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Hofstra vs Merrimack Warriors Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 28 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 20:30
Scheduled
Position#211
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game63.8
vs
Position#236
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game62.8
Allowed / game65.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Hofstra v Merrimack Warriors
28 Nov 2026
HOFS v MERR
upcoming
29 Nov 2025
HOFS78
MERR58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hofstra win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HofstraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stony Brook
#182
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Drexel
#193
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H04/03
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H09/03
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
68-65 OT
68
65
+3
H10/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H10/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
70-90
70
90
-20
A20/03
NCAA
St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)
#475
W
97-51
97
51
+46
H02/11
NCAA
Princeton
#132
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A06/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#36
L
63-85
63
85
-22
A11/11
NCAA
Iona
#267
W
62-59 OT
62
59
+3
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-32
35-26
26-32
36-19
50-33
42-28
27-28
28-27
35-32
40-37
35-37
35-53
40-23
57-28
30-23
28-37
32-41
31-44
22-20
29-31
136.3Avg total
71.4Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.063.8133.8+6.250%
Season at home (2)79.555.0134.5+24.5100%
Season away (2)60.572.5133.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)71.464.9136.3+6.570%
Last 5 (5)70.069.0139.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)63.085.0148.0-22.00%
vs Similar (5)73.674.0147.6-0.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)73.165.1138.2+8.082%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
H22/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
70-48
70
48
+22
H06/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H11/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#206
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H02/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#107
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H06/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#182
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A08/11
NCAA
Florida
#52
L
54-83
54
83
-29
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
32-35
32-29
30-38
30-28
43-38
39-25
31-23
30-28
28-29
30-33
24-31
43-21
20-28
26-38
35-33
30-26
43-34
26-43
28-40
130.7Avg total
65.6Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)62.865.8128.5-3.050%
Season at home (2)62.060.0122.0+2.050%
Season away (2)63.571.5135.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)65.665.1130.7+0.560%
Last 5 (5)61.065.4126.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)59.367.7127.0-8.333%
vs Similar (18)69.562.9132.4+6.678%
vs Weaker (9)70.762.6133.2+8.189%
This opponent (Hofstra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -1.5-1.5
HofstraMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
HofstraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stony Brook
#182
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H01/03
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H04/03
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H09/03
NCAA
Towson
#157
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H10/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H10/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/03
NCAA
St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)
#475
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H02/11
NCAA
Princeton
#132
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A06/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#36
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A11/11
NCAA
Iona
#267
W
22-20
22
20
+2
H14/11
NCAA
63.0Avg total
32.9Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.029.965.9+6.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.827.463.2+8.362%-
Last 30 away (14)36.332.668.9+3.657%-
Last 10 (10)32.930.163.0+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)31.828.860.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.041.073.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (5)36.833.870.6+3.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)35.329.765.0+5.664%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H22/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H06/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H11/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#206
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H02/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#107
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H06/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#182
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A08/11
NCAA
Florida
#52
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A14/11
NCAA
62.6Avg total
32.2Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.829.763.5+4.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.829.565.3+6.380%-
Last 30 away (15)31.730.061.7+1.767%-
Last 10 (10)32.230.462.6+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)31.032.263.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)31.734.065.7-2.333%-
vs Similar (18)33.328.962.2+4.472%-
vs Weaker (9)35.330.065.3+5.389%-
This opponent (Hofstra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hofstra wins
0
Merrimack Warriors wins
DateGameScore
29/11/25Hofstra v Merrimack Warriors78-58
Hofstralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HIona62-59 OT
11/11/26AArizona State63-85
06/11/26APrinceton58-60
02/11/26HSt. Joseph's (Brooklyn)97-51
20/03/26AAlabama70-90
10/03/26HMonmouth75-69
10/03/26HTowson68-65 OT
09/03/26HWilliam & Mary92-61
04/03/26HDrexel62-51
01/03/26HStony Brook67-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AFlorida54-83
08/11/26AAlbany Great Danes73-60
06/11/26HUMass Lowell61-71
02/11/26HAppalachian State63-49
11/03/26HSiena54-64
08/03/26HMarist58-57
06/03/26HSacred Heart70-48
01/03/26ANiagara73-66
28/02/26ACanisius62-67
22/02/26HIona88-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hofstra
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game70.079.560.5
Allowed / game63.855.072.5
Point differential+6.2+24.5-12.0
Avg total133.8134.5133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game62.862.063.5
Allowed / game65.860.071.5
Point differential-3.0+2.0-8.0
Avg total128.5122.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston440100%101.067.0+34.0
2 NC Wilmington440100%92.563.5+29.0
3 Towson53260%70.260.8+9.4
4 N. Carolina A&T42250%83.270.2+13.0
5 Hofstra42250%70.063.8+6.2
6 Elon42250%69.570.5-1.0
7 William & Mary42250%88.289.2-1.0
8 Northeastern42250%78.883.2-4.5
9 Drexel42250%66.873.2-6.5
10 Stony Brook31233%73.764.7+9.0
11 Hampton41325%59.866.0-6.2
12 Campbell41325%70.278.8-8.5
13 Monmouth41325%61.079.2-18.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena43175%83.877.8+6.0
2 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
3 Merrimack Warriors42250%62.865.8-3.0
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Fairfield42250%60.071.8-11.8
6 Iona52340%64.869.6-4.8
7 Quinnipiac52340%68.274.8-6.6
8 Mount St. Mary's31233%60.778.7-18.0
9 Marist41325%67.869.2-1.5
10 Manhattan41325%63.873.8-10.0
11 Rider51420%64.077.6-13.6
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara4040%58.579.5-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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