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Honka vs BC Nokia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 92-81
31-22 17-20 27-20 17-19
Position#10
Record7-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game86.5
Honka 🏆
Finland
vs
BC Nokia
Finland
Position#5
Record7-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game84.9
FinlandKorisliigaRound 19· Tapiolan Liikuntahalli
Other2024-25
Meetings · Honka v BC Nokia
19 Mar 2025
HON88
NOK89
03 Jan 2025
HON92
NOK81
27 Jan 2023
HON63
NOK79
12 Oct 2022
HON68
NOK79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Honka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Nokia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HonkaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHonka
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
78-101
78
101
-23
63avg 80
H08/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
80-88
80
88
-8
75avg 80
H12/11
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
84-67
84
67
+17
68avg 80
A15/11
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
W
96-92
96
92
+4
91avg 80
A03/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
86avg 80
H10/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
79-91
79
91
-12
66avg 80
A13/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
96-76
96
76
+20
83avg 80
H17/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
73-88
73
88
-15
61avg 80
A21/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
82-88
82
88
-6
72avg 80
H28/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
62avg 80
A30/12
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-35
31-25
8-23
24-18
25-19
24-16
19-25
12-28
22-19
17-14
26-8
19-26
29-19
26-21
23-21
18-31
22-29
26-19
16-13
25-28
9-30
24-22
21-16
25-23
25-31
29-19
17-13
25-13
19-26
21-19
14-22
19-21
25-15
22-30
19-23
16-20
17-18
20-20
20-17
18-30
171.2Avg total
84.0Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.186.5169.6-3.439%
Season at home (9)85.189.4174.6-4.333%
Season away (9)81.183.6164.7-2.444%
Last 10 (10)84.087.2171.2-3.240%
Last 5 (5)81.085.6166.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)80.989.6170.5-8.812%
vs Similar (9)85.085.9170.9-0.956%
vs Weaker (13)91.770.4162.1+21.3100%
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC NokiaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNokia
Date
Competition
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
L
77-82
77
82
-5
63avg 77
A12/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
65avg 77
H15/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
74avg 77
A04/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
81-101
81
101
-20
51avg 77
H07/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
107-92
107
92
+15
104avg 77
A10/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
68avg 77
A13/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
101-86
101
86
+15
98avg 77
H18/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
99-72
99
72
+27
110avg 77
H21/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
89-107
89
107
-18
84avg 77
A28/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
98-64
98
64
+34
103avg 77
H30/12
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
26-19
14-19
24-23
21-23
17-20
22-16
12-21
25-18
18-25
18-31
24-17
24-27
13-25
20-23
24-26
24-22
32-27
25-26
26-17
17-24
21-24
20-20
22-22
21-29
33-10
22-24
25-23
25-23
33-15
25-13
16-21
23-20
16-28
24-25
26-34
18-12
27-16
30-23
23-13
175.4Avg total
88.9Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.884.9168.7-1.139%
Season at home (9)85.381.9167.2+3.456%
Season away (9)82.387.9170.2-5.622%
Last 10 (10)88.986.5175.4+2.440%
Last 5 (5)93.483.8177.2+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.975.8152.7+1.156%
vs Similar (13)82.986.8169.7-3.823%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.681.3168.9+6.371%
This opponent (Honka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
HonkaBC Nokia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HonkaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H08/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H12/11
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A15/11
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A03/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H10/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A13/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H17/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A21/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H28/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A30/12
Korisliiga
89.4Avg total
44.8Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.084.2+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.141.987.1+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)40.940.080.9+0.964%-
Last 10 (10)44.844.689.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.246.088.2-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.147.887.9-7.625%-
vs Similar (9)45.141.286.3+3.967%-
vs Weaker (13)43.736.880.5+6.985%-
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC NokiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A12/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H15/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A04/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H07/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A10/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A13/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H18/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H21/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A28/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H30/12
Korisliiga
87.5Avg total
44.7Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.482.0-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.139.983.1+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)38.442.781.1-4.331%-
Last 10 (10)44.742.887.5+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)46.840.287.0+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.739.777.3-2.044%-
vs Similar (13)41.545.286.8-3.723%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.936.480.3+7.486%-
This opponent (Honka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Honkatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Honka: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.022.1
50.2%
51.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.3
31.1%
34.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.814.1
67.8%
73.9%14.1
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Nokiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Nokia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.1
55.1%
51.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.3
39.6%
34.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.512.8
77.6%
73.9%12.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Honka
LLLWLWWWLL
BC Nokia
WLWWLWLLLL
#10
League position
#5
-4.1
Net rating
+3.1
107.9
Offensive rating
119.2
112.0
Defensive rating
116.1
48.9%
Effective FG%
56.8%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.1%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.1%
3-point %
39.6%
54.9%
Assist %
55.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 119.2Defence112.0 · 116.1Shooting48.9% · 56.8%3-point %31.1% · 39.6%Ball care15.0% · 16.1%Off. rebounds33.3% · 34.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Honka   ■ BC Nokia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Honka wins
5
BC Nokia wins
DateGameScore
05/11/24BC Nokia v Honka88-82 OT
18/02/23BC Nokia v Honka74-67
27/01/23Honka v BC Nokia63-79
06/12/22BC Nokia v Honka76-72
12/10/22Honka v BC Nokia68-79
Honkalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/24AKataja75-85
28/12/24HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki82-88
21/12/24APyrinto Tampere73-88
17/12/24HKarhu Basket96-76
13/12/24ASalon Vilpas79-91
10/12/24HKouvot Kouvola97-96 OT
03/12/24AKTP Kotka Basket96-92
15/11/24AKobrat84-67
12/11/24HBisons Loimaa80-88
08/11/24HHelsinki Seagulls78-101
BC Nokialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/24HBisons Loimaa98-64
28/12/24AHelsinki Seagulls89-107
21/12/24HKobrat99-72
18/12/24HPyrinto Tampere101-86
13/12/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki80-90
10/12/24ASalon Vilpas107-92
07/12/24HKataja81-101
04/12/24AKarhu Basket85-91
15/11/24HKouvot Kouvola72-80
12/11/24AKTP Kotka Basket77-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Honka
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL39%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayWWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%33%44%
Points / game83.185.181.1
Allowed / game86.589.483.6
Point differential-3.4-4.3-2.4
Avg total169.6174.6164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%11%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %22%33%11%
BC Nokia
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW39%
HomeLLWWW56%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%56%22%
Points / game83.885.382.3
Allowed / game84.981.987.9
Point differential-1.1+3.4-5.6
Avg total168.7167.2170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls1816289%96.182.1+13.9
2 Kataja1813572%91.285.7+5.6
3 Karhu Basket1812667%83.380.8+2.5
4 Bisons Loimaa1810856%80.278.6+1.7
5 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki1810856%81.882.7-0.9
6 Pyrinto Tampere1810856%82.984.0-1.1
7 Salon Vilpas189950%86.484.7+1.7
8 Kouvot Kouvola1881044%80.985.3-4.4
9 BC Nokia1871139%83.884.9-1.1
10 Honka1871139%83.186.5-3.4
11 KTP Kotka Basket1841422%85.888.7-2.9
12 Kobrat1821611%76.287.7-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Honka3117271792
BC Nokia2220201981
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