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Hogsbo W vs Lulea W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 61-97
9-24 19-19 18-33 15-21
Position#3
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game55.5
Hogsbo W
Sweden
vs
Lulea W 🏆
Sweden
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game49.0
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Lulea W
31 Jan 2027
HOGS v LULE
upcoming
30 Jan 2026
HOGS87
LULE82
25 Apr 2025
HOGS73
LULE86
12 Oct 2024
HOGS61
LULE97
04 Nov 2023
HOGS68
LULE88
21 Jan 2023
HOGS47
LULE121
28 Mar 2022
HOGS79
LULE92
16 Feb 2022
HOGS73
LULE77
15 Feb 2021
HOGS84
LULE79
29 Feb 2020
HOGS67
LULE100
27 Mar 2019
HOGS79
LULE69
03 Feb 2019
HOGS81
LULE84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lulea W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#1
L
59-79
59
79
-20
45avg 67
A28/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
82-85
82
85
-3
78avg 67
H02/03
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
61-62
61
62
-1
45avg 67
A10/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
110-53
110
53
+57
115avg 67
H16/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
87-95 OT
87
95
-8
no box
H23/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
72-67
72
67
+5
54avg 67
A03/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
66avg 67
H05/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
65-84
65
84
-19
50avg 67
A07/04
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
106-71
106
71
+35
106avg 67
H28/09
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
86-40
86
40
+46
90avg 67
A06/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
13-16
19-18
13-24
29-20
24-22
8-21
21-22
11-8
17-21
10-15
23-18
24-15
26-8
31-13
29-17
15-12
25-25
20-24
18-17
14-17
17-20
14-15
27-15
14-24
21-19
14-15
24-19
16-22
18-20
17-19
14-23
26-19
20-26
29-15
31-11
21-14
16-7
21-14
28-5
151.4Avg total
80.1Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)96.055.5151.5+40.5100%
Season at home (1)106.071.0177.0+35.0100%
Season away (1)86.040.0126.0+46.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.171.3151.4+8.840%
Last 5 (5)80.467.8148.2+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)63.783.6147.3-19.97%
vs Similar (2)70.582.0152.5-11.50%
vs Weaker (14)83.664.4148.1+19.286%
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lulea WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
57avg 75
A10/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
77-65
77
65
+12
64avg 75
A12/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
80-73
80
73
+7
70avg 75
H15/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
63avg 75
H17/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
76-73
76
73
+3
65avg 75
A20/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
64avg 75
A23/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
67-73
67
73
-6
52avg 75
H25/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
57avg 75
A28/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
81-59
81
59
+22
no box
A29/09
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
106-39
106
39
+67
114avg 75
H05/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
20-18
19-22
16-25
17-20
23-12
16-14
21-19
18-15
23-18
21-21
18-19
14-21
21-12
20-25
17-30
22-23
21-19
11-16
22-15
21-19
11-24
21-15
20-24
21-18
14-24
17-19
15-12
16-19
26-23
19-16
11-23
22-13
21-10
19-14
19-22
22-9
28-7
22-13
34-10
149.4Avg total
78.0Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.549.0142.5+44.5100%
Season at home (1)106.039.0145.0+67.0100%
Season away (1)81.059.0140.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.071.4149.4+6.650%
Last 5 (5)79.866.8146.6+13.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.077.8148.8-6.820%
vs Similar (7)73.076.7149.7-3.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.555.2141.7+31.3100%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
Hogsbo WLulea W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#1
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A28/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H02/03
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A10/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H16/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H23/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A03/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A07/04
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H28/09
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A06/10
Basketligan W
73.7Avg total
38.1Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.936.372.2-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.435.173.5+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)33.837.471.1-3.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.135.673.7+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.674.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)31.240.671.8-9.414%-
vs Similar (2)42.039.081.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker (14)39.831.671.4+8.179%-
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lulea WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A10/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A12/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H15/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H17/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A20/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A23/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H25/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A28/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
43-23
43
23
+20
A29/09
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
50-16
50
16
+34
H05/10
Basketligan W
74.2Avg total
40.2Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.732.173.8+9.673%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.931.373.2+10.773%-
Last 30 away (15)41.432.974.3+8.573%-
Last 10 (10)40.234.074.2+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.433.273.6+7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.240.275.4-5.00%-
vs Similar (7)38.433.972.3+4.6100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.729.273.9+15.683%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.521.2
47.6%
46.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.2
30.0%
31.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.414.1
81.0%
71.3%14.1
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lulea Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lulea W: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.017.4
45.8%
46.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.2
32.8%
31.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws13.810.3
74.6%
71.3%10.3
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
WWLLWLWLLL
Lulea W
WWLLLWLWWL
#3
League position
#1
+16.5
Net rating
+7.7
103.2
Offensive rating
101.9
86.6
Defensive rating
94.2
46.7%
Effective FG%
47.3%
40.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.8%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.20
30.0%
3-point %
32.8%
63.6%
Assist %
55.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 101.9Defence86.6 · 94.2Shooting46.7% · 47.3%3-point %30.0% · 32.8%Ball care15.4% · 14.8%Off. rebounds30.1% · 27.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Lulea W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hogsbo W wins
9
Lulea W wins
DateGameScore
02/02/24Lulea W v Hogsbo W73-61
04/11/23Hogsbo W v Lulea W68-88
21/01/23Hogsbo W v Lulea W47-121
14/10/22Lulea W v Hogsbo W106-58
28/03/22Hogsbo W v Lulea W79-92
26/03/22Lulea W v Hogsbo W101-66
16/02/22Hogsbo W v Lulea W73-77
02/10/21Lulea W v Hogsbo W93-57
15/02/21Hogsbo W v Lulea W84-79
31/10/20Lulea W v Hogsbo W78-74
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24AUppsala W86-40
28/09/24HAlvik W106-71
07/04/24ANorrkoping W65-84
05/04/24HNorrkoping W73-77
03/04/24ANorrkoping W72-67
23/03/24HOstersund W87-95 OT
16/03/24HVisby W110-53
10/03/24AMarbo W61-62
02/03/24HUppsala W82-85
28/02/24ASodertalje W59-79
Lulea Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HLund W106-39
29/09/24ASodertalje W81-59
28/04/24ASodertalje W72-81
25/04/24HSodertalje W67-73
23/04/24ASodertalje W73-82
20/04/24ANorrkoping W76-73
17/04/24HNorrkoping W72-88
15/04/24HNorrkoping W80-73
12/04/24ANorrkoping W77-65
10/04/24ANorrkoping W76-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game96.0106.086.0
Allowed / game55.571.040.0
Point differential+40.5+35.0+46.0
Avg total151.5177.0126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lulea W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.5106.081.0
Allowed / game49.039.059.0
Point differential+44.5+67.0+22.0
Avg total142.5145.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W220100%93.549.0+44.5
2 Norrkoping W220100%99.555.0+44.5
3 Hogsbo W220100%96.055.5+40.5
4 Alvik W32167%82.386.7-4.3
5 Sodertalje W21150%70.564.5+6.0
6 Visby W21150%63.578.5-15.0
7 Uppsala W31233%59.772.3-12.7
8 AIK Basket W1010%89.095.0-6.0
9 MarkSjuharad W2020%62.576.5-14.0
10 Lund W2020%52.598.5-46.0
11 Ostersund W1010%44.0108.0-64.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W919181561
Lulea W2419332197
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