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Hogsbo W vs Lulea W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 68-88
16-16 13-19 19-29 20-24
Position#7
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game66.7
Hogsbo W
Sweden
vs
Lulea W 🏆
Sweden
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game45.0
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena (Göteborg)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Lulea W
31 Jan 2027
HOGS v LULE
upcoming
30 Jan 2026
HOGS87
LULE82
25 Apr 2025
HOGS73
LULE86
12 Oct 2024
HOGS61
LULE97
04 Nov 2023
HOGS68
LULE88
21 Jan 2023
HOGS47
LULE121
28 Mar 2022
HOGS79
LULE92
16 Feb 2022
HOGS73
LULE77
15 Feb 2021
HOGS84
LULE79
29 Feb 2020
HOGS67
LULE100
27 Mar 2019
HOGS79
LULE69
03 Feb 2019
HOGS81
LULE84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lulea W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Visby W
#11
L
68-75
68
75
-7
no box
A01/02
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H04/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#7
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
A15/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#5
L
56-98
56
98
-42
no box
H25/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
57-89
57
89
-32
no box
A05/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#6
L
59-81
59
81
-22
no box
H11/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
55-121
55
121
-66
no box
A15/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
70-75
70
75
-5
54avg 62
A07/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
74-61
74
61
+13
75avg 62
H14/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
69-64
69
64
+5
57avg 62
A21/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
13-16
15-13
19-22
12-19
20-16
23-16
21-16
18-21
23-20
11-16
16-24
11-24
18-18
14-27
13-29
15-21
17-26
16-15
9-27
9-19
16-26
11-16
23-20
17-28
12-38
17-28
9-27
17-25
22-12
18-11
13-27
20-8
19-13
17-26
18-14
16-18
13-17
22-12
18-17
146.4Avg total
65.2Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.066.7137.7+4.367%
Season at home (1)74.061.0135.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)69.569.5139.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)65.281.2146.4-16.030%
Last 5 (5)65.480.4145.8-15.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)66.689.4156.0-22.813%
vs Similar (3)76.766.3143.0+10.3100%
vs Weaker (4)70.564.5135.0+6.075%
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lulea WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#4
W
84-55
84
55
+29
no box
H02/04
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
98-62
98
62
+36
no box
H04/04
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
77-60
77
60
+17
no box
A12/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
70-77
70
77
-7
no box
H19/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
W
94-56
94
56
+38
no box
A22/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
W
67-51
67
51
+16
no box
H25/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
W
87-68
87
68
+19
no box
A28/04
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
77-51
77
51
+26
73avg 85
A08/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
92-43
92
43
+49
92avg 85
H13/10
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
93-41
93
41
+52
90avg 85
A21/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
25-15
23-5
13-24
26-14
26-20
24-19
22-9
14-22
22-15
24-9
17-14
24-12
14-25
16-22
16-18
24-18
14-16
31-9
25-13
20-11
17-11
17-15
13-14
15-16
24-16
22-14
26-22
17-12
21-12
20-16
19-11
21-9
26-15
25-11
20-8
24-15
25-9
21-11
23-6
140.3Avg total
83.9Scored
56.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.345.0132.3+42.3100%
Season at home (1)92.043.0135.0+49.0100%
Season away (2)85.046.0131.0+39.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.956.4140.3+27.590%
Last 5 (5)83.250.8134.0+32.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)95.058.6153.7+36.497%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +9.2+9.2Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: +5.5+5.5
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +9.2+9.2Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: +5.5+5.5
Hogsbo WLulea W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Visby W
#11
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A01/02
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H04/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A15/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#5
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H25/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A05/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#6
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H11/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
29-66
29
66
-37
