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Hogsbo vs Helsingborg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 104-85
27-22 27-17 26-17 24-29
Position#1
Record8-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game78.9
Hogsbo 🏆
Sweden
vs
Helsingborg
Sweden
Position#6
Record8-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game78.3
SwedenSuperettan· Gothia Arena (Göteborg)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hogsbo v Helsingborg
14 Apr 2024
HOGS96
HELS64
30 Nov 2023
HOGS104
HELS85
20 Jan 2023
HOGS80
HELS78
04 Dec 2021
HOGS89
HELS69
22 Dec 2019
HOGS104
HELS84
06 Oct 2018
HOGS88
HELS119
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Helsingborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Norrort
#15
W
74-53
74
53
+21
63avg 81
A01/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
95-88
95
88
+7
101avg 81
H13/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
103-75
103
75
+28
105avg 81
H21/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 81
H28/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
82-99
82
99
-17
no box
A04/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
80-56
80
56
+24
72avg 81
A08/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
108-86
108
86
+22
99avg 81
H11/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
91-93
91
93
-2
no box
A18/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
102-80
102
80
+22
no box
A19/11
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
85-67
85
67
+18
84avg 81
H25/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-13
18-15
19-11
26-14
23-25
31-21
19-22
22-20
30-16
23-17
21-18
29-24
32-17
26-20
14-31
19-12
22-14
16-26
21-31
23-28
21-10
18-19
18-10
23-17
22-21
31-26
23-19
32-20
30-28
19-18
22-23
20-24
23-19
24-22
25-24
30-15
23-17
18-14
31-13
13-23
168.8Avg total
91.1Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.378.9167.2+9.467%
Season at home (6)93.079.5172.5+13.583%
Season away (6)83.778.3162.0+5.350%
Last 10 (10)91.177.7168.8+13.480%
Last 5 (5)93.276.4169.6+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)80.078.0158.0+2.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)91.482.4173.9+9.072%
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HelsingborgSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelsingborg
Date
Competition
Norrort
#15
W
70-69
70
69
+1
52avg 70
H14/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
84-77
84
77
+7
72avg 70
A18/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
79-83
79
83
-4
68avg 70
H22/10
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
128-62
128
62
+66
no box
H28/10
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
W
99-82
99
82
+17
no box
H04/11
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 70
A11/11
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
102-109 OT
102
109
-7
no box
A18/11
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
80-96
80
96
-16
70avg 70
A19/11
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
70-75
70
75
-5
57avg 70
A22/11
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
80-75
80
75
+5
81avg 70
H26/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-23
21-9
20-17
19-20
28-18
22-15
14-27
20-17
24-17
7-29
24-11
24-26
36-9
31-14
36-12
25-27
14-22
26-16
31-21
28-23
12-19
25-14
13-23
19-19
22-29
31-21
23-24
18-20
18-25
19-22
26-30
17-19
21-14
11-21
19-24
19-16
28-22
25-9
18-23
9-21
166.4Avg total
86.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.878.3165.1+8.557%
Season at home (6)91.072.7163.7+18.383%
Season away (8)83.682.5166.1+1.138%
Last 10 (10)86.180.3166.4+5.850%
Last 5 (5)80.286.0166.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)99.082.0181.0+17.0100%
vs Similar (5)83.690.0173.6-6.40%
vs Weaker (24)88.675.5164.2+13.175%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
HogsboHelsingborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrort
#15
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A01/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H13/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H21/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H28/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A08/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H11/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A18/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A19/11
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H25/11
Superettan
83.9Avg total
46.1Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.841.588.3+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.641.391.9+9.380%-
Last 30 away (15)43.041.784.7+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)46.137.883.9+8.390%-
Last 5 (5)45.838.884.6+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)50.046.096.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)46.741.388.0+5.369%-
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HelsingborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrort
#15
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H14/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A18/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/10
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
67-23
67
23
+44
H28/10
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/11
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A11/11
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A18/11
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A19/11
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A22/11
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H26/11
Superettan
79.9Avg total
43.1Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.838.082.8+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.537.984.4+8.587%-
Last 30 away (15)43.138.181.2+5.160%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.879.9+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.281.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)40.038.078.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (5)44.446.090.4-1.640%-
vs Weaker (24)45.136.381.4+8.879%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.119.6
57.5%
50.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.7
30.7%
31.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws17.612.8
72.7%
66.9%12.8
They take 55.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Helsingborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helsingborg: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.014.9
49.7%
50.1%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.4
34.3%
31.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.610.7
73.3%
66.9%10.7
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
WWLWWLWWWW
Helsingborg
WLLLLWWLWW
#1
League position
#6
+14.6
Net rating
+1.7
108.3
Offensive rating
101.0
93.7
Defensive rating
99.3
53.0%
Effective FG%
50.6%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
17.1%
Turnover %
19.1%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.7%
3-point %
34.3%
61.6%
Assist %
60.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 101.0Defence93.7 · 99.3Shooting53.0% · 50.6%3-point %30.7% · 34.3%Ball care17.1% · 19.1%Off. rebounds27.2% · 25.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Helsingborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Hogsbo wins
3
Helsingborg wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Helsingborg v Hogsbo99-82
20/01/23Hogsbo v Helsingborg80-78
06/11/22Helsingborg v Hogsbo82-90
04/12/21Hogsbo v Helsingborg89-69
23/10/21Helsingborg v Hogsbo88-99
15/02/20Helsingborg v Hogsbo83-104
22/12/19Hogsbo v Helsingborg104-84
12/10/19Helsingborg v Hogsbo80-88
27/01/19Helsingborg v Hogsbo108-90
02/12/18Helsingborg v Hogsbo106-57
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HMalbas85-67
19/11/23AKFUM Fryshuset102-80
18/11/23ADjurgarden91-93
11/11/23HDjurgarden108-86
08/11/23ARIG Mark80-56
04/11/23AHelsingborg82-99
28/10/23HHuddinge91-80
21/10/23HNorrort103-75
13/10/23HWetterbygden Stars95-88
01/10/23ANorrort74-53
Helsingborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23HOckelbo80-75
22/11/23AMalbas70-75
19/11/23ATureberg80-96
18/11/23AAIK Basket102-109 OT
11/11/23AOckelbo69-75
04/11/23HHogsbo99-82
28/10/23HSloga Uppsala128-62
22/10/23HAIK Basket79-83
18/10/23AIK Eos84-77
14/10/23HNorrort70-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game88.393.083.7
Allowed / game78.979.578.3
Point differential+9.4+13.5+5.3
Avg total167.2172.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Helsingborg
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW57%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%83%38%
Points / game86.891.083.6
Allowed / game78.372.782.5
Point differential+8.5+18.3+1.1
Avg total165.1163.7166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket12120100%89.778.0+11.7
2 Hogsbo128467%88.378.9+9.4
3 Tureberg96367%79.173.3+5.8
4 Wetterbygden Stars149564%82.674.0+8.6
5 Huddinge149564%81.876.6+5.2
6 Helsingborg148657%86.878.3+8.5
7 Djurgarden148657%86.685.7+0.9
8 KFUM Fryshuset158753%86.990.0-3.1
9 IK Eos115645%79.880.1-0.3
10 Ockelbo146843%71.674.4-2.9
11 Sloga Uppsala125742%77.185.7-8.6
12 RIG Mark124833%70.875.7-4.8
13 Malbas124833%71.976.9-5.0
14 Norrort1331023%71.677.2-5.5
15 Eskilstuna92722%73.187.1-14.0
16 KFUM Kalmar112918%70.381.5-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo27272624104
Helsingborg2217172985
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