PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Holy Cross vs Furman Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 73-79
Projected total 152.6
Final 67-80
28-42 39-38
Position#408
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game62.5
Allowed / game99.0
Holy Cross
USA
Vs
31%
69%
■ HOLY 31%■ FURM 69%
Pythia win probability
Furman 🏆
USA
Position#37
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game99.3
Allowed / game68.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Holy Cross hosts Furman on 11 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Falcons arriving on a flawless 3-0 run while the Crusaders trail 0-2, a stark contrast that sets the tone. Holy Cross has averaged 62.5 points while conceding 99.0, placing 421st, and has won only one of its last five games, losing to Villanova 66-95, Rhode Island 59-103 and Lehigh 66-69; Furman, meanwhile, has averaged 99.3 points and allowed 68.3, sits 30th, and has won all three of its road games, including a 79-70 win over Bethune-Cookman. Their last five games show four wins and one loss, with victories over Northern Iowa 98-83, Bob Jones 121-52 and Bethune-Cookman 79-70. The Pythia model favours Furman, giving the home team a 31% chance and the visitors 69%, projecting a 73-79 score for a total of 152.6 points. The home line is 12.0 with a 72% chance of covering, and the total line is 148.5 with a 59% over probability, while the chance of overtime is 5%. Furman's recent dominance and Holy Cross's defensive struggles suggest the Falcons will likely pull ahead.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holy Cross winLost
30.8%fair 3.25
Best odds7.00
Implied14.7%
Edge+16.1pp
Furman winWon
69.2%fair 1.44
Best odds1.13
Implied85.3%
Edge-16.1pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holy CrossUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colgate
#168
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A15/02
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A22/02
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A26/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H28/02
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A04/03
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Rhode Island
#52
L
59-103
59
103
-44
A04/11
NCAA
Villanova
#146
L
66-95
66
95
-29
A07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-33
47-41
27-30
46-53
49-33
34-53
31-30
41-33
33-38
30-40
24-37
38-39
34-39
48-38
26-31
40-38
27-58
32-45
28-44
38-51
150.0Avg total
69.6Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)62.599.0161.5-36.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)62.599.0161.5-36.50%
Last 10 (10)69.680.4150.0-10.820%
Last 5 (5)67.084.0151.0-17.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)66.078.1144.1-12.117%
vs Similar (10)71.872.0143.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (1)77.053.0130.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Furman) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FurmanUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A22/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
72-51
72
51
+21
H25/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
67-86
67
86
-19
A28/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A07/03
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H08/03
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A09/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A21/03
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#359
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A03/11
NCAA
Bob Jones
#509
W
121-52
121
52
+69
H05/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#161
W
98-83
98
83
+15
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-36
33-31
33-31
39-20
30-37
37-49
46-46
40-35
27-38
54-37
42-35
34-26
36-40
35-42
39-28
40-42
60-26
61-26
44-31
54-52
153.5Avg total
82.7Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)99.368.3167.7+31.0100%
Season at home (2)109.567.5177.0+42.0100%
Season away (1)79.070.0149.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.770.8153.5+11.980%
Last 5 (5)89.069.6158.6+19.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.082.0153.0-11.00%
vs Similar (12)75.372.3147.7+3.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)83.169.2152.3+13.876%
This opponent (Holy Cross) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 146Actual: Over 146
Over 146
65.3%
@ 1.71
Under 146
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.71
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151 · main lineActual: Under 151
Over 151
53.2%
@ 1.91+3.2pp
Under 151
46.8%
@ 1.91-3.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
SBO
1.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.81
SBO
1.81
Over/Under 156Actual: Under 156
Over 156
40.9%
Under 156
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Holy Cross total 63.5Actual: Holy Cross over 63.5
Over 63.5
no forecast
@ 1.29
Under 63.5
no forecast
@ 3.00
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Under
Betano
3.00
Holy Cross total 68 · main lineActual: Holy Cross under 68
Over 68
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 68
no forecast
@ 1.86
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Holy Cross total 72Actual: Holy Cross under 72
Over 72
55.3%
Under 72
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Furman total 77Actual: Furman over 77
Over 77
58.6%
Under 77
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Furman total 81 · main lineActual: Furman under 81
Over 81
42.3%
@ 1.85-7.7pp
Under 81
57.7%
@ 1.85+7.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Furman total 84.5Actual: Furman under 84.5
Over 84.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
Under 84.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Under
Betano
1.47

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Holy Cross +9Actual: Furman -9
HOLY +9
61.9%
@ 2.32+20.6pp
FURM -9
38.1%
@ 1.63-20.6pp
Best 5 market prices
HOLY
Pinnacle
2.32
FURM
Pinnacle
1.63
Spread Holy Cross +12 · main lineActual: Furman -12
HOLY +12
72.0%
@ 1.92+21.8pp
FURM -12
28.0%
@ 1.93-21.8pp
Best 5 market prices
HOLY
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Be
1.88
SBO
1.85
FURM
Pinnacle
1.93
SBO
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Spread Holy Cross +15Actual: Holy Cross +15
HOLY +15
80.2%
FURM -15
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
HOLY
No market prices yet.
