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Hogsbo vs Djurgarden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 108-86
22-21 31-26 23-19 32-20
Position#1
Record5-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game77.6
Hogsbo 🏆
Sweden
vs
Djurgarden
Sweden
Position#9
Record6-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game83.1
SwedenSuperettan· Gothia Arena (Göteborg)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hogsbo v Djurgarden
11 Nov 2023
HOGS108
DJUR86
08 Dec 2018
HOGS67
DJUR97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Djurgarden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#10
L
89-100
89
100
-11
no box
A06/04
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
W
94-90
94
90
+4
no box
H10/04
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
59avg 78
H23/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
73-89
73
89
-16
60avg 78
A30/09
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
74-53
74
53
+21
63avg 78
A01/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
95-88
95
88
+7
101avg 78
H13/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
103-75
103
75
+28
105avg 78
H21/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 78
H28/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
82-99
82
99
-17
no box
A04/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
80-56
80
56
+24
72avg 78
A08/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
17-29
27-23
28-21
27-18
19-28
27-21
21-23
22-18
29-23
11-20
14-20
19-27
17-18
23-27
14-17
11-13
18-15
19-11
26-14
23-25
31-21
19-22
22-20
30-16
23-17
21-18
29-24
32-17
26-20
14-31
19-12
22-14
16-26
21-31
23-28
21-10
18-19
18-10
23-17
166.8Avg total
85.7Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.277.6161.9+6.662%
Season at home (4)91.281.0172.2+10.275%
Season away (4)77.274.2151.5+3.050%
Last 10 (10)85.781.1166.8+4.660%
Last 5 (5)90.279.6169.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)85.080.0165.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)91.582.1173.6+9.475%
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DjurgardenSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDjurgarden
Date
Competition
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
72-96
72
96
-24
36avg 78
A16/09
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
104-76
104
76
+28
103avg 78
H22/09
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
61avg 78
H30/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
94-83
94
83
+11
90avg 78
H04/10
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
92-75
92
75
+17
99avg 78
A11/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
79-66
79
66
+13
72avg 78
H14/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
93-111
93
111
-18
80avg 78
A18/10
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
93-82
93
82
+11
94avg 78
H21/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
78avg 78
A28/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
80-74
80
74
+6
72avg 78
H05/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
17-25
23-31
20-17
24-11
28-19
30-24
22-22
18-19
22-17
19-14
12-28
19-21
27-21
20-25
28-16
14-23
28-23
26-12
24-17
12-11
23-17
21-14
23-24
26-25
23-32
21-24
23-30
15-12
28-22
32-28
18-20
16-26
24-21
25-16
21-27
19-19
13-24
20-11
28-20
169.5Avg total
86.4Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.483.1169.5+3.360%
Season at home (6)86.876.5163.3+10.383%
Season away (4)85.893.0178.8-7.225%
Last 10 (10)86.483.1169.5+3.360%
Last 5 (5)86.284.6170.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)83.397.9181.2-14.610%
vs Similar (9)88.183.7171.8+4.467%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
HogsboDjurgarden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#10
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A06/04
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H10/04
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H23/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A30/09
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A01/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H13/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H21/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H28/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A08/11
Superettan
83.9Avg total
43.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.841.187.9+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.641.792.3+8.973%-
Last 30 away (15)42.940.683.5+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)43.840.183.9+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)48.437.085.4+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)46.542.088.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.841.187.9+5.764%-
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DjurgardenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A16/09
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H22/09
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H30/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H04/10
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A11/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H14/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A18/10
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H21/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A28/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H05/11
Superettan
81.9Avg total
40.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.447.890.1-5.427%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.144.285.3-3.141%-
Last 30 away (13)44.052.596.5-8.58%-
Last 10 (10)40.841.181.9-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.881.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)43.050.493.4-7.419%-
vs Similar (9)40.941.782.6-0.844%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.5
55.9%
50.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.9
28.1%
31.3%20.6
🏀 Free throws19.914.4
72.3%
66.9%14.4
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Djurgardentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Djurgarden: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.923.0
52.4%
50.1%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.8
30.9%
31.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.413.4
72.8%
66.9%13.4
They take 72.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
WLWWWWLLWL
Djurgarden
WLWLWWWLWL
#1
League position
#9
+11.2
Net rating
+4.3
104.9
Offensive rating
105.0
93.7
Defensive rating
100.7
50.2%
Effective FG%
50.0%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.1%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.1%
3-point %
30.9%
60.2%
Assist %
61.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 105.0Defence93.7 · 100.7Shooting50.2% · 50.0%3-point %28.1% · 30.9%Ball care17.0% · 17.1%Off. rebounds26.8% · 29.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Djurgarden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hogsbo wins
3
Djurgarden wins
DateGameScore
17/02/19Djurgarden v Hogsbo111-97
08/12/18Hogsbo v Djurgarden67-97
14/10/18Djurgarden v Hogsbo86-85
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23ARIG Mark80-56
04/11/23AHelsingborg82-99
28/10/23HHuddinge91-80
21/10/23HNorrort103-75
13/10/23HWetterbygden Stars95-88
01/10/23ANorrort74-53
30/09/23AHuddinge73-89
23/09/23HAIK Basket76-81
10/04/23HIK Eos94-90
06/04/23AIK Eos89-100
Djurgardenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HTureberg80-74
28/10/23ATureberg86-90
21/10/23HMalbas93-82
18/10/23AKFUM Fryshuset93-111
14/10/23HOckelbo79-66
11/10/23ASloga Uppsala92-75
04/10/23HHuddinge94-83
30/09/23HHelsingborg71-78
22/09/23HKFUM Fryshuset104-76
16/09/23AWetterbygden Stars72-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game84.291.277.2
Allowed / game77.681.074.2
Point differential+6.6+10.2+3.0
Avg total161.9172.2151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Djurgarden
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%83%25%
Points / game86.486.885.8
Allowed / game83.176.593.0
Point differential+3.3+10.3-7.2
Avg total169.5163.3178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket10100100%88.076.1+11.9
2 Helsingborg97278%90.474.0+16.4
3 Tureberg75271%74.969.3+5.6
4 KFUM Fryshuset117464%87.887.9-0.1
5 Hogsbo85362%84.277.6+6.6
6 IK Eos85362%82.877.1+5.6
7 Djurgarden106460%86.483.1+3.3
8 Wetterbygden Stars116555%81.174.3+6.8
9 Huddinge116555%80.776.6+4.1
10 Ockelbo104640%71.975.3-3.4
11 Malbas93633%73.277.0-3.8
12 Sloga Uppsala93633%72.686.9-14.3
13 RIG Mark103730%68.073.0-5.0
14 Eskilstuna72529%69.784.3-14.6
15 Norrort112918%70.778.2-7.5
16 KFUM Kalmar91811%66.380.2-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo22312332108
Djurgarden2126192086
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