Hogsbo vs AIK Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2023

Tip-off: 13:30

Final 81-78

29-26 15-17 16-20 21-15

Position#1

Record13-1

FormWLWWW

Points / game94.9

Allowed / game78.9

Hogsbo 🏆

AIK Basket

Position#8

Record8-9

FormWLWWW

Points / game87.2

Allowed / game88.4

Superettan

Other2022-23

Meetings · Hogsbo v AIK Basket

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

AIK Basket winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Huddinge

#13

103-74

103

+29

A22/10

Superettan

AIK Basket

102-72

102

+30

A23/10

Superettan

Norrort

104-76

104

+28

H29/10

Superettan

Helsingborg

90-82

A06/11

Superettan

Team4Q

#14

90-86

H12/11

Superettan

Sloga Uppsala

#12

87-77

+10

H26/11

Superettan

Tureberg

84-90

-6

A03/12

Superettan

Sloga Uppsala

#12

96-90

A17/12

Superettan

Helsingborg

80-78

H20/01

Superettan

Eskilstuna

81-66

+15

A28/01

Superettan

26-17

26-20

25-21

26-16

36-16

16-17

27-21

23-18

23-19

27-18

24-15

30-24

25-23

18-15

24-16

23-28

25-21

19-25

27-18

19-22

25-17

27-18

17-24

18-18

20-25

28-22

20-25

16-18

19-25

23-25

29-22

25-18

30-27

20-19

14-12

16-20

14-15

26-29

23-9

18-13

170.8Avg total

91.7Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	94.9	78.9	173.8	+16.1	93%
Season at home (7)	96.3	77.4	173.7	+18.9	100%
Season away (7)	93.6	80.3	173.9	+13.3	86%
Last 10 (10)	91.7	79.1	170.8	+12.6	90%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	80.2	165.8	+5.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	78.9	83.5	162.4	-4.6	38%
vs Similar (2)	85.0	80.0	165.0	+5.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	94.4	80.2	174.6	+14.2	90%

This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AIK Basket Sweden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trelleborg

91-104

104

-13

A06/11

Superettan

Norrort

82-93

-11

H15/11

Superettan

Helsingborg

75-103

103

-28

A19/11

Superettan

Team4Q

#14

112-81

112

+31

H26/11

Superettan

Eskilstuna

85-80

A03/12

Superettan

Team4Q

#14

90-71

+19

A17/12

Superettan

Eskilstuna

86-93

-7

H08/01

Superettan

Sloga Uppsala

#12

80-77

A14/01

Superettan

Wetterbygden Stars

#11

83-74

H15/01

Superettan

IK Eos

#10

99-75

+24

H28/01

Superettan

27-18

14-27

23-31

27-28

20-25

26-19

14-23

22-26

19-22

11-24

16-26

29-31

27-22

28-15

29-23

28-21

23-17

18-16

23-17

21-30

25-17

29-23

19-18

17-13

35-25

14-25

22-22

15-21

15-15

31-19

18-20

16-23

14-15

25-22

18-20

26-17

37-15

28-23

17-17

17-20

173.4Avg total

88.3Scored

85.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	87.2	88.4	175.6	-1.1	47%
Season at home (8)	90.0	86.5	176.5	+3.5	62%
Season away (9)	84.8	90.0	174.8	-5.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	88.3	85.1	173.4	+3.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.6	78.0	165.6	+9.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	79.8	89.9	169.8	-10.1	22%
vs Similar (6)	86.7	85.3	172.0	+1.3	50%
vs Weaker (6)	91.7	82.3	174.0	+9.3	67%

This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HogsboAIK Basket

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	20.6	43.9	+2.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	19.6	43.5	+4.2	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	21.5	44.2	+1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	20.5	44.8	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.1	21.8	41.9	-1.6	38%	-
vs Similar (2)	27.5	25.0	52.5	+2.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.1	19.8	43.9	+4.4	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	21.7	43.2	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	19.1	43.3	+5.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	17.4	42.6	+7.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.4	21.7	41.1	-2.3	28%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.7	20.2	42.8	+2.5	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.7	43.1	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	19.4	42.1	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	21.8	43.9	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.8	43.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	22.6	47.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.4	38%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.8	21.5	45.2	+2.2	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	23.0	44.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	22.5	43.5	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	21.3	43.7	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	22.4	47.8	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.1	23.1	42.2	-3.9	28%	-
vs Similar (6)	25.5	22.5	48.0	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.3	22.2	45.5	+1.2	67%	-

HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Huddinge

#13

52-37

+15

A22/10

Superettan

AIK Basket

52-33

+19

A23/10

Superettan

Norrort

50-37

+13

H29/10

Superettan

Helsingborg

43-38

A06/11

Superettan

Team4Q

#14

44-46

-2

H12/11

Superettan

Sloga Uppsala

#12

52-35

+17

H26/11

Superettan

Tureberg

48-47

A03/12

Superettan

Sloga Uppsala

#12

42-50

-8

A17/12

Superettan

Helsingborg

50-46

H20/01

Superettan

Eskilstuna

40-44

-4

A28/01

Superettan

88.6Avg total

47.3Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.7	41.3	87.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.6	39.0	85.6	+7.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.8	43.3	88.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.3	41.3	88.6	+6.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	44.4	90.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.0	41.2	81.2	-1.2	38%	-
vs Similar (2)	46.5	42.0	88.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	47.9	41.2	89.1	+6.6	65%	-

