PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Karhu Basket vs Kataja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 106-99
32-23 25-21 27-24 22-31
Position#3
Record6-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#5
Record2-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game86.8
FinlandKorisliigaRound 10· IKH Areena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Karhu Basket v Kataja
27 Jan 2027
KAH v KAT
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
KAH78
KAT94
24 Mar 2026
KAH68
KAT98
15 Nov 2025
KAH106
KAT99
12 Apr 2025
KAH87
KAT79
05 Apr 2025
KAH93
KAT79
01 Feb 2025
KAH85
KAT69
09 Nov 2024
KAH78
KAT101
11 May 2024
KAH97
KAT73
19 Mar 2024
KAH62
KAT69
14 Oct 2023
KAH88
KAT80
04 Mar 2023
KAH79
KAT64
18 Jan 2023
KAH95
KAT59
13 Nov 2021
KAH92
KAT67
06 Feb 2021
KAH84
KAT80
07 Apr 2020
KAH v KAT
upcoming
12 Dec 2019
KAH89
KAT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karhu Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Juventus
#18
L
89-103
89
103
-14
82avg 73
H20/09
Champions League
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
78-74
78
74
+4
63avg 73
H04/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
77-89
77
89
-12
66avg 73
A08/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
W
99-53
99
53
+46
97avg 73
H11/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
75-116
75
116
-41
59avg 73
A18/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
77-74
77
74
+3
64avg 73
A22/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
88-81
88
81
+7
80avg 73
H25/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
63avg 73
A31/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
95-75
95
75
+20
68avg 73
H05/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
84-77
84
77
+7
81avg 73
A08/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
21-31
23-27
22-26
22-19
18-17
25-17
13-21
19-29
19-24
13-20
26-16
22-9
21-16
29-14
27-14
26-22
14-20
16-32
19-42
27-19
16-15
14-17
20-23
24-16
18-20
22-28
24-17
23-26
23-21
18-18
13-21
24-27
26-26
24-12
21-10
15-15
26-23
21-17
22-22
166.7Avg total
83.9Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.380.6163.9+2.867%
Season at home (4)90.070.8160.8+19.2100%
Season away (5)78.088.4166.4-10.440%
Last 10 (10)83.982.8166.7+1.160%
Last 5 (5)84.278.6162.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.885.6160.3-10.822%
vs Similar (12)86.278.2164.4+8.175%
vs Weaker (8)93.479.5172.9+13.9100%
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
96avg 79
H19/04
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
W
77-74
77
74
+3
62avg 79
A03/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
107-109 OT
107
109
-2
99avg 79
H08/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
73avg 79
A11/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
74-78
74
78
-4
65avg 79
H18/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
69-75
69
75
-6
58avg 79
H22/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
78-95
78
95
-17
66avg 79
A25/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
77-84
77
84
-7
67avg 79
H01/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
88-98
88
98
-10
79avg 79
A04/11
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
87-83
87
83
+4
77avg 79
H08/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
27-25
26-28
17-17
17-21
15-24
21-18
24-11
26-26
23-17
30-27
18-27
29-14
17-22
23-15
4-22
20-15
15-24
21-17
18-22
17-21
19-18
23-20
10-16
19-22
15-23
18-21
26-29
20-13
23-24
16-20
18-27
22-29
26-32
18-24
22-13
24-13
21-22
18-21
24-27
171.8Avg total
83.7Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.086.8168.8-4.822%
Season at home (5)82.885.8168.6-3.020%
Season away (4)81.088.0169.0-7.025%
Last 10 (10)83.788.1171.8-4.420%
Last 5 (5)79.887.0166.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.391.7181.0-2.333%
vs Similar (17)82.887.1169.8-4.329%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)90.185.8175.9+4.340%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.0-3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.0-3.0
Karhu BasketKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#18
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H20/09
Champions League
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H04/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A08/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H11/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A18/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A22/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H25/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A31/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H05/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A08/11
Korisliiga
84.1Avg total
