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Hogsbo vs AIK Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 76-81
22-18 29-23 11-20 14-20
Position#1
Record-
FormLWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Hogsbo
Sweden
vs
AIK Basket 🏆
Sweden
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game82.0
SwedenSuperettan· Gothia Arena (Göteborg)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hogsbo v AIK Basket
23 Sep 2023
HOGS76
AIK 81
04 Feb 2023
HOGS81
AIK 78
12 Feb 2022
HOGS91
AIK 83
23 Jan 2021
HOGS v AIK
upcoming
19 Oct 2019
HOGS97
AIK 62
20 Oct 2018
HOGS72
AIK 83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
RIG Mark
#9
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
H21/02
Superettan
Tureberg
#5
W
100-96 OT
100
96
+4
no box
H25/02
Superettan
Norrort
#6
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
A04/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#4
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
H12/03
Superettan
Team4Q
#14
W
143-79
143
79
+64
no box
A18/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#9
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
A21/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
W
118-99
118
99
+19
no box
H25/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#11
W
110-79
110
79
+31
no box
A31/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
L
89-100
89
100
-11
no box
A06/04
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
W
94-90
94
90
+4
no box
H10/04
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
24-20
19-18
12-16
16-23
27-21
22-25
25-21
20-15
17-23
24-23
24-16
17-25
17-16
26-28
17-23
36-31
37-11
32-20
38-17
25-16
19-21
22-22
13-27
26-25
36-30
28-18
28-26
27-16
19-25
26-17
38-21
17-27
17-29
27-23
28-21
27-18
19-28
27-21
21-23
184.5Avg total
97.4Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)97.487.1184.5+10.370%
Last 5 (5)98.090.8188.8+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.085.8169.8-1.850%
vs Similar (2)85.080.0165.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)96.082.3178.2+13.783%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
RIG Mark
#9
W
75-62
75
62
+13
no box
H12/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#13
L
73-75
73
75
-2
no box
A19/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
no box
H25/02
Superettan
RIG Mark
#9
W
66-64
66
64
+2
no box
A04/03
Superettan
Tureberg
#5
W
102-100
102
100
+2
no box
H19/03
Superettan
Norrort
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
no box
A28/03
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
W
95-84
95
84
+11
no box
H01/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
77-97
77
97
-20
no box
H06/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
94-94
94
94
+0
no box
A10/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
87-82
87
82
+5
75avg 75
H17/09
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-9
23-16
18-11
21-26
19-19
24-15
14-21
16-20
18-14
21-22
10-28
20-19
21-16
18-12
20-21
7-15
29-17
19-33
28-30
26-20
20-15
20-21
22-32
28-17
17-17
28-24
26-18
24-25
17-26
17-26
18-18
25-27
26-26
14-26
27-25
27-17
15-26
19-18
32-22
21-16
165.4Avg total
82.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.882.6165.4+0.260%
Last 5 (5)88.688.4177.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)83.092.3175.3-9.323%
vs Similar (11)82.580.7163.2+1.764%
vs Weaker (6)89.079.8168.8+9.267%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
HogsboAIK Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RIG Mark
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H21/02
Superettan
Tureberg
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/02
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A04/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H12/03
Superettan
Team4Q
#14
W
73-42
73
42
+31
A18/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A21/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H25/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A31/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A06/04
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H10/04
Superettan
90.6Avg total
46.7Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.141.388.4+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.541.389.8+7.167%-
Last 30 away (15)45.741.387.0+4.367%-
Last 10 (10)46.743.990.6+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.447.093.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.040.882.8+1.250%-
vs Similar (2)46.542.088.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)48.041.489.3+6.667%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RIG Mark
#9
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H12/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#13
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A19/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H25/02
Superettan
RIG Mark
#9
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A04/03
Superettan
Tureberg
#5
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H19/03
Superettan
Norrort
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A28/03
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H06/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A10/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H17/09
Superettan
79.6Avg total
39.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.683.3+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.142.484.6-0.344%-
Last 30 away (14)41.140.781.8+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.879.6+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.645.083.6-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.145.584.6-6.515%-
vs Similar (11)42.537.980.4+4.564%-
vs Weaker (6)45.740.085.7+5.767%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.028.0
47.5%
50.1%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.06.0
35.3%
31.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws22.013.0
59.1%
66.9%13.0
They take 76.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 22% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Hogsbo wins
3
AIK Basket wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23Hogsbo v AIK Basket81-78
23/10/22AIK Basket v Hogsbo72-102
12/02/22Hogsbo v AIK Basket91-83
09/01/22AIK Basket v Hogsbo87-90
17/10/20AIK Basket v Hogsbo77-88
14/12/19AIK Basket v Hogsbo88-98
19/10/19Hogsbo v AIK Basket97-62
01/02/19AIK Basket v Hogsbo86-72
16/12/18AIK Basket v Hogsbo81-72
20/10/18Hogsbo v AIK Basket72-83
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/23HIK Eos94-90
06/04/23AIK Eos89-100
31/03/23AWetterbygden Stars110-79
25/03/23HIK Eos118-99
21/03/23ARIG Mark79-86
18/03/23ATeam4Q143-79
12/03/23HEskilstuna77-92
04/03/23ANorrort85-77
25/02/23HTureberg100-96 OT
21/02/23HRIG Mark79-73
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/09/23HKFUM Fryshuset87-82
10/04/23AHelsingborg94-94
06/04/23HHelsingborg77-97
01/04/23HHelsingborg95-84
28/03/23ANorrort90-85
19/03/23HTureberg102-100
04/03/23ARIG Mark66-64
25/02/23HOckelbo69-83
19/02/23AHuddinge73-75
12/02/23HRIG Mark75-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
AIK Basket
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game82.082.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total169.0169.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wetterbygden Stars110100%96.072.0+24.0
2 Huddinge110100%87.068.0+19.0
3 Ockelbo110100%77.069.0+8.0
4 AIK Basket110100%87.082.0+5.0
5 RIG Mark110100%71.068.0+3.0
6 Djurgarden21150%88.086.0+2.0
7 Malbas1010%68.071.0-3.0
8 Norrort1010%69.077.0-8.0
9 KFUM Fryshuset2020%79.095.5-16.5
10 Sloga Uppsala1010%68.087.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo2229111476
AIK Basket1823202081
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