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Hogsbo vs Eskilstuna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 102-76
23-22 31-17 28-14 20-23
Position#1
Record10-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#13
Record2-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game86.9
SwedenSuperettan· Gothia Arena (Göteborg)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hogsbo v Eskilstuna
06 Jan 2024
HOGS102
ESKI76
12 Mar 2023
HOGS77
ESKI92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eskilstuna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#5
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 84
H28/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
82-99
82
99
-17
no box
A04/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
80-56
80
56
+24
72avg 84
A08/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
108-86
108
86
+22
99avg 84
H11/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
91-93
91
93
-2
no box
A18/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
102-80
102
80
+22
no box
A19/11
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
85-67
85
67
+18
84avg 84
H25/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
104-85
104
85
+19
102avg 84
H30/11
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
103-81
103
81
+22
95avg 84
H16/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
87-91
87
91
-4
83avg 84
A30/12
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
26-20
14-31
19-12
22-14
16-26
21-31
23-28
21-10
18-19
18-10
23-17
22-21
31-26
23-19
32-20
30-28
19-18
22-23
20-24
23-19
24-22
25-24
30-15
23-17
18-14
31-13
13-23
27-22
27-17
26-17
24-29
23-18
27-24
29-20
24-19
14-25
19-24
28-25
26-17
175.1Avg total
93.3Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)90.380.3170.5+10.067%
Season at home (8)95.680.4176.0+15.288%
Season away (7)84.180.1164.3+4.043%
Last 10 (10)93.381.8175.1+11.570%
Last 5 (5)96.280.8177.0+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)80.078.0158.0+2.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)92.482.4174.8+9.972%
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EskilstunaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEskilstuna
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#11
L
74-113
74
113
-39
62avg 58
A14/10
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
64-74
64
74
-10
56avg 58
A15/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
63-77
63
77
-14
51avg 58
H22/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
68avg 58
H28/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
60-93
60
93
-33
41avg 58
H05/11
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
89-107
89
107
-18
82avg 58
A11/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
L
81-87
81
87
-6
74avg 58
H18/11
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
70-88
70
88
-18
50avg 58
A02/12
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
58-83
58
83
-25
36avg 58
H09/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
70-88
70
88
-18
54avg 58
A17/12
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
16-18
17-38
16-33
17-15
16-13
9-16
22-30
16-22
11-24
19-12
17-19
12-17
17-19
26-17
28-24
9-21
21-18
12-32
18-22
21-27
12-25
30-27
26-28
32-18
20-18
16-24
13-27
21-25
6-23
27-20
16-20
17-26
14-18
7-27
20-12
23-22
14-28
17-22
16-16
159.9Avg total
71.2Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)71.386.9158.2-15.617%
Season at home (6)70.780.5151.2-9.833%
Season away (6)72.093.3165.3-21.30%
Last 10 (10)71.288.7159.9-17.510%
Last 5 (5)73.690.6164.2-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.787.4161.1-13.714%
vs Similar (7)85.780.0165.7+5.771%
vs Weaker (9)93.287.3180.6+5.967%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -3.9-3.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -3.9-3.9
HogsboEskilstuna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#5
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H28/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A08/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H11/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A18/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A19/11
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H25/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H30/11
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H16/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A30/12
Superettan
86.3Avg total
46.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.641.488.1+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.741.692.3+9.181%-
Last 30 away (14)42.041.283.2+0.857%-
Last 10 (10)46.240.186.3+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.485.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)50.046.096.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)46.541.387.8+5.269%-
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EskilstunaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A14/10
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A15/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H22/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H28/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H05/11
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A11/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H18/11
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A02/12
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H09/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A17/12
Superettan
76.1Avg total
34.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.684.0-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.439.881.2+1.653%-
Last 30 away (15)41.445.486.8-4.040%-
Last 10 (10)34.042.176.1-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)36.046.082.0-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.743.079.7-6.329%-
vs Similar (7)41.938.780.6+3.143%-
vs Weaker (9)48.345.093.3+3.378%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.421.0
59.3%
50.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.7
34.8%
31.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.512.4
75.2%
66.9%12.4
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Eskilstunatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Eskilstuna: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.616.7
46.9%
50.1%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.68.5
26.9%
31.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.611.5
69.3%
66.9%11.5
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
LWWWWLWWLW
Eskilstuna
LLLLLLWLLL
#1
League position
#13
+18.6
Net rating
-21.3
115.9
Offensive rating
85.8
97.4
Defensive rating
107.2
56.6%
Effective FG%
43.8%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
15.1%
Turnover %
20.6%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
21.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.8%
3-point %
26.9%
59.9%
Assist %
55.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 85.8Defence97.4 · 107.2Shooting56.6% · 43.8%3-point %34.8% · 26.9%Ball care15.1% · 20.6%Off. rebounds26.6% · 21.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Eskilstuna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hogsbo wins
1
Eskilstuna wins
DateGameScore
12/03/23Hogsbo v Eskilstuna77-92
28/01/23Eskilstuna v Hogsbo66-81
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23AMalbas87-91
16/12/23HKFUM Kalmar103-81
30/11/23HHelsingborg104-85
25/11/23HMalbas85-67
19/11/23AKFUM Fryshuset102-80
18/11/23ADjurgarden91-93
11/11/23HDjurgarden108-86
08/11/23ARIG Mark80-56
04/11/23AHelsingborg82-99
28/10/23HHuddinge91-80
Eskilstunalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23AHuddinge70-88
09/12/23HHelsingborg58-83
02/12/23ATureberg70-88
18/11/23HRIG Mark81-87
11/11/23ASloga Uppsala89-107
05/11/23HWetterbygden Stars60-93
28/10/23HNorrort83-77
22/10/23HIK Eos63-77
15/10/23AMalbas64-74
14/10/23AIK Eos74-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%88%43%
Points / game90.395.684.1
Allowed / game80.380.480.1
Point differential+10.0+15.2+4.0
Avg total170.5176.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Eskilstuna
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game71.370.772.0
Allowed / game86.980.593.3
Point differential-15.6-9.8-21.3
Avg total158.2151.2165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket1615194%86.876.9+9.8
2 Hogsbo1510567%90.380.3+10.0
3 Tureberg149564%78.474.1+4.3
4 Huddinge1610662%81.876.3+5.5
5 Wetterbygden Stars1811761%79.974.8+5.1
6 Helsingborg1710759%87.577.9+9.6
7 Djurgarden169756%86.284.9+1.2
8 Sloga Uppsala158753%77.380.7-3.4
9 KFUM Fryshuset189950%85.487.4-1.9
10 Ockelbo178947%71.774.2-2.5
11 IK Eos146843%79.681.4-1.7
12 Malbas1661038%71.876.8-4.9
13 Norrort1541127%72.777.8-5.1
14 RIG Mark1541127%69.375.9-6.6
15 KFUM Kalmar1431121%73.182.6-9.6
16 Eskilstuna1221017%71.386.9-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo23312820102
Eskilstuna2217142376
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