100.8Shooting51.1% · 56.2%3-point %35.5% · 35.8%Ball care13.8% · 16.0%Off. rebounds30.6% · 25.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Hiroshima D.   ■ Utsunomiya Brex
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Hiroshima D. wins
5
Utsunomiya Brex wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/24ATaoyuan Pauian Pilots84-73
22/12/24AYokohama73-85
21/12/24AYokohama80-79
18/12/24HKyoto74-87
15/12/24ASaga79-74
14/12/24ASaga95-91
11/12/24HNagasaki88-82
08/12/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles74-89
07/12/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles89-80
04/12/24ASuwon KT78-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HDiamond Dolphins91-90
21/12/24HDiamond Dolphins83-85
18/12/24AKoshigaya Alphas71-69
15/12/24HOsaka95-76
14/12/24HOsaka77-76
11/12/24ASendai82-71
08/12/24AYokohama101-60
07/12/24AYokohama72-80
01/12/24HSun Rockers Shibuya92-70
30/11/24HSun Rockers Shibuya74-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hiroshima D.
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL42%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayLWWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24816
Win %42%62%31%
Points / game77.081.974.6
Allowed / game82.680.683.6
Point differential-5.6+1.2-9.0
Avg total159.6162.5158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (1)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWLWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %79%82%77%
Points / game82.883.981.9
Allowed / game75.476.074.8
Point differential+7.5+7.9+7.1
Avg total158.2159.9156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)67% (6)100% (3)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix2420483%91.278.8+12.5
2 Alvark2420483%79.070.1+8.8
3 Utsunomiya Brex2419579%82.875.4+7.5
4 Gunma2417771%79.170.9+8.2
5 Ryukyu2417771%82.675.8+6.8
6 Chiba2417771%81.275.6+5.5
7 SeaHorses Mikawa2416867%80.574.6+5.9
8 Shimane2415962%80.173.7+6.4
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya2415962%76.971.5+5.4
10 Kyoto24131154%82.079.7+2.3
11 Osaka24131154%81.980.3+1.6
12 Diamond Dolphins24121250%82.883.2-0.4
13 Akita24121250%71.572.2-0.7
14 Nagasaki24121250%73.975.4-1.5
15 Hiroshima D.24101442%77.082.6-5.6
16 Saga2491538%75.076.3-1.2
17 Yokohama2491538%76.080.2-4.2
18 Hokkaido2491538%74.279.7-5.5
19 Nagoya Fighting Eagles2491538%74.180.7-6.6
20 Ibaraki Robots2471729%74.982.1-7.2
21 Koshigaya Alphas2461825%77.182.5-5.5
22 Sendai2451921%72.180.3-8.2
23 Brave Thunders2442017%75.187.0-11.9
24 Shiga242228%74.286.8-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hiroshima D.2719181579
Utsunomiya Brex2523212594
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