FURM
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.1-7.11st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +6.7+6.7
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.1-7.11st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +6.7+6.7
Holy CrossFurman
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Holy CrossLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colgate
#168
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H11/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H18/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H28/02
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A04/03
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A06/03
NCAA
Rhode Island
#52
L
27-58
27
58
-31
A04/11
NCAA
Villanova
#146
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A07/11
NCAA
67.5Avg total
30.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 70.5
Last 30 (30)31.135.066.1-4.027%33%
Last 30 at home (14)32.331.063.3+1.343%21%
Last 30 away (16)30.038.668.6-8.612%44%
Last 10 (10)30.237.367.5-7.120%50%
Last 5 (5)27.841.869.6-14.00%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)29.038.167.1-9.16%39%
vs Similar (10)35.633.068.6+2.650%30%
vs Weaker (1)28.020.048.0+8.0100%0%
This opponent (Furman) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FurmanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A22/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A07/03
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H08/03
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A09/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A21/03
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#359
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A03/11
NCAA
Bob Jones
#509
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H05/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#161
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H07/11
NCAA
74.8Avg total
40.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 70.5
Last 30 (30)38.032.970.9+5.267%40%
Last 30 at home (15)37.532.069.5+5.567%33%
Last 30 away (15)38.633.772.3+4.967%47%
Last 10 (10)40.034.874.8+5.260%60%
Last 5 (5)44.232.076.2+12.280%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.040.076.0-4.00%100%
vs Similar (12)37.533.871.3+3.767%42%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.531.870.3+6.871%35%
This opponent (Holy Cross) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Furman win
HOLY win
no forecast
@ 4.30
FURM win
no forecast
@ 1.22
1st half Spread Holy Cross +6.5 · main lineActual: Furman -6.5
HOLY +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
FURM -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 70.5 · main lineActual: Under 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 2.10
Holy Cross 1st half total 32.5 · main lineActual: Holy Cross under 32.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Furman 1st half total 38 · main lineActual: Furman over 38
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Over/Under 72Actual: Under 72
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Spread Holy Cross +5.5Actual: Furman -5.5
HOLY +5.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
FURM -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Spread Holy Cross +7.5Actual: Furman -7.5
HOLY +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
FURM -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
1st half Over/Under 68.5Actual: Over 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half Over/Under 73.5Actual: Under 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.10
Under
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Spread Holy Cross +4.5Actual: Furman -4.5
HOLY +4.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
FURM -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half Spread Holy Cross +8.5Actual: Furman -8.5
HOLY +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
FURM -8.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Spread Holy Cross +3.5Actual: Furman -3.5
HOLY +3.5
no forecast
@ 2.55
FURM -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.44
