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Hogsbo W vs Sjuharads W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-65
24-15 22-18 10-15 20-17
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game72.0
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Sjuharads W
Sweden
Position#9
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game55.8
Allowed / game58.0
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena (Göteborg)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Sjuharads W
16 Nov 2023
HOGS76
SJUH65
04 Feb 2023
HOGS76
SJUH67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sjuharads W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sjuharads W
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H04/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#7
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
A15/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#5
L
56-98
56
98
-42
no box
H25/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
57-89
57
89
-32
no box
A05/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#6
L
59-81
59
81
-22
no box
H11/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
55-121
55
121
-66
no box
A15/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
70-75
70
75
-5
54avg 61
A07/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
74-61
74
61
+13
75avg 61
H14/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
69-64
69
64
+5
57avg 61
A21/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
68-88
68
88
-20
58avg 61
H04/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
20-16
23-16
21-16
18-21
23-20
11-16
16-24
11-24
18-18
14-27
13-29
15-21
17-26
16-15
9-27
9-19
16-26
11-16
23-20
17-28
12-38
17-28
9-27
17-25
22-12
18-11
13-27
20-8
19-13
17-26
18-14
16-18
13-17
22-12
18-17
16-16
13-19
19-29
20-24
147.7Avg total
65.2Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.272.0142.2-1.850%
Season at home (2)71.074.5145.5-3.550%
Season away (2)69.569.5139.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)65.282.5147.7-17.330%
Last 5 (5)67.281.8149.0-14.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)66.789.9156.6-23.113%
vs Similar (3)76.766.3143.0+10.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)70.564.5135.0+6.075%
This opponent (Sjuharads W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sjuharads WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#2
L
48-105
48
105
-57
no box
H15/02
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#8
L
67-93
67
93
-26
no box
A21/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
67-100
67
100
-33
no box
H25/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#6
L
64-65
64
65
-1
no box
A04/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
64-80
64
80
-16
no box
A10/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#5
L
79-89
79
89
-10
no box
A15/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
53-36
53
36
+17
52avg 51
A08/10
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
52-53
52
53
-1
39avg 51
H14/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
77-50
77
50
+27
81avg 51
H20/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
41-93
41
93
-52
31avg 51
H21/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
8-25
7-30
14-26
13-20
18-22
9-25
27-26
20-25
7-24
19-30
21-21
14-14
22-13
17-16
11-22
21-24
20-14
11-15
12-27
21-26
22-19
16-22
20-22
13-13
20-8
11-7
9-8
19-19
11-10
9-14
13-10
15-14
25-4
22-20
15-12
15-24
9-25
11-21
6-23
137.6Avg total
61.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)55.858.0113.8-2.250%
Season at home (3)56.765.3122.0-8.733%
Season away (1)53.036.089.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)61.276.4137.6-15.220%
Last 5 (5)60.464.2124.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)65.085.9150.9-20.912%
vs Similar (1)52.053.0105.0-1.00%
vs Weaker (6)73.258.2131.3+15.067%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: -6.5-6.5Q4: -4.9-4.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: -6.5-6.5Q4: -4.9-4.9
Hogsbo WSjuharads W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sjuharads W
#9
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H04/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A15/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#5
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H25/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A05/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#6
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H11/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
29-66
29
66
-37
A15/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A07/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H14/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A21/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H04/11
Basketligan W
72.8Avg total
32.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.641.675.2-7.927%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.040.273.2-7.220%-
Last 30 away (15)34.342.977.2-8.733%-
Last 10 (10)32.440.472.8-8.020%-
Last 5 (5)33.038.871.8-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)32.244.276.4-12.013%-
vs Similar (3)39.734.073.7+5.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)37.532.069.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Sjuharads W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sjuharads WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#2
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H15/02
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A21/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H25/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#6
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A04/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A15/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A08/10
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H14/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
40-18
40
18
+22
H20/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H21/10
Basketligan W
69.9Avg total
33.2Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)33.238.471.6-5.233%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.237.471.5-3.231%-
Last 30 away (11)32.139.671.7-7.536%-
Last 10 (10)33.236.769.9-3.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.032.466.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)32.443.075.4-10.618%-
vs Similar (1)30.029.059.0+1.0100%-
vs Weaker (6)36.027.063.0+9.067%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.815.0
37.7%
44.5%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.0
34.0%
30.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.512.2
62.8%
73.7%12.2
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sjuharads Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sjuharads W: 55.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.816.0
40.3%
44.5%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.04.8
23.8%
30.9%14.2
🏀 Free throws13.89.5
69.1%
73.7%9.5
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
LWWLLLLLLW
Sjuharads W
LWLWLLLLLL
#7
League position
#9
-2.2
Net rating
-1.0
88.5
Offensive rating
71.0
90.7
Defensive rating
72.0
43.0%
Effective FG%
38.7%
41.0%
Opp. effective FG%
35.4%
23.1%
Turnover %
28.7%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.0%
3-point %
23.8%
69.8%
Assist %
66.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence88.5 · 71.0Defence90.7 · 72.0Shooting43.0% · 38.7%3-point %34.0% · 23.8%Ball care23.1% · 28.7%Off. rebounds33.5% · 25.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Sjuharads W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hogsbo W wins
0
Sjuharads W wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23Hogsbo W v Sjuharads W76-67
06/12/22Sjuharads W v Hogsbo W71-80
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HLulea W68-88
21/10/23AAIK Basket W69-64
14/10/23HAlvik W74-61
07/10/23ANorrkoping W70-75
15/03/23ASodertalje W55-121
11/03/23HAlvik W59-81
05/03/23ANorrkoping W57-89
25/02/23HUppsala W56-98
15/02/23ALund W68-81
04/02/23HSjuharads W76-67
Sjuharads Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HLulea W41-93
20/10/23HVisby W77-50
14/10/23HMarbo W52-53
08/10/23AAIK Basket W53-36
15/03/23AUppsala W79-89
10/03/23AOstersund W64-80
04/03/23AAlvik W64-65
25/02/23HLulea W67-100
21/02/23AMarbo W67-93
15/02/23HSodertalje W48-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game70.271.069.5
Allowed / game72.074.569.5
Point differential-1.8-3.5+0.0
Avg total142.2145.5139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sjuharads W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game55.856.753.0
Allowed / game58.065.336.0
Point differential-2.2-8.7+17.0
Avg total113.8122.089.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W440100%87.550.8+36.8
2 Sodertalje W440100%90.055.8+34.2
3 Norrkoping W43175%80.269.0+11.2
4 Uppsala W43175%80.569.8+10.8
5 Ostersund W42250%69.067.0+2.0
6 Hogsbo W42250%70.272.0-1.8
7 Sjuharads W42250%55.858.0-2.2
8 Lund W41325%70.582.5-12.0
9 Marbo W41325%61.874.2-12.5
10 Alvik W41325%65.284.5-19.2
11 Visby W41325%58.086.2-28.2
12 AIK Basket W4040%53.072.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W2422102076
Sjuharads W1518151765
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