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Honka vs Karhu Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 97-79
31-18 23-32 19-12 24-17
Position#6
Record10-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game88.5
Honka 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#3
Record10-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game79.8
FinlandKorisliigaRound 14· Tapiolan Liikuntahalli
Other2025-26
Meetings · Honka v Karhu Basket
27 Dec 2026
HON v KAH
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
HON93
KAH85
16 Dec 2025
HON97
KAH79
17 Dec 2024
HON96
KAH76
06 Jan 2023
HON92
KAH85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Honka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karhu Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HonkaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHonka
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
105-87
105
87
+18
99avg 77
H18/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
81-97
81
97
-16
68avg 77
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
95-78
95
78
+17
95avg 77
H25/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
90-89
90
89
+1
81avg 77
A31/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
98-88
98
88
+10
96avg 77
H04/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
96avg 77
A07/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
81-69
81
69
+12
79avg 77
H14/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
87-85
87
85
+2
73avg 77
A21/11
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
113-83
113
83
+30
113avg 77
H05/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
103-99
103
99
+4
98avg 77
A13/12
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
26-16
22-14
33-31
20-30
22-19
13-24
26-24
25-8
23-17
23-30
24-23
26-18
10-32
26-21
28-18
29-22
32-26
24-18
13-22
18-28
19-18
28-22
26-14
26-22
8-16
24-12
23-19
21-22
24-17
20-24
22-22
25-24
26-16
31-19
31-24
26-25
25-23
24-21
28-30
180.1Avg total
94.4Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.888.5178.3+1.277%
Season at home (6)97.087.7184.7+9.383%
Season away (7)83.689.3172.9-5.771%
Last 10 (10)94.485.7180.1+8.790%
Last 5 (5)95.083.6178.6+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)87.994.6182.4-6.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.987.4169.3-5.547%
vs Weaker (6)91.582.0173.5+9.583%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
75-116
75
116
-41
59avg 75
A18/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
77-74
77
74
+3
64avg 75
A22/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
88-81
88
81
+7
80avg 75
H25/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
63avg 75
A31/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
95-75
95
75
+20
68avg 75
H05/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
84-77
84
77
+7
81avg 75
A08/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
106-99
106
99
+7
103avg 75
H15/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
84-63
84
63
+21
84avg 75
A21/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 75
A06/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
86-78
86
78
+8
79avg 75
H10/12
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
14-20
16-32
19-42
27-19
16-15
14-17
20-23
24-16
18-20
22-28
24-17
23-26
23-21
18-18
13-21
24-27
26-26
24-12
21-10
15-15
26-23
21-17
22-22
32-23
25-21
27-24
22-31
23-19
27-15
11-16
23-13
25-16
24-22
13-14
26-20
26-20
15-28
24-15
21-15
168.1Avg total
86.0Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.779.8165.5+5.977%
Season at home (6)92.076.7168.7+15.3100%
Season away (7)80.382.4162.7-2.157%
Last 10 (10)86.082.1168.1+3.980%
Last 5 (5)89.677.8167.4+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.186.3164.4-8.233%
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.377.1164.4+10.285%
vs Weaker (7)92.778.7171.4+14.0100%
This opponent (Honka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
HonkaKarhu Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HonkaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H18/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H25/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A31/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H04/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A07/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H14/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A21/11
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H05/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A13/12
Korisliiga
88.0Avg total
45.5Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.984.5-1.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.541.686.1+2.979%-
Last 30 away (16)39.044.083.0-5.031%-
Last 10 (10)45.542.588.0+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.285.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)45.146.891.9-1.744%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.142.881.9-3.747%-
vs Weaker (6)42.537.379.8+5.283%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A18/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A22/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H25/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A31/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H05/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A08/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H15/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A21/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A06/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H10/12
Korisliiga
87.3Avg total
45.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.985.5+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.439.484.8+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)43.642.686.2+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)45.941.487.3+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.488.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.939.779.6+0.244%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.940.883.8+2.162%-
vs Weaker (7)53.641.495.0+12.171%-
This opponent (Honka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Honkatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Honka: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.8
53.1%
2.0%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.8
35.1%
33.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.616.4
66.7%
74.0%16.4
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.3
52.6%
2.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.1
35.4%
33.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.213.9
76.4%
74.0%13.9
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Honka
WWWWWWWWLW
Karhu Basket
WWWWWWLWWL
#6
League position
#3
+10.5
Net rating
+4.6
112.8
Offensive rating
111.9
102.3
Defensive rating
107.3
53.0%
Effective FG%
52.8%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.1%
3-point %
35.4%
72.0%
Assist %
54.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 111.9Defence102.3 · 107.3Shooting53.0% · 52.8%3-point %35.1% · 35.4%Ball care16.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds35.1% · 31.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Honka   ■ Karhu Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Honka wins
3
Karhu Basket wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25Karhu Basket v Honka99-53
17/12/24Honka v Karhu Basket96-76
19/10/24Karhu Basket v Honka85-63
06/01/23Honka v Karhu Basket92-85
15/10/22Karhu Basket v Honka97-62
Honkalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25ASalon Vilpas103-99
05/12/25HKobrat113-83
21/11/25ABisons Loimaa87-85
14/11/25HPyrinto Tampere81-69
07/11/25AHelsinki Seagulls91-82
04/11/25HKataja98-88
31/10/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki90-89
25/10/25HKouvot Kouvola95-78
21/10/25AKTP Kotka Basket81-97
18/10/25HLahti Basketball105-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/25HBisons Loimaa86-78
06/12/25APyrinto Tampere88-72
21/11/25AHelsinki Seagulls84-63
15/11/25HKataja106-99
08/11/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki84-77
05/11/25HKouvot Kouvola95-75
31/10/25AKTP Kotka Basket77-86
25/10/25HLahti Basketball88-81
22/10/25AKobrat77-74
18/10/25ASalon Vilpas75-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Honka
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%83%71%
Points / game89.897.083.6
Allowed / game88.587.789.3
Point differential+1.2+9.3-5.7
Avg total178.3184.7172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%100%57%
Points / game85.792.080.3
Allowed / game79.876.782.4
Point differential+5.9+15.3-2.1
Avg total165.5168.7162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Salon Vilpas1310377%92.683.2+9.4
2 Karhu Basket1310377%85.779.8+5.9
3 Honka1310377%89.888.5+1.2
4 Helsinki Seagulls138562%83.177.1+6.0
5 KTP Kotka Basket137654%83.679.5+4.1
6 Pyrinto Tampere137654%84.981.4+3.5
7 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki137654%85.683.0+2.6
8 Bisons Loimaa135838%85.588.8-3.4
9 Kataja134931%87.389.5-2.2
10 Lahti Basketball134931%86.389.9-3.6
11 Kouvot Kouvola134931%87.897.4-9.6
12 Kobrat1321115%78.592.4-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Honka3123192497
Karhu Basket1832121779
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