1st half Spread Holy Cross +9.5Actual: Furman -9.5
HOLY +9.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
FURM -9.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
1st half Over/Under 75.5Actual: Under 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.40
Under
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Furman (regulation)
HOLY
no forecast
@ 4.60
Draw
no forecast
@ 23.00
FURM
no forecast
@ 1.25

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
HOLY win + total 150.5
🔒 Pro
FURM win + total 150.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: HOLY leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Holy Cross +1272.0%1.88
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Bet
1.88
SBO
1.85		--+21.8ppLost
Holy Cross +14.578.3%1.60
Betano
1.60		----+20.6ppWon
Holy Cross +12.572.8%1.83
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.82		+20.2ppLost
Holy Cross +1374.9%1.76
Marathon Bet
1.77
SBO
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75		--+20.2ppPush
Holy Cross +15.580.7%1.52
Betano
1.52		----+20.0ppWon
Holy Cross +16.583.0%1.45
Betano
1.45		----+19.2ppWon
Holy Cross +1477.7%1.63
Pinnacle
1.63		----+19.0ppWon
Holy Cross +13.575.7%1.73
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68		-+18.7ppWon
Holy Cross +17.585.0%1.38
Betano
1.38		----+18.3ppWon
Holy Cross +18.586.9%1.33
Betano
1.33		----+17.6ppWon
Holy Cross +19.588.5%1.28
Betano
1.28		----+16.5ppWon
Over 141.574.5%1.37
Betano
1.37		----+7.2ppWon
Over 142.572.5%1.36
Betano
1.36		----+4.7ppWon
Over 143.570.4%1.38
Betano
1.38		----+3.5ppWon
Overtime: no95.3%1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
Betano
1.01		---+2.8pp-
Furman over 61.595.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+2.1ppWon
Furman over 63.593.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+1.5ppWon
Furman over 65.590.9%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+0.5ppWon
Furman over 67.587.3%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----1.4ppWon
Furman over 71.577.3%1.15
Bet365
1.15		-----3.2ppWon
Furman over 69.582.8%1.09
Bet365
1.09		-----3.3ppWon
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Holy Cross wins
0
Furman wins
No previous meetings.
Holy Crosslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AVillanova66-95
04/11/26ARhode Island59-103
06/03/26ALehigh66-69
04/03/26ALafayette82-77
28/02/26HLoyola Maryland62-76
26/02/26ABoston University63-78
22/02/26ABucknell72-63
18/02/26HLafayette83-86
15/02/26ALoyola Maryland73-83
11/02/26HColgate70-74
Furmanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HNorthern Iowa98-83
05/11/26HBob Jones121-52
03/11/26ABethune-Cookman79-70
21/03/26AUconn71-82
09/03/26AEast Tennessee St76-61
08/03/26HNC Greensboro81-75
07/03/26ASamford86-81
28/02/26AWestern Carolina67-86
25/02/26HCitadel72-51
22/02/26AWofford76-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holy Cross
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game62.5-62.5
Allowed / game99.0-99.0
Point differential-36.5--36.5
Avg total161.5-161.5
Over 151100%-100%
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Furman
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game99.3109.579.0
Allowed / game68.367.570.0
Point differential+31.0+42.0+9.0
Avg total167.7177.0149.0
Over 15167%100%0%
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Navy43175%72.068.2+3.8
2 Boston University32167%73.374.7-1.3
3 Lafayette53260%79.864.4+15.4
4 Army31233%74.362.7+11.7
5 Loyola Maryland31233%73.770.7+3.0
6 Lehigh31233%64.373.7-9.3
7 Colgate2020%75.083.5-8.5
8 American University2020%63.080.5-17.5
9 Bucknell3030%63.391.0-27.7
10 Holy Cross2020%62.599.0-36.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman330100%99.368.3+31.0
2 Citadel32167%94.361.3+33.0
3 Western Carolina32167%97.074.3+22.7
4 Samford21150%83.073.0+10.0
5 VMI42250%79.574.8+4.8
6 Wofford42250%80.078.2+1.8
7 Mercer42250%82.582.0+0.5
8 NC Greensboro31233%77.766.3+11.3
9 Chattanooga Mocs31233%86.782.7+4.0
10 East Tennessee St2020%64.076.0-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Holy Cross283967
Furman423880
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.