42.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.884.0+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.438.582.9+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)41.843.485.1-1.629%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.484.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.686.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.339.778.0-1.333%-
vs Similar (12)40.940.281.2+0.758%-
vs Weaker (8)52.041.693.6+10.462%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H19/04
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H08/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A11/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H18/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H22/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A25/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H01/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A04/11
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H08/11
Korisliiga
84.2Avg total
41.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.785.7+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.640.186.7+6.578%-
Last 30 away (12)40.144.184.2-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)41.642.684.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.484.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.343.092.3+6.3100%-
vs Similar (17)43.441.184.4+2.359%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.542.485.9+1.150%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.8
52.5%
2.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.8
33.7%
33.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.313.9
72.0%
74.0%13.9
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.7
51.6%
2.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.8
32.0%
33.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.5
77.1%
74.0%14.5
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karhu Basket
WWLWWLWLWL
Kataja
WLLLLLLLWL
#3
League position
#5
+1.5
Net rating
-4.6
110.5
Offensive rating
105.9
109.0
Defensive rating
110.5
51.6%
Effective FG%
50.0%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
15.2%
Turnover %
17.0%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.7%
3-point %
32.0%
56.1%
Assist %
53.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 105.9Defence109.0 · 110.5Shooting51.6% · 50.0%3-point %33.7% · 32.0%Ball care15.2% · 17.0%Off. rebounds30.1% · 29.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Karhu Basket   ■ Kataja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Karhu Basket wins
4
Kataja wins
DateGameScore
15/04/25Kataja v Karhu Basket87-99
12/04/25Karhu Basket v Kataja87-79
09/04/25Kataja v Karhu Basket82-96
05/04/25Karhu Basket v Kataja93-79
08/03/25Kataja v Karhu Basket82-75
01/02/25Karhu Basket v Kataja85-69
08/01/25Kataja v Karhu Basket92-90
09/11/24Karhu Basket v Kataja78-101
11/05/24Karhu Basket v Kataja97-73
19/03/24Karhu Basket v Kataja62-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki84-77
05/11/25HKouvot Kouvola95-75
31/10/25AKTP Kotka Basket77-86
25/10/25HLahti Basketball88-81
22/10/25AKobrat77-74
18/10/25ASalon Vilpas75-116
11/10/25HHonka99-53
08/10/25ABisons Loimaa77-89
04/10/25HPyrinto Tampere78-74
20/09/25HJuventus89-103
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HSalon Vilpas87-83
04/11/25AHonka88-98
01/11/25HBisons Loimaa77-84
25/10/25APyrinto Tampere78-95
22/10/25HHelsinki Seagulls69-75
18/10/25HKobrat74-78
11/10/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki81-85 OT
08/10/25HKouvot Kouvola107-109 OT
03/10/25AKTP Kotka Basket77-74
19/04/25HSalon Vilpas99-100 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%100%40%
Points / game83.390.078.0
Allowed / game80.670.888.4
Point differential+2.8+19.2-10.4
Avg total163.9160.8166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kataja
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW22%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game82.082.881.0
Allowed / game86.885.888.0
Point differential-4.8-3.0-7.0
Avg total168.8168.6169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %22%20%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Salon Vilpas108280%94.984.1+10.8
2 Helsinki Seagulls107370%85.675.5+10.1
3 Honka107370%86.488.4-2.0
4 Karhu Basket96367%83.380.6+2.8
5 Pyrinto Tampere106460%89.182.0+7.1
6 KTP Kotka Basket106460%84.078.2+5.8
7 Bisons Loimaa105550%87.389.9-2.6
8 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki104640%86.386.8-0.5
9 Lahti Basketball103730%87.191.1-4.0
10 Kouvot Kouvola103730%88.798.2-9.5
11 Kataja92722%82.086.8-4.8
12 Kobrat102820%78.391.7-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karhu Basket32252722106
Kataja2321243199
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.