A15/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A07/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H14/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A21/10
Basketligan W
73.8Avg total
32.9Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.841.775.5-7.927%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.340.673.9-7.321%-
Last 30 away (16)34.342.777.0-8.431%-
Last 10 (10)32.940.973.8-8.020%-
Last 5 (5)32.240.873.0-8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)32.444.476.8-12.013%-
vs Similar (3)39.734.073.7+5.7100%-
vs Weaker (4)37.532.069.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lulea WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#4
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H02/04
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H04/04
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A12/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H19/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A22/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H25/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A28/04
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A08/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H13/10
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
49-24
49
24
+25
A21/10
Basketligan W
71.6Avg total
42.2Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)50.329.179.4+21.293%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.428.880.2+22.6100%-
Last 30 away (15)49.329.578.7+19.887%-
Last 10 (10)42.229.471.6+12.890%-
Last 5 (5)42.025.267.2+16.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)50.329.179.4+21.293%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.716.3
39.2%
44.5%32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.7
27.4%
30.9%23.0
🏀 Free throws21.014.0
66.7%
73.7%14.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lulea Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lulea W: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.3 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.725.7
53.8%
44.5%51.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.08.0
25.8%
30.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.711.3
64.2%
73.7%11.3
They take 78.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
WWLLLLLLWL
Lulea W
WWWWWWLWWW
#7
League position
#3
+4.6
Net rating
+54.6
88.3
Offensive rating
111.8
83.6
Defensive rating
57.2
40.0%
Effective FG%
47.9%
39.4%
Opp. effective FG%
31.1%
21.3%
Turnover %
14.9%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
41.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.22
27.4%
3-point %
25.8%
70.8%
Assist %
73.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence88.3 · 111.8Defence83.6 · 57.2Shooting40.0% · 47.9%3-point %27.4% · 25.8%Ball care21.3% · 14.9%Off. rebounds36.4% · 41.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Lulea W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hogsbo W wins
9
Lulea W wins
DateGameScore
21/01/23Hogsbo W v Lulea W47-121
14/10/22Lulea W v Hogsbo W106-58
28/03/22Hogsbo W v Lulea W79-92
26/03/22Lulea W v Hogsbo W101-66
16/02/22Hogsbo W v Lulea W73-77
02/10/21Lulea W v Hogsbo W93-57
15/02/21Hogsbo W v Lulea W84-79
31/10/20Lulea W v Hogsbo W78-74
29/02/20Hogsbo W v Lulea W67-100
01/12/19Lulea W v Hogsbo W77-62
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23AAIK Basket W69-64
14/10/23HAlvik W74-61
07/10/23ANorrkoping W70-75
15/03/23ASodertalje W55-121
11/03/23HAlvik W59-81
05/03/23ANorrkoping W57-89
25/02/23HUppsala W56-98
15/02/23ALund W68-81
04/02/23HSjuharads W76-67
01/02/23AVisby W68-75
Lulea Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23ASjuharads W93-41
13/10/23HAIK Basket W92-43
08/10/23AAlvik W77-51
28/04/23ASodertalje W87-68
25/04/23HSodertalje W67-51
22/04/23ASodertalje W94-56
19/04/23HSodertalje W70-77
12/04/23AOstersund W77-60
04/04/23HOstersund W98-62
02/04/23HOstersund W84-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game71.074.069.5
Allowed / game66.761.069.5
Point differential+4.3+13.0+0.0
Avg total137.7135.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lulea W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.392.085.0
Allowed / game45.043.046.0
Point differential+42.3+49.0+39.0
Avg total132.3135.0131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W330100%87.345.0+42.3
2 Sodertalje W440100%90.055.8+34.2
3 Uppsala W330100%89.362.0+27.3
4 Hogsbo W32167%71.066.7+4.3
5 Norrkoping W32167%76.074.0+2.0
6 Sjuharads W42250%55.858.0-2.2
7 Ostersund W31233%69.770.0-0.3
8 Marbo W31233%63.076.7-13.7
9 Lund W41325%70.582.5-12.0
10 Alvik W41325%65.284.5-19.2
11 Visby W41325%58.086.2-28.2
12 AIK Basket W4040%53.072.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W1613192068
Lulea W1619292488
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