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Karhu Basket vs BC Nokia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 91-85
18-25 25-18 31-18 17-24
Position#2
Record7-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#5
Record3-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game82.5
FinlandKorisliigaRound 12· IKH Areena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Karhu Basket v BC Nokia
04 Dec 2024
KAH91
NOK85
16 Mar 2024
KAH90
NOK71
07 Oct 2023
KAH67
NOK80
31 Dec 2022
KAH76
NOK72
23 Oct 2021
KAH91
NOK62
23 Mar 2021
KAH82
NOK69
19 Mar 2021
KAH96
NOK74
14 Mar 2021
KAH85
NOK61
18 Nov 2020
KAH77
NOK67
18 Jan 2020
KAH88
NOK76
09 Oct 2019
KAH94
NOK102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karhu Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Nokia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
80-78
80
78
+2
70avg 76
H09/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
88-97
88
97
-9
77avg 76
A11/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
85-63
85
63
+22
81avg 76
H19/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
W
86-85
86
85
+1
73avg 76
A22/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
95-70
95
70
+25
89avg 76
H26/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
76-60
76
60
+16
68avg 76
A02/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
60avg 76
H06/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
78-101
78
101
-23
58avg 76
H09/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
91-89
91
89
+2
78avg 76
A16/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
73-78
73
78
-5
56avg 76
H29/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
18-24
21-20
21-22
21-23
20-22
25-22
22-30
27-17
23-20
23-17
12-9
19-26
29-23
20-24
18-12
21-29
21-20
22-17
31-4
23-11
19-19
27-12
7-18
17-22
25-22
20-17
16-20
11-25
27-21
18-28
22-27
24-20
25-26
18-24
24-19
8-30
16-14
29-18
20-16
163.2Avg total
83.0Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.679.4162.0+3.364%
Season at home (6)81.578.5160.0+3.050%
Season away (5)84.080.4164.4+3.680%
Last 10 (10)83.080.2163.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)79.281.8161.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.282.8161.0-4.644%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.579.0159.5+1.564%
vs Weaker (10)84.778.9163.6+5.860%
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC NokiaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNokia
Date
Competition
Karhu Basket
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
68avg 77
H04/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
74-92
74
92
-18
70avg 77
A09/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
81-98
81
98
-17
70avg 77
H12/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
87-96
87
96
-9
85avg 77
A19/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
64-77
64
77
-13
57avg 77
A22/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
77-75
77
75
+2
72avg 77
H25/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
78-64
78
64
+14
72avg 77
A01/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
88-82 OT
88
82
+6
86avg 77
H05/11
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
L
77-82
77
82
-5
63avg 77
A12/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
65avg 77
H15/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
20-23
18-16
13-18
22-18
15-31
19-19
18-24
26-34
15-23
22-21
18-20
19-24
17-32
33-18
18-22
17-14
19-25
7-14
21-24
20-20
15-33
18-14
24-8
21-15
12-13
24-14
21-22
15-11
30-17
12-22
17-24
13-21
26-19
14-19
24-23
21-23
17-20
22-16
12-21
159.4Avg total
76.9Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.982.5159.4-5.630%
Season at home (5)77.882.8160.6-5.040%
Season away (5)76.082.2158.2-6.220%
Last 10 (10)76.982.5159.4-5.630%
Last 5 (5)78.476.6155.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.774.2149.9+1.456%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.785.0163.7-6.327%
vs Weaker (9)84.480.8165.2+3.767%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
Karhu BasketBC Nokia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H09/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A11/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H19/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A22/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H26/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A02/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H06/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H09/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H29/11
Korisliiga
84.0Avg total
41.4Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.580.3-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.539.477.9-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)41.241.582.7-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.684.0-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.081.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.239.478.7-0.256%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.537.776.2+0.755%-
vs Weaker (10)41.944.486.3-2.540%-
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC NokiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karhu Basket
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H04/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A09/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H12/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A19/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A22/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H25/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A01/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H05/11
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A12/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H15/11
Korisliiga
81.8Avg total
38.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.479.8-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.739.080.7+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)37.041.978.9-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)38.043.881.8-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.476.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.738.976.6-1.244%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.045.686.6-4.618%-
vs Weaker (9)39.835.475.2+4.378%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.4
54.1%
51.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.0
30.2%
34.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.614.4
69.9%
73.9%14.4
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Nokiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Nokia: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.1
50.2%
51.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.0
32.3%
34.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.511.7
75.5%
73.9%11.7
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karhu Basket
LWLLWWWWLW
BC Nokia
LLWWWLLLLL
#2
League position
#5
+4.2
Net rating
-7.3
108.7
Offensive rating
99.5
104.5
Defensive rating
106.9
50.2%
Effective FG%
49.5%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
16.8%
Turnover %
19.3%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.2%
3-point %
32.3%
50.7%
Assist %
59.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 99.5Defence104.5 · 106.9Shooting50.2% · 49.5%3-point %30.2% · 32.3%Ball care16.8% · 19.3%Off. rebounds34.8% · 26.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Karhu Basket   ■ BC Nokia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Karhu Basket wins
2
BC Nokia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24HPyrinto Tampere73-78
16/11/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki91-89
09/11/24HKataja78-101
06/11/24HBisons Loimaa78-81
02/11/24ASalon Vilpas76-60
26/10/24HKouvot Kouvola95-70
22/10/24AKTP Kotka Basket86-85
19/10/24HHonka85-63
11/10/24AKobrat88-97
09/10/24HHelsinki Seagulls80-78
BC Nokialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/24HKouvot Kouvola72-80
12/11/24AKTP Kotka Basket77-82
05/11/24HHonka88-82 OT
01/11/24AKobrat78-64
25/10/24HHelsinki Seagulls77-75
22/10/24ABisons Loimaa64-77
19/10/24APyrinto Tampere87-96
12/10/24HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki81-98
09/10/24AKataja74-92
04/10/24HKarhu Basket71-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL64%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%50%80%
Points / game82.681.584.0
Allowed / game79.478.580.4
Point differential+3.3+3.0+3.6
Avg total162.0160.0164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Nokia
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL30%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game76.977.876.0
Allowed / game82.582.882.2
Point differential-5.6-5.0-6.2
Avg total159.4160.6158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls119282%96.383.1+13.2
2 Kataja119282%93.785.7+8.0
3 Bisons Loimaa117464%81.777.1+4.6
4 Karhu Basket117464%82.679.4+3.3
5 Salon Vilpas106460%88.382.8+5.5
6 Pyrinto Tampere116555%81.982.4-0.5
7 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki115645%76.782.8-6.1
8 Honka125742%82.886.1-3.2
9 Kouvot Kouvola125742%77.384.4-7.1
10 BC Nokia103730%76.982.5-5.6
11 KTP Kotka Basket123925%86.187.2-1.1
12 Kobrat1221017%77.286.4-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karhu Basket1825311791
BC Nokia2518182485
← all games of the day
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