This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trelleborg

41-45

-4

A06/11

Superettan

Norrort

46-44

H15/11

Superettan

Helsingborg

30-46

-16

A19/11

Superettan

Team4Q

#14

55-37

+18

H26/11

Superettan

Eskilstuna

41-33

A03/12

Superettan

Team4Q

#14

54-40

+14

A17/12

Superettan

Eskilstuna

49-50

-1

H08/01

Superettan

Sloga Uppsala

#12

46-34

+12

A14/01

Superettan

Wetterbygden Stars

#11

39-37

H15/01

Superettan

IK Eos

#10

65-38

+27

H28/01

Superettan

87.0Avg total

46.6Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	43.6	85.2	-2.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.0	44.7	87.7	-1.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.2	42.5	82.7	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	40.4	87.0	+6.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.6	39.8	90.4	+10.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	38.5	44.7	83.2	-6.2	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	46.5	41.3	87.8	+5.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	46.0	42.3	88.3	+3.7	50%	-

This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	19.5	42.5	+3.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	18.9	42.3	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	18.3	41.3	+4.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.0	38%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.0	14.0	33.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.6	19.5	44.1	+5.1	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.7	40.6	-2.9	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.9	41.1	-0.8	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	22.5	40.1	-5.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.7	41.6	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.1	22.8	40.9	-4.7	11%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	20.6	42.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	19.9	40.5	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.5	40.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.5	24.0	43.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.9	19.4	41.3	+2.6	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	21.7	44.7	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	21.1	43.3	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.6	22.4	46.0	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	23.0	44.8	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	23.2	22.4	45.7	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.5	21.8	41.3	-2.3	17%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.5	19.5	45.0	+6.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	39.7	83.7	+4.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	39.5	84.4	+5.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.2	39.9	83.1	+3.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	37.8	82.2	+6.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	35.8	75.0	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.9	42.2	81.1	-3.4	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	38.5	38.0	76.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	46.5	38.9	85.4	+7.6	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	43.5	85.2	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.4	42.0	84.4	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	44.9	86.1	-3.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	44.7	86.4	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	38.2	75.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	41.3	45.2	86.6	-3.9	22%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.2	41.7	80.8	-2.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	45.7	40.0	85.7	+5.7	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Hogsbo wins

AIK Basket wins

Date	Game	Score
23/10/22	AIK Basket v Hogsbo	72-102
12/02/22	Hogsbo v AIK Basket	91-83
09/01/22	AIK Basket v Hogsbo	87-90
17/10/20	AIK Basket v Hogsbo	77-88
14/12/19	AIK Basket v Hogsbo	88-98
19/10/19	Hogsbo v AIK Basket	97-62
01/02/19	AIK Basket v Hogsbo	86-72
16/12/18	AIK Basket v Hogsbo	81-72
20/10/18	Hogsbo v AIK Basket	72-83

Hogsbolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/23	A	Eskilstuna	81-66
20/01/23	H	Helsingborg	80-78
17/12/22	A	Sloga Uppsala	96-90
03/12/22	A	Tureberg	84-90
26/11/22	H	Sloga Uppsala	87-77
12/11/22	H	Team4Q	90-86
06/11/22	A	Helsingborg	90-82
29/10/22	H	Norrort	104-76
23/10/22	A	AIK Basket	102-72
22/10/22	A	Huddinge	103-74

AIK Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/23	H	IK Eos	99-75
15/01/23	H	Wetterbygden Stars	83-74
14/01/23	A	Sloga Uppsala	80-77
08/01/23	H	Eskilstuna	86-93
17/12/22	A	Team4Q	90-71
03/12/22	A	Eskilstuna	85-80
26/11/22	H	Team4Q	112-81
19/11/22	A	Helsingborg	75-103
15/11/22	H	Norrort	82-93
06/11/22	A	Trelleborg	91-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo

Superettan 2022-23

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	93%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	93%	100%	86%
Points / game	94.9	96.3	93.6
Allowed / game	78.9	77.4	80.3
Point differential	+16.1	+18.9	+13.3
Avg total	173.8	173.7	173.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	64%	71%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

AIK Basket

Superettan 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	47%
Home	LWLWW	62%
Away	LLWWW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	47%	62%	33%
Points / game	87.2	90.0	84.8
Allowed / game	88.4	86.5	90.0
Point differential	-1.1	+3.5	-5.2
Avg total	175.6	176.5	174.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	25%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Hogsbo	14	13	1	93%	94.9	78.9	+16.1
2	Trelleborg	9	7	2	78%	98.7	80.6	+18.1
3	Helsingborg	17	12	5	71%	85.6	79.2	+6.4
4	Norrort	16	11	5	69%	81.4	81.8	-0.4
5	Ockelbo	17	10	7	59%	84.4	79.4	+5.1
6	Eskilstuna	18	10	8	56%	86.4	84.7	+1.7
7	Tureberg	18	10	8	56%	85.3	83.9	+1.4
8	AIK Basket	17	8	9	47%	87.2	88.4	-1.1
9	IK Eos	18	8	10	44%	88.1	90.4	-2.3
10	Wetterbygden Stars	18	8	10	44%	81.8	86.1	-4.3
11	RIG Mark	12	5	7	42%	73.9	77.2	-3.3
12	Sloga Uppsala	16	5	11	31%	81.3	87.3	-6.0
13	Huddinge	18	4	14	22%	80.7	85.8	-5.1
14	Team4Q	18	2	16	11%	80.3	95.2	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Hogsbo	29	15	16	21	81
AIK Basket	26	17	20	15	78

← all games of the day

Hogsbo vs AIK Basket Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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