PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Hogsbo W vs Malbas Malmo W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 105-70
25-21 26-15 29-20 25-14
Position#3
Record7-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game71.9
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Malbas Malmo W
Sweden
Position#8
Record6-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game78.8
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malbas Malmo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#5
L
75-97
75
97
-22
58avg 82
H04/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 82
A10/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
105-46
105
46
+59
105avg 82
A12/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
64avg 82
A18/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
107-63
107
63
+44
113avg 82
H25/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 82
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
87avg 82
A08/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
61-53
61
53
+8
58avg 82
H22/11
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
86-45
86
45
+41
88avg 82
H28/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
95-83
95
83
+12
97avg 82
H30/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-19
28-28
23-22
15-28
24-23
21-12
26-26
19-20
18-3
33-17
31-14
23-12
16-21
15-13
16-11
25-20
36-22
21-14
26-17
24-10
18-18
20-26
16-14
19-19
36-20
17-26
21-15
11-29
13-8
9-11
17-18
22-16
21-14
22-15
25-8
18-8
23-23
25-17
26-17
21-26
154.9Avg total
84.9Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.071.9156.9+13.164%
Season at home (5)84.868.2153.0+16.680%
Season away (6)85.275.0160.2+10.250%
Last 10 (10)84.970.0154.9+14.970%
Last 5 (5)80.069.6149.6+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.884.2156.0-12.420%
vs Similar (10)79.073.1152.1+5.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.769.3161.1+22.487%
This opponent (Malbas Malmo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Malbas Malmo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#6
L
59-86
59
86
-27
44avg 72
A04/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
73-70
73
70
+3
56avg 72
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
W
88-73
88
73
+15
90avg 72
H18/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
63-88
63
88
-25
56avg 72
H24/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
85-84
85
84
+1
84avg 72
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
68avg 72
A02/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
71-65
71
65
+6
62avg 72
A08/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 72
H22/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
87avg 72
A30/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
65-56
65
56
+9
62avg 72
H07/12
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-27
14-19
9-19
25-21
25-16
21-16
15-23
12-15
19-22
24-20
28-19
17-12
22-17
13-28
21-22
7-21
26-22
15-23
27-21
17-18
20-20
26-23
12-19
17-17
21-17
17-13
17-16
16-19
30-18
23-12
19-24
15-19
25-21
16-17
22-26
26-25
12-16
21-19
16-8
16-13
154.3Avg total
76.6Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.778.8155.5-2.155%
Season at home (6)75.775.0150.7+0.767%
Season away (5)78.083.4161.4-5.440%
Last 10 (10)76.677.7154.3-1.160%
Last 5 (5)79.675.2154.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.682.4159.0-5.838%
vs Similar (3)68.067.0135.0+1.033%
vs Weaker (19)84.951.8136.7+33.2100%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
Hogsbo WMalbas Malmo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A10/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
51-20
51
20
+31
A12/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A18/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H25/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A08/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
22-19
22
19
+3
H22/11
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H28/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H30/11
Basketligan W
77.5Avg total
42.5Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.836.778.5+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.536.779.2+5.871%-
Last 30 away (16)41.236.877.9+4.456%-
Last 10 (10)42.535.077.5+7.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.676.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.840.675.4-5.820%-
vs Similar (10)37.937.975.8+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.734.781.4+12.187%-
This opponent (Malbas Malmo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Malbas Malmo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#6
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A04/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H24/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A02/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A08/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H22/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A30/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H07/12
Basketligan W
78.7Avg total
40.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.330.372.6+12.183%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.830.171.9+11.780%-
Last 30 away (15)42.930.473.3+12.587%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.678.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.277.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.042.581.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (3)36.726.062.7+10.767%-
vs Weaker (19)44.625.870.4+18.8100%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.518.0
44.4%
46.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.6
37.5%
31.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.816.1
73.9%
72.5%16.1
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malbas Malmo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas Malmo W: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.120.7
43.9%
46.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.25.7
28.2%
31.2%17.1
🏀 Free throws24.217.3
71.5%
72.5%17.3
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
WWWLLWWWWL
Malbas Malmo W
WLWWLWLWWL
#3
League position
#8
+18.4
Net rating
-2.1
104.9
Offensive rating
97.4
86.5
Defensive rating
99.4
49.3%
Effective FG%
43.5%
42.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
22.2%
Turnover %
20.0%
37.7%
Off. rebound %
37.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.5%
3-point %
28.2%
69.9%
Assist %
57.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 97.4Defence86.5 · 99.4Shooting49.3% · 43.5%3-point %37.5% · 28.2%Ball care22.2% · 20.0%Off. rebounds37.7% · 37.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Malbas Malmo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hogsbo W wins
0
Malbas Malmo W wins
No previous meetings.
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25HLund W95-83
28/11/25HRIG Lulea W86-45
22/11/25HSodertalje W61-53
08/11/25AUppsala W85-90
01/11/25AAIK Basket W73-77
25/10/25HOstersund W107-63
18/10/25AOstersund W72-65
12/10/25ARIG Lulea W105-46
10/10/25ALulea W90-81
04/10/25HAIK Basket W75-97
Malbas Malmo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HSodertalje W65-56
30/11/25ANorrkoping W100-103 OT
22/11/25HAlvik W87-73
08/11/25AVisby W71-65
02/11/25AUppsala W75-79
01/11/25AOstersund W85-84
24/10/25HLulea W63-88
18/10/25HAIK Basket W88-73
11/10/25HBrahe W73-70
04/10/25ASodertalje W59-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game85.084.885.2
Allowed / game71.968.275.0
Point differential+13.1+16.6+10.2
Avg total156.9153.0160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Malbas Malmo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW55%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game76.775.778.0
Allowed / game78.875.083.4
Point differential-2.1+0.7-5.4
Avg total155.5150.7161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uppsala W1211192%82.870.5+12.2
2 Lulea W1110191%90.261.4+28.8
3 AIK Basket W118373%81.073.5+7.5
4 Hogsbo W117464%85.071.9+13.1
5 Norrkoping W117464%82.573.6+8.9
6 Ostersund W106460%80.774.1+6.6
7 Malbas Malmo W116555%76.778.8-2.1
8 Sodertalje W115645%75.867.6+8.2
9 Alvik W104640%72.773.6-0.9
10 Brahe W124833%70.272.4-2.2
11 Lund W113827%75.880.5-4.7
12 Visby W121118%58.485.6-27.2
13 RIG Lulea W131128%48.587.6-39.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W25262925105
Malbas Malmo W2115201470
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.