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Hofstra vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-58
43-30 35-28
Position#54
Record3-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game73.3
Hofstra 🏆
USA
vs
Position#66
Record2-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game65.4
Allowed / game78.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Hofstra v Merrimack Warriors
28 Nov 2026
HOFS v MERR
upcoming
29 Nov 2025
HOFS78
MERR58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hofstra winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HofstraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stony Brook
#339
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A28/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
70-49
70
49
+21
H01/03
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
77-55
77
55
+22
H07/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A09/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A04/11
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A08/11
NCAA
Molloy
#504
W
95-61
95
61
+34
H10/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A15/11
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A20/11
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-31
30-28
25-22
45-27
39-19
38-36
28-28
32-37
32-36
46-46
27-44
46-37
48-31
47-30
34-41
49-36
31-33
45-48
34-30
29-28
139.9Avg total
73.1Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.073.3151.3+4.750%
Season at home (1)95.061.0156.0+34.0100%
Season away (5)74.675.8150.4-1.240%
Last 10 (10)73.166.8139.9+6.350%
Last 5 (5)78.071.6149.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.065.0138.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (15)62.665.5128.1-2.927%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)73.966.8140.7+7.242%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marist
#80
W
75-53
75
53
+22
A07/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
66-62 OT
66
62
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H15/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H04/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
57-95
57
95
-38
A07/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A12/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
91-79
91
79
+12
A15/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
45-80
45
80
-35
A22/11
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-27
43-26
32-28
27-31
24-25
31-32
33-38
33-37
22-39
35-56
31-34
31-42
48-34
43-45
34-27
38-38
17-44
28-36
30-35
35-42
137.3Avg total
65.4Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)65.478.1143.6-12.729%
Season at home (2)69.070.0139.0-1.050%
Season away (5)64.081.4145.4-17.420%
Last 10 (10)65.471.9137.3-6.540%
Last 5 (5)67.075.4142.4-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)56.576.5133.0-20.00%
vs Similar (21)66.467.2133.6-0.848%
vs Weaker (7)70.161.4131.6+8.786%
This opponent (Hofstra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: -4.1-4.1
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: -4.1-4.1
HofstraMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
HofstraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stony Brook
#339
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A28/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H01/03
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
39-19
39
19
+20
H07/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A09/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A04/11
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A08/11
NCAA
Molloy
#504
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H10/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A15/11
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A20/11
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A28/11
NCAA
63.9Avg total
32.4Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.331.563.8+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.529.363.8+5.277%-
Last 30 away (17)30.633.163.7-2.541%-
Last 10 (10)32.431.563.9+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.835.870.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.027.560.5+5.5100%-
vs Similar (15)30.532.663.1-2.153%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)33.230.863.9+2.450%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marist
#80
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H15/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H04/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A12/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A15/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
17-44
17
44
-27
A22/11
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A28/11
NCAA
63.4Avg total
30.3Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.731.463.1+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.829.059.8+1.860%-
Last 30 away (15)32.533.866.3-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)30.333.163.4-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)32.034.866.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)21.538.059.5-16.50%-
vs Similar (21)31.131.562.6-0.343%-
vs Weaker (7)36.129.365.4+6.971%-
This opponent (Hofstra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hofstra wins
0
Merrimack Warriors wins
No previous meetings.
Hofstralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25ALa Salle63-58
20/11/25ATemple76-81
15/11/25ABucknell83-77
10/11/25HMolloy95-61
08/11/25AIona73-81
04/11/25AUCF Knights78-82
09/03/25AMonmouth60-65
07/03/25HN. Carolina A&T77-55
01/03/25HN. Carolina A&T70-49
28/02/25AStony Brook56-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25APenn65-77
22/11/25AFlorida45-80
20/11/25HMaine Black Bears72-65
15/11/25ABoston University91-79
12/11/25ATarleton62-76
07/11/25AAuburn57-95
04/11/25HSouth Dakota St.66-75
15/03/25HMount St. Mary's55-57
13/03/25HSacred Heart66-62 OT
07/03/25AMarist75-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hofstra
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %50%100%40%
Points / game78.095.074.6
Allowed / game73.361.075.8
Point differential+4.7+34.0-1.2
Avg total151.3156.0150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL29%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %29%50%20%
Points / game65.469.064.0
Allowed / game78.170.081.4
Point differential-12.7-1.0-17.4
Avg total143.6139.0145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC Wilmington76186%82.767.1+15.6
2 William & Mary86275%86.172.0+14.1
3 Stony Brook86275%74.165.8+8.4
4 Elon64267%89.278.8+10.3
5 Towson85362%68.664.5+4.1
6 N. Carolina A&T53260%79.879.8+0.0
7 Hofstra63350%78.073.3+4.7
8 Charleston84450%73.971.5+2.4
9 Drexel84450%72.571.1+1.4
10 Monmouth63350%73.072.0+1.0
11 Northeastern73443%73.975.4-1.6
12 Campbell73443%76.480.4-4.0
13 Hampton83538%70.168.4+1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena75271%70.764.9+5.9
2 Iona75271%84.680.6+4.0
3 Marist64267%73.059.8+13.2
4 Quinnipiac74357%80.178.1+2.0
5 Fairfield74357%76.179.0-2.9
6 Canisius74357%63.670.1-6.6
7 St. Peters52340%68.477.0-8.6
8 Manhattan83538%83.887.5-3.8
9 Sacred Heart62433%82.081.2+0.8
10 Niagara72529%63.474.7-11.3
11 Merrimack Warriors72529%65.478.1-12.7
12 Rider61517%61.280.0-18.8
13 Mount St. Mary's71614%65.081.7-16.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Hofstra433578
Merrimack Warriors302858
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